🧵🔴Assad's Last Few Days Lies and Escape: Bashar Assad told almost no one about his intention to flee Syria when he realized his regime was collapsing. He hid his escape from his aides, associates, and even his family. Hours before he fled to Moscow, the president promised, at a meeting at the Defense Ministry attended by about 30 senior military and security officials, that Russian aid was on the way – and called on the forces on the ground to hold out.
On Saturday, when he finished work, Assad told his office manager that he was going home – but instead, he went to the airport. He also called his media advisor, Buthaina Shaaban, and asked her to come to his house to write a speech. When Shaaban arrived, she found no one at home.
Reuters interviewed 14 sources who were familiar with Assad's final days in power. They describe a dictator seeking outside help to survive in power and secretly fleeing his country when he realized his rule was ending. According to Reuters, Assad did not even inform his younger brother Maher, commander of the army's Fourth Division, of his departure. Maher took off by helicopter to Iraq and, from there, continued to Russia, where Bashar is also allegedly staying with his wife and children. Ihab and Ied Makhlouf, Assad's maternal cousins, could not escape. When Damascus fell to the rebels, the two tried to flee by car to Lebanon but were caught in a rebel ambush. They killed Ihab and wounded Ied.
On Sunday, December 8, Assad took off from Damascus. The plane he was on turned off its transmitters to disappear from radar. Assad then arrived at the Russian Khmeimim Air Force base in the coastal city of Latiqiyah and continued to Moscow on a Russian plane. The videos from his palace, which was stormed by rebels and later by civilians who looted valuable items, testify to the speed with which he left his country: there was still food left in the stove, and personal belongings were also left in the palace - including family photos and photos of Assad in his youth.
In the days leading up to his escape, as he tried to cling to power and ensure his safety, Russia and Iran – who had provided him with significant assistance in the war – made it clear to him that this time they would not save him. Assad visited Moscow on November 28, the day after the rebels' surprise attack began. The Kremlin did assist him with airstrikes against the rebels, but Assad requested ground military intervention – and refused.
Hadi al-Bahra, the head of the exiled Syrian opposition, said Assad did not tell the truth to his aides in Syria. "After the trip to Moscow, he told his commanders and aides that the military aid was coming. He lied to them. The message he received from Moscow was negative." Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters on Wednesday that Russia had invested a lot of effort to help stabilize the regime in Syria. Still, the war in Ukraine is its top priority.
On December 2, four days after his trip to Moscow, Assad met with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi in Damascus. By then, the rebels had already taken control of Aleppo and rapidly captured additional territory. A senior Iranian diplomat told Reuters that Assad appeared distressed at the meeting and admitted that his army was too weak to repel the rebels. Iranian officials noted that Assad never asked Tehran to deploy troops in Syria, however, because he understood that Israel would likely use the move as a pretext to attack Iranian elements in Syria or in Iran itself.
After exhausting his options, Assad decided to accept the overthrow of his regime and leave the country – ending a dynasty that began in 1971 when his father, Hafez, came to power. Three of his associates told Reuters he initially wanted to flee to the United Arab Emirates. Still, the Emirates refused to grant him asylum for fear of a reaction from the international community. Moscow, which did not agree to military intervention, did not want to abandon Assad and granted him asylum.
Russia has both granted asylum to the fugitive dictator and worked behind the scenes to ensure he was not harmed on his way out of Syria. According to Reuters, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has led diplomatic efforts to ensure Bashar's safety. He has spoken with officials from Turkey and Qatar, asking them to take advantage of the countries' ties to the jihadist organization Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, which led the offensive that toppled Assad.
Qatar and Turkey have agreed with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham not to make it difficult for the dictator to escape. A Western security source said Lavrov was "doing everything he could" to ensure that Assad would leave Syria safely. According to Reuters, Moscow was also coordinating with neighboring countries to ensure that the Russian plane carrying Assad would not be attacked as it left Syrian airspace.
Muhammad al-Jalali, who was Assad's prime minister and handed over power to the rebel transitional government this week, spoke to him at 10:30 p.m. on Saturday. "In our last conversation, I told him how difficult the situation was. I told him that there were a huge number of displaced people who had left Homs towards Latakia and that there was terror and fear in the streets. He answered me: 'We'll see tomorrow.' That was the last thing he said to me: 'Tomorrow, tomorrow.'" Jalali tried to reach Assad the next day, but there was no answer.
Ynet and Reuters News
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🚨🧵An unusual incident that has not been revealed until now: On the day the living hostages were returned to Israel, the IDF caught a Hams terrorist cell that crossed the yellow line; during their interrogation, the terrorists led the forces to a mosque that served as a Hams headquarters with a large amount of weaponry
Several Hams terrorists crossed the yellow line in the Shuja'iyya neighborhood and reached about a kilometer from the border fence opposite Nahal Oz. An IDF drone identified them, followed them, and led forces from the 11th Reserve Brigade to capture them - and they were caught unarmed.
In their initial interrogation in the field, the terrorists led the force to a mosque that served as a Hams headquarters and training compound, which they planned to reach.
🚨🧵MUST READ THREAD: Iran admits failure. today’s main article in the Jomhouri Eslami newspaper—a paper run by the regime. This is an exceptional text from a newspaper associated with the ruling center in Iran and with the “old guard” of the Islamic Republic. Essentially: a sharp and open criticism of Hams’s operation and the strategic outcomes of the war.
In summary, it admits that “Topan al-Aqsa” was a mistake from the start and that two years later it can be seen that it only caused damage to all parties involved in the “Resistance Axis.” Gaza itself was almost completely destroyed; 80% of the buildings were demolished, tens of thousands of civilians were killed, and hundreds of thousands were injured or became refugees. At the same time, Syria lost its position on the anti-Israel front and moved closer to the US and Israel, which is defined as “one of the greatest losses” of the axis.
The article adds that Hezbollah in Lebanon also suffered a severe blow, with thousands of fighters killed, including Hassan Nasrallah himself, and with the rise of a Lebanese government perceived as pro-American. In this context, the author notes that Yemen suffered heavy human and economic losses.
Regarding Iran itself, it admits that in the 12-day war against Israel and the US, over 1,100 Iranians were killed, including senior officials and scientists, and significant damage was caused to nuclear facilities.
🚨🧵New details: Extensive IDF preparations for receiving the living hostages and the bodies: IDF Chief of Staff Zamir approved today the plans for the operation to receive the living hostages and the bodies, and commanders in the field conducted an assembly in the reception compound in Re'im in the last 24 hours to ensure its readiness for all scenarios.
Reception of the living hostages: 1. The living hostages will be transferred from Hams to the Red Cross, and from there to a special IDF unit waiting for them in the Gaza Strip area - at a point to be determined with the Red Cross personnel. It is not certain that these are the same reception points as in the previous release deal.
2. If any hostage is in a complex medical condition, he will not continue by vehicle to Israeli territory; a helicopter on standby inside the Gaza Strip will evacuate him to Soroka Hospital.
🔴 🧵 ANALYSIS: THE END OF THE WAR IN GAZA? Looking back at things from the 10,000-foot view, it is natural to think that the Gaza War might finally be over. Let’s dive into why that might be.
After Trump revealed his plan for Gaza around a week ago, things have been moving quickly. Hams has their back to the wall - the Arab countries made promises to Trump and have ambitious plans for the Strip once the war is over, and Hams isn’t a part of those plans.
Trump in recent days has understood that parts of his plan will likely be problematic, so he instead refocused his efforts on Phase I of the plan - the hostage release. Trump wants to get the hostages released and then worry about issues like disarmament and demilitarization later.
🧵TRUMP'S GAZA PLAN - THE SURRENDER OF HAMAS: Today, President Trump revealed his peace plan for the War in Gaza. Let's dive into it; what's good about for Israel, what's bad, and why it's the best deal on the table since 10/7.
After a whirlwind of a day, I think it’s important to start by taking the emotions out and only looking at the facts. Most wars in the world today end with a deal of some sorts; the days of decisive military victories almost never happens, and Israel is no different.
The fact of the matter is that Israel's situation right now is not great. The Israeli people and especially the young population are very tired of the war. It’s hard for anyone to maintain a normal life, whether it be children or adults and whether it be jobs or the economy, and this has been going on for nearly 2 years.
This unprecedented war (in length and scale) has taken a massive toll on the public, and people want the war to end, full stop.
🔴🧵MUST READ:Mossad agents planted special devices in Nasrallah's secret bunker before his elimination by the IDF. Details in the thread:
It happened in September of last year, in the midst of the air force bombing of Hezbollah strongholds in Beirut's Dahiyya; several people sneaked into Haret Harik in the Shiite quarter with well-camouflaged packages in their hands. They were fully aware that if Hezbollah members discovered them, they would face the death penalty. Seizing the devices in their possession would cause enormous security damage to the State of Israel.
They crept through narrow alleys, clung to the walls, and hoped that the Mossad case officer, the operator who sent them on the mission, had coordinated with the IDF so that the Air Force would not bomb the route they took to reach the multi-story residential building beneath which Hezbollah's secret main headquarters bunker was located.