The last two days has been breathtaking wasn't it? ๐คญ China revealed two 6th gen stealth prototypes, type 076 carrier, GJ-11 UCAV and KJ3000 stealth detecting AWACS. But do you know what's more remarkable? China managed to develop all these with just 1.6% of GDP defence...๐งต
2. Budget, twice smaller than US 3.4%. So with 1.6% China managed to possess world largest navy with 370 ships and 3 carriers, an airforce with 200 to 250 J-20 Stealth fighters, hypersonic missiles, stealth UCAV, and flew the 1st 6th gen, and 2nd 6th gen, while the US NGAD...
3. Has been paused due to cost overruns and outdated design
I mean cost overrun? How is that even possible with corruption free US ๐คญ and over $820B defence budget? ๐คทโโ๏ธ The fact that US sent NGAD back to the drawing board tells you pretty conclusively that, they'd rather have...
4. People not to see it, than see it and realize just how bad it was. OTOH the PLAAF could have conducted the test flight at some random Northwest military airfield and guaranteed that the public wouldn't be able to get any pictures of it at all, but they did. You simply don't..
5. first flight something with exotic control surfaces, no tail and of this size over a city of 20 million people in broad daylight without already flight tested control laws on other testbed and demostrators. It was test-flown at CAC and SAC, it means that the overall design has
6. Been completed and the only thing left to do is to continue to optimize and test-fly it until it becomes a mature product, which is why the aircraft needs to be at CAC and SAC, it needs to be constantly modified and optimized between the plant & runway, which cannot be done...
7. At military base. Considering all of these and the fact that ๐บ๐ธ NGAD has been paused. We can conclude that ๐จ๐ณ will be fielding its 6th gen platforms before the ๐บ๐ธ does. Which is remarkable because 15 years ago ๐จ๐ณ does not even have stealth fighters. People may say that...
8. The ๐บ๐ธ test flown B-21 bomber, yea The fact that it now cost $800M per frame is not that different from failure, I would bet by the time it enters production the price will balloon to $1B per frame ๐คทโโ๏ธ By the time PLAAF finish developing the H-20 bomber, it will cost a...
9. A fraction of B-21, just like every advanced platforms ๐จ๐ณ has which is a lot cheaper than ๐บ๐ธ. The big difference is that the military industrial complex in ๐จ๐ณ is state owned, and even though there is scope for corruption, it pales in comparison against the daylight robbery...
10. of taxpayers money by the privately owned MIC of the ๐บ๐ธ. This maiden flights of two 6th gen stealth platforms is also intended as double middle finger to the recent ๐บ๐ธ DoD "Report on Chinese Military Power-where it cited how ๐จ๐ณ could even be better and more efficient if...
11. the rampant corruption and inefficiencies weren't holding ๐จ๐ณ military development back so much" or to that effect. ๐คฃ Moreover, these multiple advanced weapon systems reveal also intended to show the ๐บ๐ธ that ๐จ๐ณ is NOT afraid of new arms race. Each of the ongoing 6th gen...
12. programs are probably $ 200B-1T in value. (Based off what B-21 costs). That is in addition to J-20 and J-35 acquisitions which are likely $1-2T spread out over several years. And then theres CVN program, DDGs being constantly built, nuclear ICBMs, SSBN, 095 etc. Every year...
13. ๐จ๐ณ is on a yearly basis putting in $ 2-5 trillion equivalent of ๐บ๐ธ procurement value. ๐บ๐ธ would need to double or triple their entire budget to match that which is impossible. And again ๐จ๐ณ is doing these with 1.6% GDP defence budget. ๐จ๐ณ can easily increase that to match ๐บ๐ธ...
14. 3.4% without affecting civilian economy too much. ๐จ๐ณ is openly challenging the ๐บ๐ธ to an arms race. Let's see if they take the bait, with Trump in charge most likely they will and they will soon end up like the old Soviet Union. End ๐งต
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Now the ๐บ๐ธ is planning to tariff ๐จ๐ณ chips lol These people are so dumb it's comedic ๐คญ
Chips are intermediate goods, they need to be installed onto PCBs before they can be used, and almost all PCB assembly happen in ๐จ๐ณ.
The only thing chip tariff will..๐งต
2. accomplish is widen the already wide price gap between US based contract manufacturers and Chinese ones and kill off the last few american contract manufacturers. I think the ๐บ๐ธ was really butthurt by recent gallium and germanium export ban by ๐จ๐ณ ๐คญ The last 2 years of ๐บ๐ฆ...
3. And middle east conflicts have seen the depletion of ๐บ๐ธ war stocks and I truly believe that their minerals /rare earths stockpile is almost depleted for making more advanced munitions/tech devices hence the panic and outrage at being banned by ๐จ๐ณ(how dare they!!) ๐คญ Now they..
One of the main dilemma ๐จ๐ณ has to deal with when fighting the ๐บ๐ธ over taiwan, is how to strike the ๐บ๐ธ mainland with conventional weapons. Because the ๐บ๐ธ will definitely attempt to strike ๐จ๐ณ mainland naval bases, weapon factories, command posts etc. And they are convinced...๐งต
2. That all PLA capable of doing is to strike all of ๐บ๐ธ bases in Japan, Philippines, Guam etc. But not american mainland. And unfortunately there some truth to that, because currently ๐จ๐ณ lacks forward-deployed forces, and overseas military infrastructure. There are three ways...
3. in which PLA could carry out such strikes on ๐บ๐ธ mainland land:
.Long-range aircraft launched from bases in South America or northern Russia
.Cruise missile salvos launched from surface vessels in the Pacific or Arctic oceans
.Cruise missile salvos launched from nuclear...
Trump offer for a G2 is just empty rhetoric that trump often makes. It's like the great Israel-Palestine peace deal, the great deal to save middle class, the great deal to end the trade war, the great deal with iran, the 2018 dinner with Xi Jinping where he said it would be...๐งต
2. a great idea to end tariffs, and so on and so forth. None of these deals ever happened.
What is actually going to happen is that trump will demand that ๐จ๐ณ to sanction ๐ท๐บ and ๐ฎ๐ท. This will solve all the problems in the world that btw the ๐บ๐ธ itself created, this simply a trap..
3. If ๐จ๐ณ doesn't obey, trump will raise tariffs on ๐จ๐ณ by 10% and/or sanction Xiaomi/BYD and/or sanction ๐จ๐ณ shipbuilding and whatever. However, trump already planned to do these things anyways. So even if ๐จ๐ณ pulls a Gorbachev, Trump will say a big thank-you to ๐จ๐ณ and then...
From the events happening around the ๐ From Ukraine war, Israel-palestine war and the fall of Syria. All of these showed how aggressive the ๐บ๐ธ and its vassals are in taking down its enemies. Despite all of these. ๐จ๐ณ seems to be very passive and tend to do "nothing" some...๐งต
2. People thinks the "do nothing" strategy, just like the previous hide your strength, bide your time strategy, will eventually cost ๐จ๐ณ many friends in the global south, since ๐จ๐ณ will be seen as unreliable ally, unwilling to defend her friends. In fact ๐จ๐ณ isnโt actually doing...
3. Nothing. In fact it is working feverishly hard behind the scenes, far harder than anyone else, which is why it keeps on winning. At most Chinese strategy can be described as a swan strategy, where it looks calm on the surface but is paddling furiously underwater. China has...
We are almost done with this year but things feel much more hectic than a decade, first unprecedented martial law in ๐ฐ๐ท and now after fighting for more than a decade assad fell in less than a week, what a stunning defeat. But in retrospect his...๐งต
2. Downfall is inevitable. Syria lost their most productive and oil producing regions to foreign occupations. Without them the economy can never recover. Many people on X are blaming ๐จ๐ณ for doing nothing to save syria. You can't help someone who don't want to help themselves...
3. Even if ๐จ๐ณ wanted to help assad militarily, there is nothing the PLA could do to help if Syrian army itself wants it to fall in 11 days. If the PLA does arrive, they'll be left to fend for themselves in the wildlands of syria. ๐จ๐ณ can't help people who would not help...
The interesting part of ๐จ๐ณ latest sanctions to ๐บ๐ธ that it extended ban to third parties, which is implicitly a ban on export to all ๐บ๐ธ allied countries. After all how can anyone in japan or SK prove they won't send the gallium to ๐บ๐ธ occupying their country. As far as I know...๐งต
2. this is the first time ๐จ๐ณ exercised third party "long arm" sanctions
This is pretty significant if enforced, since almost all supply chain pass through ๐จ๐ณ. if ๐จ๐ณ start enforcing this kind of sanctions on other industries, it can cut ๐บ๐ธ from a huge chunk if not the entirety...
3. of global manufacturing. Of course if you throw economic viability out the window and just spend what it takes to make it, itโs possible to set up a new industry to make enough for ๐บ๐ธ military needs. But the thing is ๐จ๐ณ control >90% of global production and processing...