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Dec 11, 2024 22 tweets 10 min read Read on X
1/ We're finally there! A major Russian storage base is practically empty of any equipment! A thread on the newer footage of the 1295th Central Tank Reserve Base 🧵 Image
2/ Before continuing, check out @CovertCabal's video on the 1295th!
3/ First of all, this thread is almost more an analysis of a pile of junk than a storage base. And before anyone gets picky, I said a MAJOR storage base. You can see that several minor bases are already empty since a while ago. Image
4/ That said, I alreayd had high hopes for a long time that the 1295th would win the prize:
5/ If you look at the prewar footage from Google Earth, only the highlated parts still stored equipment, everything else were scrapped hulls. Image
7/ As you can see, the stored equipment dropped pretty fast as soon as the war started. Image
8/ It mostly stored old stuff like T-54/55s, T-62, BMP-1s, BRDM-2s, and even BTR-50s! Tho also 136 T-80s. Image
9/ You can see the evolution of the spots over these almost three years: Image
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12/ And you can also note that some equipment was cannibalized, and the rest of scrapped armor was moved to the huge scrapyard in the eastern part of the base. They keep demolishing to atoms junk placed there. Image
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13/ By now, all that remains are maybe 3 tanks, 23 BMP-1s and 4 BRDM-2s. And even most of those might be scrap, as the snow makes it very difficult to be sure about the condition of their hulls. Image
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14/ Hell, if you take a closer look you can notice they even moved the two broken BTRs stored next to the ARVs and cannibalized BRDM-2s. Image
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15/ Another interesting thing is that, while more than half of the tanks stored here were the oldest types, many of them were kept in good condition with dry air storage systems. Image
16/ And also that, as I also mentioned in a thread about ARVs, these aren't being pulled out from storage.
17/ At the same time we barely see any T-55s in Ukraine, despite more than half probably removed from storage by now. I think they're instead being mostly converted to BTS-4 ARVs, as they're based in T-54/55 chassis. Otherwise, where would those come from?
18/ In summary, this base is practically done. Maybe 1-2 more months until it is ENTIRELY depleted, but it doesn't really matter at this point. This is just a sign of a bigger problem for Russia. It may have been the smallest major storage base, but... Image
19/ a major storage base nonetheless. The more bases are emptier, the more they have to pull out from other bases. Image
20/ So far I've noticed a trend of about ~20 tanks and ~20-30 BMPs removed from each major storage base per month, and this will only accelerate until all that remains is cannibalized equipment. Image
21/ And as Covert said, the 2456th/103rd is the next one this weekend. Stay tuned for more content! Image
22/ As usual, big thanks to @CovertCabal and @HighMarsed, and also to the rest of the crew like @waffentraeger, @Ath3neN0ctu4, @AS_22im, @Rebel44CZ, @UAControlMap and many more!

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More from @Jonpy99

Dec 30, 2024
1/ One last thread to end 2024! Let's take a quick look at Russia's towed AA guns in storage: S-60s and KS-19s 🧵 Image
2/ So it's no mystery that this war is full of stark contrats: Leopard 2s and self-propelled MT-LBs, Ladas and BMP-3s... And also old towed AA guns repurposed for ground targets. The main Soviet systems in this regard were S-60s and KS-19s. Image
3/ Both Ukraine and Russia have been using them extensively since 2022. But while Ukraine at times modernizes them with targeting systems (not always tho)...
Read 28 tweets
Dec 29, 2024
1/ Time for the last thread on individual updates of Central Tank Reserve Bases: this time the 2544th🧵 Image
2/ First, let's look at the evolution of stored equipment here over the last years: Image
3/ As you can see, this base has an interesting mix of equipment, from T-62s to BMD-2s. Image
Read 25 tweets
Dec 27, 2024
1/ Future abandoned Russian storage bases, consolidation of facilities and obsolete equipment to be scrapped 🧵 Image
2/ Before continuing, this a follow up to my most recent thread:
3/ So, in the previous thread I talked about how many stored armored vehicles that might look decent-ish were probably total write offs. This time I wanna delve a bit more into related stuff. Image
Read 26 tweets
Dec 24, 2024
A little look into how Omsktransmash has changed. Back in 2021, the only T-80s you could spot were these 52 ones, parked there for years and clearly cannibalized. Nothing would change during 2022, either. Image
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And in 2023, suddenly, T-80s everywhere, in massive numbers, waiting to be refurbished or modernized to BVM standard. Image
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And even more T-80s in the backlog in 2024. Image
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Read 9 tweets
Dec 22, 2024
1/ A look into the state of many of the remaining armored vehicles in storage and how useless they are, along with their storage facilities 🧵 Image
2/ I'm well aware that many people look at the spreadsheet at feel demoralized by how much stuff Russia still has in reserve. Alas, that's not entirely the whole picture. Let's take the stored BTRs as an example. Image
3/ If you look at the sheet, it appears they still have a bit under two thirds of the prewar stock. Is it true tho? docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…Image
Read 19 tweets
Dec 15, 2024
1/ We got new footage pf the 103rd/2546th Central Tank Reserva Base, and it's time to look into it! When it comes to essy to repair equioment, this base is almost done! 🧵 Image
2/ Before you continue, first check @CovertCabal's video on this with the footage he was able to buy:
3/ Here you have the remaining numbers, not including their condition: Image
Read 19 tweets

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