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Dec 14, 2024 48 tweets 19 min read Read on X
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Vodafone DA, stock market frustration, and much more in the Weekly Image
🚀 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW 🚀

🌐 Vodafone Deal:
10-yr agreement, >20 Mbps speeds, covers 60+ markets. France locked w/ #1 (Orange) & #2 (Altice). A game-changer for MNO partnerships!

📡 Global Expansion:
Gateways going live globally. Big 2025 marketing push incoming. 🌍

💸 Revenue Potential:
DB sees $4.5B by 2030 (50/50 split). Long-term deals boosting EXIM financing. 📈

📶 Tech Edge:
Spectral efficiency now 4 bps/Hz. Adaptive modulation = reliable satellite-to-phone connections.

🛡️ Military & Regulatory Wins:
DoD & Navy partnerships in play. FCC fast-tracking permits. 🛰️

📈 TAM Growth:
Beyond mobile – laptops, AR/VR devices, & more. ASTS redefines connectivity!

🔥 Competitive Advantage:
Starlink? Meet your match. ASTS's commercial moat keeps growing.

🎥 Narrative Power:
Documentaries & killer visuals drive the $ASTS story forward.

#ASTS #SpaceMobile #SatelliteBroadband
🌐Vodafone DA

- 10 Year Agreement Covers Vodafone Home Markets as well as other markets via its Partner Markets Program
- Vodafone operates in more than 20 markets and has partnerships that cover another 40 markets
- Confirmed speeds of greater than 20 Mbps on 5 Mhz of spectrum
- The service: These gateways will then connect to Vodafone's existing network infrastructure to route the broadband data to users' devices, as well as to access third-party Apps and the Internet

businesswire.com/news/home/2024…Image
🪶Coverage of Vodafone

A gateway is being installed in a first country - to be disclosed next year. ASTS disclosed, “We are installing five gateways in the United States and have gateways installed or nearing completion in half a dozen other countries.”

spacenews.com/ast-spacemobil…
📣Vodafone Team Comments

I cannot imagine the complexity here. Congrats to everyone. It would take people leaning in to get something done this quickly

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💰Sell Side Research

DB out after Vodafone. 50/50 revenue share. DB doing math that says $4.5bn of revenue by 2030. Image
🏦Vodafone and EXIM

Long-term contracts give a form of credit support that will help EXIM financing down the line

🪑Anpanman Breaks It Down

A very good conversation about the Vodafone deal

🥰Global Coverage

A reminder of just how large ASTS's addressable market is, and the progress in covering it thus far. This is the commercial moat.

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🙋‍♂️Emoji Visualization

Imagine entering each country one by one without a channel partner?
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🏰Commercial Moat

Scale matters

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👀Another Great visualization

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🧮Math Exam

Back to the game of "what it is not worth"

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🗼Block 1 Deployment

As we continue to learn about the process of approvals, a little more "learning" occurs (code for wrong initial expectations). Confirming Block 1 is deployed seems like an obviously pre-condition for the FCC to want before authorization an STA

licensing.fcc.gov/myibfs/downloa…Image
🇬🇧ASTS Goes To UK

Remember how FUDsters said global operations couldn't happen?

advanced-television.com/2024/12/09/ast…Image
✖️0⃣Not A Zero

A nice update from Hennessy Funds, which was among the first institutions to come out on $ASTS a year ago

hennessyfunds.com/insights/Focus…Image
🅰️Seeking Alpha

This write-up hits all the points. The author is a civil engineer.

seekingalpha.com/article/474409…
🎇Tut Recap

A great recap of what $ASTS has accomplished in 2024

🎙️The Narrative

It's good to think critically about the events over 12 months, and then the expected months 12 months hence

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🐣Knowledge Gap

Always remember how much more you know than the average investor

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🏃‍♂️Spectral Efficiency

ASTS has been disclosing data transmission rates that imply 4 bits per second of spectral efficiency. Original estimates were done with 2.5 bits per second Image
🐈‍⬛Cat Attack

We will discuss this on the Spaces

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🇨🇭UBS Conference Nugget

Goes back to the TAM related to taking back terrestrial assets and putting it to satellite

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🍔FirstNet Nothing Burger

No splashing PR but continued talk about satellites

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🚒FirstNet Still Talking About D2D

🍎Apple Showing TAM

Everything will be connected Image
🦐Apple Capacity

$GSAT's new system is just not in the same league.

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📶More Cellular Demand

This is going to need full broadband, not $GSAT.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…Image
🐢First Mover vs. Best Mover

A surprising chart that just shows how quickly customers adopt "better"

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🗻First Mover vs. Best Mover

Good summary here using my favorite example of VHS vs. BetaMax.

advanced-television.com/2024/12/12/sta…Image
💀Competing is Futile

Pack it up. It's too hard.

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🤣TSLAQ and ASTSQ

A good trip down memory lane just to see how Wall Street can miss by a mile

🍄AI Is Not Hallucinating

As per the above, interesting that Grok seems to know ASTS's position

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🛸Why ASTS Is Better

A great diagram showing the differences in the beams.

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👩‍⚖️Starlink Truth In Advertising

MNOs are sobering up.

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⚓️US Navy Contract

This would make sense

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🪖ASTS In Crystal City

Chris Ivory (AST CCO) will speak at the annual Department of Defense (DoD) Commercial Satcom Workshop taking place Dec 16-18 in Crystal City.
🤸US Gets Friendly

FAA is streamlining launch, but are we seeing overall streamlining at the FCC as well?

🐇ASTS STA Permits

Catse notes that applications are getting faster attention. FCC employees looking to avoid getting DOGE'd? "What did you do last week?"

Image
📲FCC Talking about SCS

FCC set the stage for some positive change

🇮🇳ASTS Investing In India

Our next launch is in India, we are partnered with Vodafone, and we have a large engineering center. Tut tracking closely.

🛰️SDA Contracts

A detailed analysis about the SDA opportunity

🔥SDA Heating Up

Good slides as the SDA talks more and more about their program

🤌Government RFP

It's happening. Soon.

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🚨Regulator Crack Down

Rollout with SALT has been delayed. And why? "Interference with neighboring countries."

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🤏Globalstar

Recap of their Analyst day

🎬Spacemob Documentary

Chris comes out with another banger. This story will be told again and again. Abel is a great inventor.

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More from @thekookreport

Apr 20
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Seeing this filing means the operator (through the U.S. administration) has taken an early and essential regulatory step. The ITU framework sets the stage for official recognition of the satellite’s frequency usage and ensures no uncoordinated interference emerges

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Apr 6
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The world is over, but $ASTS continues to be in control of its destiny with nuanced details in regulatory filings showing that a large base of government revenue appears to be cooking. That, and more, on this week's Weekly... Image
👶Beta Boys

Beta is back. Wholesale liquidations of the market is always super fun, but it gives you a second chance. A great stock won't ever go back or rewind itself unless a) the market pukes or b) something bad happens.

Analogues:

October 1987 saw an enormous single‑day collapse (“Black Monday”). One month later, the market was roughly flat to slightly down (depending on the exact start/end points). November 2008 saw a vigorous +18 % rebound in the month after the local low, even though the global financial crisis continued well into 2009. March 2020 bottomed on March 23; the rebound one month later was approximately +25 %, reflecting the swift policy response and rapid market snapback.

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🫰Tariff Exposure

NomadBets breaks down the key issues

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Mar 30
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Son, are we winning? Apparently, but last week it didn't feel like it. Ligado got signed, the future is bright but macro and FUD separate the men from the boys...that, and more on this week's Weekly... Image
🤗SpaceMobile Cares

The Company respects its shareholders

📡Ligado Signed

The DA is signed. The implications of this are enormous. ASTS is ever-evolving and capitalizing on opportunities to maximize the value of their innovative technology

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Mar 23
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Block 2 gears up, FUDsters freak out as ASTS once against prepared to strike, and much more... Image
🪷ISRO Launch Coming. Not May Day, but a Day in May or June

It will be exciting to see the start of the main campaign. Block 2 Bluebird 6 starts the wave of launches that will occur over the next 12 months

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apps.fcc.gov/els/GetAtt.htm…

x.com/CatSE___ApeX__…

x.com/ISROSpacefligh…Image
🧑‍⚖️Guidance Confirmed

Nice to see everything reiterated

Read 27 tweets
Mar 16
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Verizon gets excited, government work heats up, and the market is busy getting clobbered Image
🚵Progress Vs. Price

It's astounding to see how much the Company has accomplished since August.

🩳Who Are The Shorts?

A tin hat theory for the ages

Read 27 tweets
Mar 9
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

ASTS accomplished more this quarter than any Company I can remember. As their unofficial chronicler, I'm in shock at their pace of play...read on, friends Image
🕺MWC Update

$ASTS was center stage. Here is a video of Scott. Initial service in 2025 and full service in 2026.

🎇ASTS is a 2025 Story

Hear that Millennium, Point 72, and Citadel pods?

Un-blow yourself up and get on the rocket

Read 50 tweets

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