TheKOOKReport Profile picture
I don't trade. I own. I've become a single thread guy recently, so just go with it while I think publicly about my investment in $ASTS.
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Apr 11 16 tweets 3 min read
"Why I believe $GOOG will buy $ASTS, and how this will happen."

By Kook Report Image Big Tech has an M&A problem. They want to do it, but cannot do horizontal mergers anymore. They can do vertical integration or new businesses

wsj.com/tech/big-tech-…
Dec 26, 2023 27 tweets 8 min read
1/ Our next segment of #hardcoreDD for $ASTS focuses on the technology. Please DM me with any corrections, suggestions, or areas for me to modify in the next draft (modifying other sections with feedback received) Image 2/ Here is the simple overview with a schematic from an $ASTS patent filing Image
Apr 5, 2023 5 tweets 3 min read
Sorry for the delay, but in response to popular demand, here is the B. Riley note on $ASTS

It's interesting that the analyst echoes the chorus from retail...maybe retail wasn't so unreasonable in their Philadelphia welcome of the Company's update ImageImage In what is literally what the halls of Twitter was saying, B. Riley states the obvious: Image
Apr 2, 2023 21 tweets 8 min read
1/ So you let the stock price write the news? Here is my summary of the $ASTS call and filings.

Since retail can be a bit in need of TLDR: Onlyfans creators are just going to have to wait before uploading at 5G. Downloading, though...blazing fast 2/ The 10K says simply that they are “continuing” the initial testing to achieve Cellular Broadband communications. This implies they have not yet achieved Cellular Broadband communications; “Cellular Broadband” refers to cellular communications at 4G LTE/5G speeds. 3G anyone?
Mar 5, 2023 18 tweets 7 min read
1/ For new members of the $ASTS #Spacemob, I realize there can be a lot of noise on the internet. But, based on Friday's "news," it seems like we might have a seminal event shortly...albeit the first of what will be many accretive weddings with most of the world's MNOs 2/ While I had expected the next "event" to be a 'First Call' - which was pretty clearly disclosed in FCC filings (I'll keep the surprise so it maintains its full impact!), we might have an accelerated path to an unlock in the share price
Mar 2, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read
Here is a review of the new $ASTS investor presentation, which can be found here:

ast-science.com/wp-content/upl… First thing is this point, which is coincidence with the roadshow guidance from the December capital raise. FUNDED for production AND launch of Block 1. This means funded until first revenue, whereupon they should have break-even cash flow Image
Dec 1, 2022 7 tweets 3 min read
Here is the $ASTS update from B. Riley. Some important points Remember that during the roadshow, management would have been giving presentations on a 1:1 basis and also setting the stage for revised messaging. B. Riley would be parroting that. So we read carefully. First tech risk: viewed as now basically gone
Nov 29, 2022 29 tweets 7 min read
2nd attempt. Elon taught me, "don't tweet in a men's room stall," so now I'm going to write this properly while at my desk. So we were talking about $ASTS and its secondary that it announced... I know the market is generally conditioned to go "OMG - they are raising equity."

Yeah, dipsh~t, the primary benefit of being publicly-traded is access to efficient capital. Trust me, I'm living the other side of this right now; private markets are SHUT.
Nov 14, 2022 29 tweets 12 min read
SPECIAL REPORT AHEAD OF $ASTS’S EARNINGS CALL PART 1. Anxious? Worried? Let’s compile what we know so that everyone can be as best positioned as possible into the Nov 14 update call. This piece was a team effort of @spacanpanman @catse and @steve_larrison and myself There is one question we are asking: did the bird spread its wings? Let’s put together the mosaic. The thing needs to be in orbit, controlled, unfurl, and then talk to a handset and relay that back to a terrestrial gateway. Let’s check off all these things
Nov 12, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
Sam, so you went bankrupt you miserable little sh~t.

Let's start...the docket. Right now, we have a "freefall bankruptcy." That's totally JV and it's because of a sudden fraud as well as a meth-head CEO who was banging his co-CEO. They didn't plan. "Splat" Image All the subsidiaries filed. It's going to be a consolidated case that rolls up into one big process. Image
Sep 16, 2022 16 tweets 7 min read
"It always seems impossible until it is done." I wanted to share some experience as it relates to technical story stocks. I've been drawn to them in my career. Anyone who follows me knows that for the last 2 years, I've been really focused on $ASTS These stocks fall to the event-driven crowd, at least at first. They are not yet mature enough or have large enough market caps for long-only's. These become the fodder for idea dinners and analysts relentlessly pitch each other their book until something happens.
Sep 15, 2022 24 tweets 10 min read
Dear #Spacemob, this is the $ASTS bear case. The benefit of this is that now, in theory a lot of funds will look into the stock. Knee-jerks will pass. More eyes and more money engaged in a battle ground stock gives investors their day in court. Ignored no more. As we start this evaluation of their piece, let's first start with a character assault. I mean, we have to soften up the witness on the stand, right? Sahm Adrangi would not get NASA clearance to launch anything, ever. But I digress...
cnbc.com/2016/08/15/hed…
Sep 14, 2022 7 tweets 4 min read
#MeetTheTeam SpaceX had entered the mobile phone race and I heard questions about whether they'd go recruit all of $ASTS's employees. First of all, if you are an ambitious engineer, do you want to work at a $125bn valuation company or a $2bn company? Starting point matters... Image Quick aside, the other day I saw a sky blue Porsche Taycan Turbo S with the plates "MARSHIP" that had a SpaceX plate holder. To say SpaceX has been a place of wealth generation is an understatement. As well it should be. They should all be canonized for their achievement Image
Sep 13, 2022 11 tweets 5 min read
File this to read on a less tumultuous day - I realize there is little appetite for any high beta stocks like $ASTS, but critical thinking should never stop. Here is an interesting $MS piece today on SpaceX. Having just seen a SpaceX launch, it's humbling and inspiring ImageImage It's clear that satellite connectivity is quickly moving from the dust-bin of history when Iridium & GlobalStar, etc were promising technologies that failed to get product-market fit. There are a LOT of examples of loose analogues Image
Sep 12, 2022 8 tweets 3 min read
I'll keep office hours open a bit more to answer this question since it's interesting and explains a bit about the incestuous relationship between the buyside and the sell side
Again, let's start with the extreme example to drive home the point. $MS recently got in trouble over its block trades. Funds were tipped off they were coming so would depress the price to get a deal. Syndicate desks were just given money bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Sep 12, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
Ok, last tweet today, but thought I'd share something interesting about how options work. $ASTS has an astounding 171,000 open call option contracts, representing 17MM shares or like 40% of the float. Launch was a huge jump-risk volatility event, at least-ex-ante Investors generally own the calls, sold to them by hedged dealers. Dealers are short delta or basically fractional shares of stock, and short gamma, which means if the stock goes up, they are way shorter than they intended to be. To hedge, they owned more stock ahead of events
Sep 12, 2022 22 tweets 8 min read
$ASTS has caused some consternation about its prospective dilution because of its cash demands and to-date choice around how to fund growth, namely, its filing of At-The-Market ("ATM") facilities with B. Riley and Evercore Some shareholders rightly wonder about the risk of dilution and whether there is an overhang. This is a valid concern and one I care about a lot. Let's just put this out into open air and have a little discussion
Sep 12, 2022 8 tweets 3 min read
Definitely seeing a lot of this. When taking a step back and viewing the world through $ASTS stock (at least i'm honest), it's crazy that $ASTS (effectively a Series C-stage company) is marked UP from its last financing. Not many other Series C companies can say the same Image Let's look at how dispersion has occurred in the market since the "Age of Ebullience & Idiocy" we saw in 2021 to the "Age of Show Me" that we currently live in. It's the metaphorical low tide Image
Sep 12, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
I know where people stand on $CVNA (they hate it), but look at how cleaned up this is getting. About to have 50dma cross the 100dma. I have been intrigued by the large market opportunity, but understand the bear case, respect it, and fear it (just to be clear) The bull case is that a) declining used car prices juice market volumes again and b) COVID disruptions go away, both of which go to driving operating leverage. A big operating snafu and de-leveraged margins created confusion whether the model was totally busted
Sep 12, 2022 13 tweets 5 min read
To validate exactly what I had said about the difficulty of determining the "unlock" - imagine my surprise when I woke up to see $ASTS up 5-10%. I was already prepared to be "pissed" at the stock being up 25-30% because I thought the stock deserved to be a lot more Image Successful launch should have been routine, but for a stock where so much sentiment is tied up in BW-3, anything that deviated from plan would have been taken out of context (never mind that $ASTS accrued all the IP and learning value from getting BW-3 through testing) Image
Aug 19, 2022 8 tweets 4 min read
$BBBY I realize people don't give a sh~t about actual analysis, but for anyone I can save from this ridiculous retail rugpull...I shall try. So what's the basic situation in life that results in a company dying? Two concepts: Liquidity & Solvency $BBBY Company has $107.5MM of cash and ~$500MM of undrawn RC. There's a springing leverage covenant and they need borrowing base (don't see availability off hand). Can only squeeze so much by liening up WC and might get draw stopped. Expected to burn $160MM next six months