Oliver Alexander Profile picture
Dec 24 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
🧵The Ursa Major was heading to Vladivostok and not en route to aid in the evacuation of Tartus.

Given cargo it carried, this is in fact even worse for Russia than if it had been heading to Tartus.
The Ursa was carrying two Liebherr 420 mobile cranes for the harbor in Vladivostok that is heavily backed up due to a lack of cranes and two 45-ton hatches for the construction of the new Project 10510 nuclear powered icebreaker.

obl.ru/pressa/news/po…
In this image you can see both of the the cranes, as well as grab buckets for bulk handling at the harbor in Vladivostok at the front of the vessel.

The loss of these cranes will severely hurt loading/unloading times in Vladivostok. Image
In the same image you can see the two 45-ton hatches at the rear of the vessel covered in a blue tarp.

These are the two hatches designed to cover the nuclear reactor on the Project 10510. They can be seen directly in front of the smokestack on the mode.

The loss of these two hatches will delay construction of the Project 10510 significantly.Image
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HT: @GrangerE04117 for always accurate information

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More from @OAlexanderDK

Dec 16
🧵More and more pointing towards the Russia/HTS deal to keep their bases has fallen apart.

The media caught wind of the deal negotiations on the 12th.

On the 12th Russia started moving its valuable S400 system out of Khmeimim Air Base

On the 12th within 2 hours of each other, the Ursa Major left St. Peterburg for Vladivostok and the Sparta left Baltiysk for Port Said, Egypt.

Both locations that could easily send them to Tartus instead. Image
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On the 13th Russia decided to suspend grain shipments to Syria

Read 5 tweets
Dec 3
Most of the Korean SOF operators I saw at the National Assembly building had no magazines in their pistols, were carrying blue training magazines and had simunition bolt carriers in their rifles.
Empty pistol with no magazine in it. Image
SCAR L with a blue man marker / blank training bolt carrier instead of a live bolt carrier.

The weapon can’t fire live rounds with that bolt carrier. Image
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Read 4 tweets
Jul 19
🧵Analysis of footage from the Trump assassination attempt shows that Trump and David Dutch were hit in Crook's initial 3 shot volley. Corey Comperatore and James Copenhaver were struck by Crook's follow-up volley a few seconds later. (1/8) Image
This wide angle recorded by the Right Side Broadcasting Network shows the entire event unfold and shows all 3 bystanders get struck by Crook's bullets. (2/8)
The first round fired by Crook's impacts the railing visible in the video quoted here causing a puff of smoke after grazing Donald Trump. (3/8)



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Read 28 tweets
Mar 26
As can be seen from this video, Dali starts billowing dark smoke from its funnel just prior to the turn that sets it on a course with the pillar.

At the same time the vessel appears to briefly lose power as many of the lights onboard go out for a few seconds.
Dali starts billowing smoke at 01:25:39 EDT and then loses power for 30 seconds at 01:26:37. This is the exact point when the ship begins to alter course towards the bridge pillar.
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The vessel only drifted about 75 meters south west of where it should have passed under the Francis Scott Key Bridge.

It appears very likely that a malfunction on the vessel caused it to briefly lose power, which caused it to drift slightly off course impacting the bridge.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 27
🧵If this video was recorded on January 24th 2024, it poses as many questions as it answers.

Due to the Russian governments decision to add a cut in the middle, it is impossible to verify completely, but here are some things it does show:
The video was indeed filmed at Chkalovsky airport in Moscow where Russia claims the Il-76 that was shot down departed from.

There is a cut towards the end of the video. During this cut, the Tu-154 parked close to the Il-76 has departed.

A Tu-154M matching the aircraft that disappears during the cut departs from Chkalovsky Air Base at 09:55AM MSK on January 24th.


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Read 8 tweets
Oct 21, 2023
🧵After looking at all the currently available data on the al-Ahli Arab Hospital explosion, I have made two discoveries.

#1: The "rocket" in this video is in fact a Tamir interceptor missile launched by Iron Dome and not directly related to the explosion.
#2 : Two of the videos thought to show the explosion at the hospital, which have been used in many analysis, do not show that blast, but another explosion in Gaza that happened approximately 20 seconds prior.

The first is the video from Netiv HaAsara.


The second is the video posted by Channel 12 News. Both these videos show the same event, which took place just prior to the hospital explosion, but end before we see the explosion or launch of the Tamir interceptor from Iron Dome.


Read 21 tweets

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