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Apr 20 29 tweets 13 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

FM-1 progress coming soon, Golden Dome heating up, and much more on this week's Weekly... Image 🚀ISRO Firming Up

There is one launch ahead of us and then it's go time

x.com/ISROSpacefligh…

x.com/CatSE___ApeX__…
Apr 6 22 tweets 10 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

The world is over, but $ASTS continues to be in control of its destiny with nuanced details in regulatory filings showing that a large base of government revenue appears to be cooking. That, and more, on this week's Weekly... Image 👶Beta Boys

Beta is back. Wholesale liquidations of the market is always super fun, but it gives you a second chance. A great stock won't ever go back or rewind itself unless a) the market pukes or b) something bad happens.

Analogues:

October 1987 saw an enormous single‑day collapse (“Black Monday”). One month later, the market was roughly flat to slightly down (depending on the exact start/end points). November 2008 saw a vigorous +18 % rebound in the month after the local low, even though the global financial crisis continued well into 2009. March 2020 bottomed on March 23; the rebound one month later was approximately +25 %, reflecting the swift policy response and rapid market snapback.

x.com/Geiger_Capital…
Mar 30 35 tweets 19 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Son, are we winning? Apparently, but last week it didn't feel like it. Ligado got signed, the future is bright but macro and FUD separate the men from the boys...that, and more on this week's Weekly... Image 🤗SpaceMobile Cares

The Company respects its shareholders

Mar 23 27 tweets 13 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Block 2 gears up, FUDsters freak out as ASTS once against prepared to strike, and much more... Image 🪷ISRO Launch Coming. Not May Day, but a Day in May or June

It will be exciting to see the start of the main campaign. Block 2 Bluebird 6 starts the wave of launches that will occur over the next 12 months

x.com/CatSE___ApeX__…

apps.fcc.gov/els/GetAtt.htm…

x.com/CatSE___ApeX__…

x.com/ISROSpacefligh…Image
Mar 16 27 tweets 9 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Verizon gets excited, government work heats up, and the market is busy getting clobbered Image 🚵Progress Vs. Price

It's astounding to see how much the Company has accomplished since August.

Mar 9 50 tweets 21 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

ASTS accomplished more this quarter than any Company I can remember. As their unofficial chronicler, I'm in shock at their pace of play...read on, friends Image 🕺MWC Update

$ASTS was center stage. Here is a video of Scott. Initial service in 2025 and full service in 2026.

Mar 3 47 tweets 19 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Partner calls, SDA contract, global support for $ASTS and much more... Image 🎅What Have You Done For Me Lately?

A lot.

Feb 23 38 tweets 16 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Policy lock in, more FCC ground work, and a large slate of catalysts. That and more, on the Weekly Image 💋ASTS Is Hot Again (until Friday)

More attention. Does this stuff matter? Yes, in the sense if someone new is looking at it, the more surrounding validation that ASTS is a real company helps lower the threshold for people digging into the story. Then they will 🅰️themselves.

Feb 16 31 tweets 20 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

T-Mobile blows its Super Bowl ad on $ASTS, FCC approvals, Anduril CEO is an investor, and more… Image 🤯T-Mobile Advertises…$ASTS?

Wait, what the? Who had this on their bingo card? A T-Mobile advertisement for Starlink causes $ASTS to nearly double? Lol. Stocks are crazy. What's even funnier is that it flushed out that one of the great tech titans revealed he owned $ASTS. We are not alone.

x.com/elonmusk/statu…

x.com/PalmerLuckey/s…

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Feb 9 33 tweets 12 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Everything, all at once. That, and more priceless insights in the Weekly… Image 🌋BREAKOUT!

I FELT IT LAST WEEK. And Boom, everything all at once.

Image
Feb 3 32 tweets 12 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

ASTS announces its US FCC approvals to begin testing. Everything is coming together.

Image ⚙️Block 1 Works

Video call. Fully transparent, no photo shop. End of story

Jan 26 20 tweets 9 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Trump's Boy Brendan Carr gives ASTS the go-ahead, convertible bond successfully placed, a cleaned-up balance sheet and more in the Weekly Image 🏁ASTS Gets a Brendan Carr Approval

The Trump administration approved $ASTS testing on AT&T spectrum on the 3rd full day of its administration. The path for commercial operations starts now.

apps.fcc.gov/oetcf/els/repo…Image
Jan 21 32 tweets 15 min read
🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Blue Origin makes orbit on the first try, Starship faces on its seventh. ASTS has a flurry of FCC paperwork as ISRO seems to be gearing up for more business. That and more on The Weekly... Image 🤖Getting Up to Speed?

Listen to your favorite Fanboi's or get the real things on our Weekly Spaces

Jan 13 26 tweets 10 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

A transformational Ligado deal, Los Angeles in crisis, an FCC permit, and a lighting a very large BONG... Image 💎Arbitrage

One man's expensive to deploy spectrum is another man's gold.

Image
Jan 5 25 tweets 10 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

UK and Turkey STAs received, Fidelity loads up, ISRO potentially early launch, New Glenn launch date and more… Image 🚀 $ASTS Weekly Highlights 🚀

🌐 Major Updates:

UK & Turkey STAs received with spectrum consents.

Fidelity increases holdings, signaling confidence.

Launch News: Reports from India suggest an earlier Bluebird 2 launch by ISRO, and New Glenn mission upcoming.

📊 Key Insights:

Production pace hinted at 17 satellites in progress.

Competitive moat fortified: IP, regulatory, and commercial advantages.

🌍 Global Moves:

Australia’s $1.1B rural connectivity plan includes LEO trials.

Starlink Gen 3 satellites promise gigabit speeds, raising stakes.
Dec 28, 2024 20 tweets 11 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Blue Origin hot fires successfully (despite earlier market rumors), some year in reviews, STA updates, and much more... Image AST SpaceMobile’s Transformational Year:
ASTS has undergone a significant evolution over the past year, transforming from a company grappling with technical and financial uncertainty to one with strong partnerships (Google, Verizon, AT&T), validated FCC approvals, government deals, and an emerging satellite technology platform. Block 1 deployment has shown real progress, and ASTS is now positioned as a potential leader in the direct-to-device satellite market. Challenges remain in scaling, securing additional funding, and achieving full regulatory approval.

Competitive Landscape: ASTS vs. Starlink:
Expert interviews highlight AST SpaceMobile’s unique approach with high-capacity satellites and large antennas, enabling superior speeds (20–100 Mbps). In contrast, Starlink leverages its rapid satellite deployment and spectrum agreements with T-Mobile to offer near-term services but with limited capacity and slower speeds (1–2 Mbps). Both companies face regulatory, technical, and financial hurdles as they race to capture growing demand in satellite-based IoT and connectivity markets.

Market Dynamics and Catalysts:
Key upcoming catalysts include potential BAML analyst coverage, further FCC spectrum decisions, and advancements in ASTS’s satellite deployments. Spectrum reuse and beamforming technologies remain critical to ASTS’s ability to scale and compete effectively. Meanwhile, broader telco market changes, like Verizon selling 6,300 towers and AT&T phasing out copper networks, underscore the push toward capital-efficient infrastructure and advanced wireless technologies.

Regulatory and Legal Developments:
Viasat has filed complaints against Starlink’s spectrum use, emphasizing interference and procedural concerns. This adds complexity to the regulatory landscape as ASTS and others vie for approval. ASTS’s ability to navigate these challenges will be pivotal for its success.

Investor Sentiment and Financial Developments:
Tax-loss selling and prior high trading volumes at levels above $25 suggest a reset in investor expectations, creating opportunities for a fresh start in 2025. ASTS’s recent shareholder decisions and redemptions also provide clarity on its financial position going into the new year.
Industry Highlights:

Telco Evolution: AT&T’s $6B annual maintenance cost for copper networks highlights the operational burdens of legacy infrastructure. Phasing out copper could unlock billions in recoverable resources.
Blue Origin and SpaceX Updates: Excitement continues in the space industry, with milestones such as static fire tests for upcoming launches.

IoT Potential: The adoption of 5G spectrum for satellite communication opens new avenues for integrating satellite connectivity into cars, industrial sensors, and more.
Dec 21, 2024 42 tweets 15 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Christmas is coming. Many updates and tidbits that advance our knowledge of AST Spacemobile...read on, friends Image 🚀 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW 🚀

Video Calls Now Possible:Beta services launching in early 2025 with FCC support. Each satellite delivers 1M GB usable capacity, covering vast regions.
50 MOUs secured for global partnerships.

Saturno Project Partnership:Collaboration with Vodafone and Spain for satellite-driven connectivity.
Focus on bridging the digital divide and innovating space technology.

5G Fund Progress: FCC rules effective Jan 2025 to fund ASTS's rural deployment. $50M annual funding likely for infrastructure expansion.

Global Opportunity: $ASTS emerging as the mobile-first leader, contrasting with Starlink's fixed solutions.
Partnerships with telecom giants like Vodafone ensure strong growth potential.

Industry Disruption: Competitors face challenges in compatibility and public perception. AST SpaceMobile poised for rapid adoption in underserved regions.
Dec 14, 2024 48 tweets 19 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

Vodafone DA, stock market frustration, and much more in the Weekly Image 🚀 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW 🚀

🌐 Vodafone Deal:
10-yr agreement, >20 Mbps speeds, covers 60+ markets. France locked w/ #1 (Orange) & #2 (Altice). A game-changer for MNO partnerships!

📡 Global Expansion:
Gateways going live globally. Big 2025 marketing push incoming. 🌍

💸 Revenue Potential:
DB sees $4.5B by 2030 (50/50 split). Long-term deals boosting EXIM financing. 📈

📶 Tech Edge:
Spectral efficiency now 4 bps/Hz. Adaptive modulation = reliable satellite-to-phone connections.

🛡️ Military & Regulatory Wins:
DoD & Navy partnerships in play. FCC fast-tracking permits. 🛰️

📈 TAM Growth:
Beyond mobile – laptops, AR/VR devices, & more. ASTS redefines connectivity!

🔥 Competitive Advantage:
Starlink? Meet your match. ASTS's commercial moat keeps growing.

🎥 Narrative Power:
Documentaries & killer visuals drive the $ASTS story forward.

#ASTS #SpaceMobile #SatelliteBroadband
Dec 7, 2024 49 tweets 23 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

$ASTS gets industry recognition as well as a lot of attention at AT&T's analyst day, as much more... Image 🍰Summary

Achievements and Industry Position:
Recognition: $ASTS was named the "2024 Emerging Space Company of the Year."

Industry Alignment: Positioned at a critical intersection of technology and connectivity trends, such as satellite communication.
Trading Sentiment:

Market Dynamics: Noted trading patterns where $ASTS is seen as a pair trade against Starlink news, with investors reacting to perceived competition.

Zoomed-Out Perspective: Investors are encouraged to focus on the long-term structural advantages and milestones of $ASTS.
Competitive Insights:

Starlink Comparisons: Differences highlighted between $ASTS's higher speeds and capacity versus Starlink's shared-beam model.

Investor Challenges: Difficulty for institutions to invest in $ASTS due to pre-revenue status and competition with Elon Musk's ventures.

Satellite Operations: Updates on AST5000 ASIC development for enhanced performance in space environments.

Regulatory Milestones: Progress in FCC approvals, including spectrum leasing arrangements and compliance.
Partnerships:

AT&T Collaboration: AT&T's strategy emphasizes $ASTS's role in augmenting terrestrial services. AT&T and Verizon's spectrum contributions bolster $ASTS's offering.

Catalysts and Future Outlook:
Upcoming Catalysts: Regulatory approvals, new launches (e.g., Bluebird 2), government contracts, and initial operations/revenue.

Long-Term Vision: Potential for significant revenue growth and impact on mobile network operators' subscriber value.

Geopolitical and Global Context:
International Developments: Regulatory challenges in Namibia for Starlink, opportunities in Europe, and competitive positioning in the Indian market.

MNO Partnerships: The strategic choice to collaborate with mobile network operators ensures smoother market entry and broader adoption.
Investment Insights:

Valuation Potential: The potential for exponential growth if milestones are achieved, highlighting parallels with historical tech successes.

Market Awareness: Awareness and investment traction are still in the early stages, with significant room for growth.
Dec 1, 2024 61 tweets 28 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

$ASTS is set to receive FCC approval, Starlink gets to pursue its defective system, FUD Busting, and much more on this week's Weekly Image Week in Review Highlights:
Global Expansion and Partnerships: Permits filed in Turkey with Vodafone. Notable collaborations with AT&T, including mentions of their strategic investments and upcoming Analyst Day.

Competitive Landscape: Critical analysis of Starlink's limitations, regulatory challenges, and service model, highlighting $ASTS's edge in technology and market positioning.

Market Opportunities: Emphasis on the scalability and economic potential of commercial space applications, with $ASTS poised to revolutionize telecommunications, especially in underserved areas.

Investment Case for $ASTS: Focus on its superwholesale model, strategic partnerships, and visionary leadership driving innovation.
Financial health underlined by significant cash reserves and successful satellite launches.

Key Takeaways from DB Conference: Observations on industry lethargy versus $ASTS's dynamic approach, with leadership seen as focused and mission-driven.
Analysis of historical failures in satellite
communications and how $ASTS is breaking that mold.

Regulatory and Competitive Insights: Updates on FCC approvals, spectrum battles, and the impact of lower orbital altitudes on satellite longevity and efficiency.
Starlink's challenges with interference and its perceived struggles to compete with $ASTS.

Technological Innovation: Discussion on space-based power generation and other potential non-communication applications for $ASTS's technology.

Market Trends and Sentiment: Shift in generalist investor sentiment towards space stocks, with $ASTS emerging as a long-term growth story.
Analysis of adjacent industries and their role in $ASTS's success, including military and government programs.

Broader Space Economy: Highlights on the growing valuation of space companies like SpaceX and the potential for market disruption in the telecommunications sector.
Nov 24, 2024 46 tweets 25 min read
🚨🚨 $ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW🚨🚨

The wet dream of shorts is about to turn into a nightmare for them. I will also try to do a Spaces to cover these topics tomorrow and will schedule it when I know my schedule. Image 🤘Key Highlights:

Sources and Uses of Funds: Analysis suggests the company may be pursuing less dilutive financing strategies, signaling long-term confidence.
Government funding, MNO prepayments, and EXIM support remain key potential catalysts.

Growing Interest: $ASTS presentations are drawing larger crowds, with institutional investors starting to take notice.

Market Sizing: The satellite market potential, especially in D2D communications, is vast, with both consumer and military applications on the horizon.

Short Seller Debunking: Recent short theses are critiqued, highlighting gaps in their assumptions and reinforcing the long-term investment thesis for $ASTS.

Technical Developments: Continued testing of BW-3 and updates on beam size efficiencies showcase $ASTS's technological edge.

Leadership Moves: CEO Abel Avellan's estate planning transaction signals confidence in $ASTS's future while aligning shareholder interests.

Policy & Regulation: Changes at the FCC, including new leadership, are likely to shape the regulatory landscape favorably for satellite communications.