TheKOOKReport Profile picture
Dec 14, 2024 48 tweets 19 min read Read on X
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Vodafone DA, stock market frustration, and much more in the Weekly Image
🚀 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW 🚀

🌐 Vodafone Deal:
10-yr agreement, >20 Mbps speeds, covers 60+ markets. France locked w/ #1 (Orange) & #2 (Altice). A game-changer for MNO partnerships!

📡 Global Expansion:
Gateways going live globally. Big 2025 marketing push incoming. 🌍

💸 Revenue Potential:
DB sees $4.5B by 2030 (50/50 split). Long-term deals boosting EXIM financing. 📈

📶 Tech Edge:
Spectral efficiency now 4 bps/Hz. Adaptive modulation = reliable satellite-to-phone connections.

🛡️ Military & Regulatory Wins:
DoD & Navy partnerships in play. FCC fast-tracking permits. 🛰️

📈 TAM Growth:
Beyond mobile – laptops, AR/VR devices, & more. ASTS redefines connectivity!

🔥 Competitive Advantage:
Starlink? Meet your match. ASTS's commercial moat keeps growing.

🎥 Narrative Power:
Documentaries & killer visuals drive the $ASTS story forward.

#ASTS #SpaceMobile #SatelliteBroadband
🌐Vodafone DA

- 10 Year Agreement Covers Vodafone Home Markets as well as other markets via its Partner Markets Program
- Vodafone operates in more than 20 markets and has partnerships that cover another 40 markets
- Confirmed speeds of greater than 20 Mbps on 5 Mhz of spectrum
- The service: These gateways will then connect to Vodafone's existing network infrastructure to route the broadband data to users' devices, as well as to access third-party Apps and the Internet

businesswire.com/news/home/2024…Image
🪶Coverage of Vodafone

A gateway is being installed in a first country - to be disclosed next year. ASTS disclosed, “We are installing five gateways in the United States and have gateways installed or nearing completion in half a dozen other countries.”

spacenews.com/ast-spacemobil…
📣Vodafone Team Comments

I cannot imagine the complexity here. Congrats to everyone. It would take people leaning in to get something done this quickly

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💰Sell Side Research

DB out after Vodafone. 50/50 revenue share. DB doing math that says $4.5bn of revenue by 2030. Image
🏦Vodafone and EXIM

Long-term contracts give a form of credit support that will help EXIM financing down the line

🪑Anpanman Breaks It Down

A very good conversation about the Vodafone deal

🥰Global Coverage

A reminder of just how large ASTS's addressable market is, and the progress in covering it thus far. This is the commercial moat.

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🙋‍♂️Emoji Visualization

Imagine entering each country one by one without a channel partner?
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🏰Commercial Moat

Scale matters

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👀Another Great visualization

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🧮Math Exam

Back to the game of "what it is not worth"

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🗼Block 1 Deployment

As we continue to learn about the process of approvals, a little more "learning" occurs (code for wrong initial expectations). Confirming Block 1 is deployed seems like an obviously pre-condition for the FCC to want before authorization an STA

licensing.fcc.gov/myibfs/downloa…Image
🇬🇧ASTS Goes To UK

Remember how FUDsters said global operations couldn't happen?

advanced-television.com/2024/12/09/ast…Image
✖️0⃣Not A Zero

A nice update from Hennessy Funds, which was among the first institutions to come out on $ASTS a year ago

hennessyfunds.com/insights/Focus…Image
🅰️Seeking Alpha

This write-up hits all the points. The author is a civil engineer.

seekingalpha.com/article/474409…
🎇Tut Recap

A great recap of what $ASTS has accomplished in 2024

🎙️The Narrative

It's good to think critically about the events over 12 months, and then the expected months 12 months hence

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🐣Knowledge Gap

Always remember how much more you know than the average investor

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🏃‍♂️Spectral Efficiency

ASTS has been disclosing data transmission rates that imply 4 bits per second of spectral efficiency. Original estimates were done with 2.5 bits per second Image
🐈‍⬛Cat Attack

We will discuss this on the Spaces

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🇨🇭UBS Conference Nugget

Goes back to the TAM related to taking back terrestrial assets and putting it to satellite

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🍔FirstNet Nothing Burger

No splashing PR but continued talk about satellites

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🚒FirstNet Still Talking About D2D

🍎Apple Showing TAM

Everything will be connected Image
🦐Apple Capacity

$GSAT's new system is just not in the same league.

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📶More Cellular Demand

This is going to need full broadband, not $GSAT.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…Image
🐢First Mover vs. Best Mover

A surprising chart that just shows how quickly customers adopt "better"

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🗻First Mover vs. Best Mover

Good summary here using my favorite example of VHS vs. BetaMax.

advanced-television.com/2024/12/12/sta…Image
💀Competing is Futile

Pack it up. It's too hard.

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🤣TSLAQ and ASTSQ

A good trip down memory lane just to see how Wall Street can miss by a mile

🍄AI Is Not Hallucinating

As per the above, interesting that Grok seems to know ASTS's position

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🛸Why ASTS Is Better

A great diagram showing the differences in the beams.

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👩‍⚖️Starlink Truth In Advertising

MNOs are sobering up.

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⚓️US Navy Contract

This would make sense

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🪖ASTS In Crystal City

Chris Ivory (AST CCO) will speak at the annual Department of Defense (DoD) Commercial Satcom Workshop taking place Dec 16-18 in Crystal City.
🤸US Gets Friendly

FAA is streamlining launch, but are we seeing overall streamlining at the FCC as well?

🐇ASTS STA Permits

Catse notes that applications are getting faster attention. FCC employees looking to avoid getting DOGE'd? "What did you do last week?"

Image
📲FCC Talking about SCS

FCC set the stage for some positive change

🇮🇳ASTS Investing In India

Our next launch is in India, we are partnered with Vodafone, and we have a large engineering center. Tut tracking closely.

🛰️SDA Contracts

A detailed analysis about the SDA opportunity

🔥SDA Heating Up

Good slides as the SDA talks more and more about their program

🤌Government RFP

It's happening. Soon.

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🚨Regulator Crack Down

Rollout with SALT has been delayed. And why? "Interference with neighboring countries."

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🤏Globalstar

Recap of their Analyst day

🎬Spacemob Documentary

Chris comes out with another banger. This story will be told again and again. Abel is a great inventor.

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Shorts pile in and no one knows why. That, and more, on this week's Weekly Image
🇸🇬ASTS Gets First Non-US Defense Deal

First of many…

AST SpaceMobile agreed a deal to provide Singapore’s Defence Science and Technology Agency (DSTA) with satellite-based emergency services in remote areas as the satellite player builds out its constellation of low Earth orbit (LEO) birds.

mobileworldlive.com/ast-spacemobil…

x.com/AST_SpaceMobil…
🐪What's Going on in the Middle East?



From a strategic perspective, ASTS is well-positioned as a partner to Gulf telecom operators offering D2D services. The report validates ASTS’s relevance to KSA’s connectivity strategy, especially in non-urban areas
Read 18 tweets
May 25
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ASTS preps its public face as its heads to Washington, FM-2 readies for a SpaceX launch and more, on this week's Weekly… Image
🤩Prime Time Forbes Article

Was this one of Forbes' most successful articles ever? Some say…

x.com/Forbes/status/…

x.com/CatSE___ApeX__…
🕴️And Prime Time Government

Carr has us top of mind.

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🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Cardinals select a new supreme constellation, FCC filings give us a lot of potential upside surprises, and more on this week's Weekly Image
🚀Launch Update

The launch guidance tightens up from H2 2025 - 1H 2026.

The story is now for cash flow ramp expectations. The April–May 2025 FCC/NTIA volley shows AST SpaceMobile has cleared the two riskiest technical hurdles—orbital-debris compliance and 36 GHz passive-sensor protection—while quietly quadrupling its target constellation. In short, “36 GHz passive-sensor protection” refers to proving that AST’s Q/V-band feeder links will not wash out sensitive climate-monitoring instruments. The filings show AST achieves this with comfortable technical margin, eliminating a major regulatory uncertainty without sacrificing link budget or launch schedule.

x.com/tottaway22/sta…Image
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🐕Pavlov's Dogs

The stock tends to do better into near-term visibility around execution

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🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

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🎌Rakuten Meeting

CEO Hiroshi Mikitani told a briefing Wednesday that Rakuten would provide voice, video, text and "other" services when it starts in the fourth quarter of 2026.

While Japan has dense mobile coverage in built-up areas, its difficult terrain and numerous offshore islands mean most carriers cover only about 70% of the total territory.

x.com/AST_SpaceMobil…

x.com/RakutenGroup/s…

x.com/Light_Reading/…
🤱Rakuten Explains the TAM

Lots of opportunities.

Read 28 tweets

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