o1-preview is far superior to doctors on reasoning tasks and it's not even close, according to OpenAI's latest paper.
AI does ~80% vs ~30% on the 143 hard NEJM CPC diagnoses.
It's dangerous now to trust your doctor and NOT consult an AI model.
Here are some actual tasks:
1/5
Here's an example case looking at phosphate wasting and elevated FGF23, then proceeded to imaging to localize a potential tumor.
o1-preview suggested testing plan takes a broader, more methodical approach, systematically ruling out other causes of hypophosphatemia.
2/5
For persistent, unexplained hyperammonemia, o1-preview recommends a prioritized expansion of tests—from basic immunoglobulins and electrolytes to advanced imaging, breath tests for SIBO and specialized GI biopsies—ensuring more common causes are checked first.
3/5
I have all the respect in the world for doctors, but in many cases their job is basic reasoning over a tremendously large domain-specific knowledge base.
Fortunately, this is exactly what LLMs are really good for.
This means more high quality healthcare for everyone.
4/5
A small company in the <1M city of Niigata, Japan has a monopoly on the equipment that makes every single modern iPhone and TV display on the planet.
Here's the story of Tokki, the most important company you've never heard of...
1/8
Tokki makes just ~10 ELVESS machines a year.
Each one is a clean room within a clean room, stretching longer than an Olympic swimming pool, and can costs $ 100M+. They're the only ones who can do it.
2/8
These machines deposit layers of organic materials 1/2000th the width of a human hair. One speck of dust ruins everything - that's why they operate in vacuum chambers cleaner than an operating room.
3/8
The middle manager is the biggest culprit of the "quiet quitting" SWE epidemic.
They have 0 incentive to fire. The entire job is bargaining for more headcount so they can get promoted.
They'll say "we are understaffed, we need more people" no matter how little they do.
1/4
If you have multiple levels of this, its often dysfunctional down the entire chain.
The non technical middle manager are the worst culprits. ICs can (and will) swindle them endlessly into their infinite timelines. I've never worked with a good one.
2/4
A competent middle manager should be able to do the job of all their reports and say "if you think that takes 2 months, you need to find another job. It shouldn't take more than 2 weeks." (and be right)
Their managers need to keep them accountable for each report.
3/4
The youth of India spends money they don't have to play status games.
Multiple people making <₹50k ($600)/mo in their 20s are buying
— iPhone & other Apple products (on interest)
— Coldplay / Dua Lipa concerts
— trips to Thailand / Vietnam / Goa
They save little to no money.
I’ve been in India and multiple people have told me they’re essentially broke after multiple years of working.
Income asymmetry amongst similar social groups is high which can force this “suddenly my college buddy makes 90LPA but I’m at 12”
The peer pressure to “fit in” is high
~10M people in India made 20+LPA ($25k/yr)
~10M iPhones were sold in India in just 2023. 70% of them were on EMI (interest).