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Dec 22 19 tweets 7 min read Read on X
1/ A look into the state of many of the remaining armored vehicles in storage and how useless they are, along with their storage facilities 🧵 Image
2/ I'm well aware that many people look at the spreadsheet at feel demoralized by how much stuff Russia still has in reserve. Alas, that's not entirely the whole picture. Let's take the stored BTRs as an example. Image
3/ If you look at the sheet, it appears they still have a bit under two thirds of the prewar stock. Is it true tho? docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…Image
4/ Actually, as I explained in many other previous threads, we take into consideration stuff classified as "worse" that, while not entire write offs, certainly doesn't look very promising for frontline service. Image
5/ @CovertCabal and @Rebel44CZ addressed this not so long ago, when Covert released his video on the 111th base and how almost all the BMPs there are junk (see the pic in the previous tweet).
6/ For a bit more complementary info on the subject of this thread, also check this one:
7/ But back to the subject at hand, it looks like Russia still has overall 2358 stored BTR-60/70/80s out of the 3673 it had in storage before the war. Let's take a closer look at them. Image
8/ In reality, most of the vehicles are older BTR-60s and -70s, and in poor condition. How poor? Well, take a look at 1063rd Logistics Center in Saigrajewo, at the vehicle storage at Kaliningrad or at the 372nd in Smolino: Image
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9/ Many such places. But what's more important, how long has it been since they were last moved around at parked at their current spots?

It was 2010 for the BTRs in the 372nd (there's no previous public footage of the site): Image
10/ 2020 for Saigrajewo: Image
20/ 2018 for Kaliningrad: Image
21/ And there's a lot more places, like the 1690th NBC Storage Base near Rzhanitsa, where they have been unmoved since at least 2014: Image
22/ Or the 7007th near Jekaterimburg, with no changes since 2017 either: Image
23/ The point is, this happens across a lot of bases, and not just BTRs. They're just the perfect example for this thread, but it's mostly the same with other armor types such as MT-LBus, BTR-50s, BRDM-2s and even BMPs and tanks at certain bases like the 111th or the 2544th. Image
24/ So the real numbers surely are lower, but we can't write off scores of equipment just like that without very high confidence, so we just keep them in the "worse" condition because they probably only serve as spare part sources, in the best case scenario for Russians. Image
25/ And not just armor, obviously, but also every other type of stored equipment. Image
26/ A vehicle that doesn't move for so long is a dead vehicle, unless a very expensive and time-intensive repair process is applied to them. And if you don't believe me, you surely have seen what happens to abandoned civilian cars over just a few years in the open air. Image
27/ So I hope this clarifies some incertanties and fears regarding how much Russia still retains after almost 3 years of peer warfare. See you soon! Image
28/ Tho tbh just seeing this is enough proof that maybe they don't have as many armor as they like to claim lmao.

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More from @Jonpy99

Dec 15
1/ We got new footage pf the 103rd/2546th Central Tank Reserva Base, and it's time to look into it! When it comes to essy to repair equioment, this base is almost done! 🧵 Image
2/ Before you continue, first check @CovertCabal's video on this with the footage he was able to buy:
3/ Here you have the remaining numbers, not including their condition: Image
Read 19 tweets
Dec 11
1/ We're finally there! A major Russian storage base is practically empty of any equipment! A thread on the newer footage of the 1295th Central Tank Reserve Base 🧵 Image
2/ Before continuing, check out @CovertCabal's video on the 1295th!
3/ First of all, this thread is almost more an analysis of a pile of junk than a storage base. And before anyone gets picky, I said a MAJOR storage base. You can see that several minor bases are already empty since a while ago. Image
Read 22 tweets
Dec 9
1/ Analyzing the remaining storage bases uncounted until now. A thread🧵 Image
2/ So, as I explained recently in another thread where I posted their coordinates, thanks to a recent article from @tochnyi I realized we had been missing some minor storage bases until now.
3/ This is the article, I recommend it: tochnyi.info/2024/09/logist…
Read 23 tweets
Nov 24
1/ Small update on the 22nd Central Tank Reserve Base. Some interesting insights here. Image
2/ First of all, huge thanks to @CovertCabal and @HighMarsed, as always. Check Covert's video:
3/ We can see that this base is almost done, and equipment left here in the bottom of the barrel when it comes to the 22nd. Image
Image
Read 16 tweets
Nov 19
I just finished counting the BTR-70s and BRDM-2s at the new footage from the 349th (I forgot about those two types of vehicles). Two interesting things: BTR-70s went down from 222 earlier this year (266 prewar) to 141, while BRDM-2s went up from 215 to 260. Image
So BTR-70s still look like they're being pulled from storage for X or Y reason (re: in the linked thread I explained possible reasons for this).
While at the same time they might be consolidating BRDM-2s here, just as they did previosuly with BMP-1s at this same 349th storage base.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 13
By now probably all main storage equipment types are below 50% of the prewar inventory. Image
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Specially if you consider that most of the footage is +6 months old.
And yes, I'm still planning on 2-3 more threads before the end of the year, but 1) I've been very busy and 2) I'm still feeling pretty burnt out about this hobby. Still planning on quitting after the year ends.

The to-do list: Image
Read 6 tweets

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