Let's talk about the glass delusion, the Middle Ages' bout with a mass psychogenic illness marked by people believing they were made of glass.
Glass was a valuable commodity in Europe. It was primarily owned by the noble and well-to-do, and it had a notable purpose in alchemy.
Its perception as the technology of the time was as one that's both fragile and valuable, like the nobility.
Glass was the relatively novel technology people knew, and they knew things could be transmuted into glass. Delusional people also thought transmutation could affect them.
Take King Charles VI.
He truly believed his body was made of glass.
This delusion was such that Charles felt he had to build his life around it.
He had iron rods fastened into his clothing to hold him up, and he didn't allow his advisors to approach him, lest they accidentally shatter him.
This illness set in during his twenties.
The age when his psychotic bouts started is remarkably consistent with when the illness starts today.
Were he alive today, he probably would have been prescribed antipsychotics for his condition.
But Charles was alive long before his condition was understood.
He also wasn't its only sufferer. As alchemy's popularity grew, more people started to suffer the glass delusion.
They understood glass as fragile, and themselves as fragile, and they acted out that script.
For the well-off, the delusion was treated as legitimate. Many nobles came to wear padded buttocks.
But in one case, in Saint Germain, a doctor took a man who thought his butt was made of glass and beat him until he stopped believing in the delusion.
Apparently that worked.
Amusingly, in Rene Descartes' Meditations on First Philosophy, he remarked on the glass delusion and used it as an example of how people can see the world in totally different ways.
Of course, he did say that the perception was insane.
Fast forward to the 19th century and factories are beginning to dot the landscape of Europe.
With the change in popular technology, people's delusions followed suit.
With industry, the delusions became industrial. People imagined they were being influenced by vast machines.
Patients who presented with this belief in intricate, far off machines that controlled their actions and influenced their lives could never explain how they worked.
Just as people didn't know how they became glass, they didn't get how machines were affecting them.
Factories influenced the world, machines could obviously influence us, thus...
Schizophrenics' delusions are tailored to what they vaguely know, and they learn about those half-baked delusions from others, the times, etc.
Consider exorcism. Its modern script came from a movie!
People today know about parasites, chronic pain, post-viral conditions, toxic poisoning, and more, and they have an amazing tool for finding and promoting related scripts:
The internet!
Thousands of people today believe they have a skin condition called Morgellons.
It's not real.
They just believe they're developing sores and lesions, and hairs are sprouting from them, but they're really picking themselves raw and getting freaked out by cotton fibers.
The sufferers from this condition are deeply unwell, and they spread their unwellness to other people through posting about their condition online.
People know about all the requisite concepts, and they see something on themselves and imagine it's a real symptom.
But it's not.
There are no demons, there's no Morgellons, people cannot be made of glass, and there's no big machine out there influencing people and miraculously disappearing the moment those concepts go out of fashion and get replaced by other ones with nary a cure invented.
And this keeps happening!
People are always inventing new conditions or imagining they're afflicted by something real when they're not, by reading into symptoms and gaslighting themselves.
And they sometimes act incredibly mad in these bouts of belief.
A subset of people today seem vulnerable to scripts, and some seem to have always been vulnerable to it.
It makes you wonder: must psychotic people always be like this? And what can we do to cure them of their delusions?
I suggest we don't give in with padded buttocks.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
You know how most books on Amazon are AI slop now? If you didn't, look at the publication numbers.
Compare those to the proportion Pangram flags as AI-generated. It's fully aligned with the implied numbers based on the rise over 2022 publication levels!
Similarly, the rise of pro se litigants has come with a rise in case filings detected as being AI-generated, and with virtually zero false-positives before AI was around.
Pierre Guillaume Frédéric le Play argued that France's early fertility decline was driven by its inheritance reforms, where estates had to be split up equally to all of the kids, including the girls.
There's likely something to this!🧵
For reference, the French Revolution ushered in a number of egalitarian laws.
A major example of these had to do with inheritance, and in particular with partibility.
In some areas of France, there was partible inheritance, and in others, it was impartible.
Partible inheritance refers to inheritance spread among all of a person's heirs, sometimes including girls, sometimes not.
Impartible inheritance on the other hands refers to the situation where the head of an estate can nominate a particular heir to get all or a select portion.
In terms of their employment, religion, and sex, people who joined the Nazi party started off incredibly distinct from the people in their communities.
It's only near the end of WWII when they started resembling everyday Germans.
Early on, a lot of this dissimilarity is due to hysteresis.
Even as the party was growing, people were selectively recruited because they were often recruited by their out-of-place friends, and they were themselves out-of-place.
It took huge growth to break that.
And you can see the decline of fervor based on the decline of Nazi imagery in people's portraits.
And while this is observed by-and-large, it's not observed among the SS, who had a consistently higher rate of symbolic fanaticism.
I simulated 100,000 people to show how often people are "thrice-exceptional": Smart, stable, and exceptionally hard-working.
I've highlighted these people in red in this chart:
If you reorient the chart to a bird's eye view, it looks like this:
In short, there are not many people who are thrice-exceptional, in the sense of being at least +2 standard deviations in conscientiousness, emotional stability (i.e., inverse neuroticism), and intelligence.
To replicate this, use 42 as the seed and assume linearity and normality
The decline of trust is something worth caring about, and reversing it is something worth doing.
We should not have to live constantly wondering if we're being lied to or scammed. Trust should be possible again.
I don't know how we go about regaining trust and promoting trustworthiness in society.
It feels like there's an immense level of toleration of untrustworthy behavior from everyone: scams are openly funded; academics congratulate their fraudster peers; all content is now slop.
What China's doing—corruption crackdowns and arresting fraudsters—seems laudable, and I think the U.S. and other Western nations should follow suit.
Fraud leads to so many lives being lost and so much progress being halted or delayed.
British fertility abruptly fell after one important court case: the Bradlaugh-Besant trial🧵
You can see its impact very visibly on this chart:
The trial involved Annie Besant (left) and Charles Bradlaugh (right).
These two were atheists—a scandalous position at the time!—and they wanted to promote free-thinking about practically everything that upset the puritanical society of their time.
They were on trial because they tried to sell a book entitled Fruits of Philosophy.
This was an American guide to tons of different aspects of family planning, and included birth control methods, some of which worked, others which did not.