Today saw the release of minutes for the working group set up to advise MHRA on the covid vaccines.
They knew the issues but ignored them...🧵
On 27th November they briefly discussed a lack of any potential benefit for the under 50s but quickly concluded that there was a favourable risk/benefit for anyone aged over 16 years!
2024 and 2025 has seen total mortality at about the same level as ONS predicted back in 2018 (already taking into account ageing and growing population).
Let's look in more detail
🧵
Over 85 year old rate (based on ONS pop estimates) have returned to their 2016-2019 trendline.
Despite massive excess there was never the expected deficit.
The ONS predicted far too many deaths in 2024 and undercorrected for 2025 (green line).
The picture is similar for 75-84 year olds with far too many ONS predicted deaths in 2024 and an small correction for 2025.