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Geopolitics, Military, Economy
Apr 30 โ€ข 7 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
So Elon is in ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ just a day after blinken left and he even got to meet with Li Qiang, wasn't he supposed to go to ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ? modi must feel hurt he got stood up by elon ๐Ÿคญ it's obvious the negotiation between Tesla and ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ govt is not going well...๐Ÿงต

aljazeera.com/amp/economy/20โ€ฆ 2. Elon has previously complained that ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ import dutiesย are the highest in the worldย and he was hoping forย temporary tariff relief for electric vehicles. I guess ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ govt unwilling to give concessions, they are also unwilling to tailor their policies for Tesla, the way ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ did...
Apr 29 โ€ข 10 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Judging from the press conference after he met with Xi, obviously he has failed trying to pressure ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ to stop all trade with ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿคญ does he really expect Xi to betray ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ? knowing full well the whole west will gang up on ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ after ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ fall? This is what...๐Ÿงต

politico.com/news/2024/04/2โ€ฆ 2. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ diplomacy these days. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ only knows two ways of getting things done: war and subterfuge. When these don't work, cognitive imbalances erupt, making a mess of things that were already messed up ๐ŸคญJust look at how pathetic the diplomacy was of their top man blinken...
Apr 23 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Raimondo's "my father lost his job to ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ" is an idiot ๐Ÿคญ and her interview was made to sway the ignorant, When the chip war started SMIC had a 14 nm FinFET process way back in 2019 Several companies had 28 nm processes before that like Hua Hong...๐Ÿงต

cnbc.com/amp/2024/04/22โ€ฆ 2. Many people think the HiSilicon Kirin 9000S is the first Chinese FinFET processor that Huawei used in a smartphone. But that isn't true either. They produced the HiSilicon Kirin 710A with 14nm FinFET in 2020. The big difference here is Huawei Mate 60 is an actual 5G smartphone
Apr 20 โ€ข 8 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
So here is my review about last night ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ strike against ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท, so that's it? ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธ That was underwhelming to say the least ๐Ÿคญ they responded to ~300 drones and missiles with 3 small drones, which may have been shot down? That makes ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ look rather weak...๐Ÿงต
apnews.com/article/iran-iโ€ฆ 2. this was unexpectedly weak from Israel, and it would have been far less humiliating to not have bothered. Because even if Iran doesnโ€™t strike back, this weak attempt wonโ€™t remotely satisfy Israeli internal demands for a powerful response. It maybe Israel was trying to bait...
Apr 15 โ€ข 17 tweets โ€ข 4 min read
Finally Iran has pulled the trigger and launched an unprecedented attack against ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ so now let's discuss the geopolitical and military implications from this attack, first for military outcomes from that strike:It's clear Iran took measures to deliver..๐Ÿงต

theconversation.com/irans-unprecedโ€ฆ 2. carefully calibrated response designed to restore deterrence which hopefully will prevent ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ from going into all out war. This attack was not meant to cause mass death and destruction so ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท did not use it's top of the line weapons systems. Iran sent slow moving drones...
Apr 12 โ€ข 10 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Biden's victory over inflation is turning out to be fake as I always thought ๐Ÿคญ I remember how media and Biden took victory laps over huge govt budgets in 2022. I also remember "We defeated inflation" narrative of 5 months ago. Gaslighting is the norm it seems for ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ govt...๐Ÿงต Image 2. I got pretty suspicious when I saw a bunch of high-interest banks in Q1 offering long-term CDs at close to the current Fund rate. Wouldn't make sense if they were expecting a rate cut midyear. This helps explain their moves; they probably got advance notice
either directly..
Apr 6 โ€ข 10 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Now here is a new ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ phrase "overcapacity" ๐Ÿคญ more like an excuse they can't compete at their own game capitalism, in the old days capitalism means production, now the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ can't produce no more and is asking ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ to sabotage her own economy ๐Ÿคฃ...๐Ÿงต

reuters.com/world/china/usโ€ฆ 2. This is prime example why ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ propaganda is only for the brainless and people who cannot think logically, which is most of the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ population.
We are now being told two separate narratives of the ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ economy from the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ media, and the ๐Ÿ„ lady Yellen ๐Ÿคญ one is that ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ economy...
Apr 4 โ€ข 13 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Many people asked this question, will ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ use lethal force against ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ? The short answer is no. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ does not gain anything even if she curbstomp ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ to a pulp. ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ is like a noisy little guy taunting Mike Tyson. If the champ even bothers to raise his fist...

foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/02/chiโ€ฆ 2. it's a win for the little guy. Doesn't matter if the little guy actually fights and claims a honorable defeat or simply falls to the ground as soon as seeing Tyson's fist raised and plays the victim. The weak has everything to win since he gets nothing in the first place...
Mar 30 โ€ข 13 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Haha now they moved the timetable again ๐Ÿคฃ I thought they said ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ will invade Taiwan by 2030 ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธ but today lets discuss about well known fact, in all of ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ wargames about Taiwan invasion, every single one of them envisaging ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ fighting a coalition of...๐Ÿงต

japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/03/2โ€ฆ 2. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ allies from Japan, South Korea, Australia NATO, aliens etc alone, like rambo ๐Ÿคญ totally ignoring the fact that ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ has mutual defence treaty (MDT) with North Korea, the only country in the world in which ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ has a MDT akin to article 5 of NATO. Any military officials from...
Mar 27 โ€ข 5 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Does he know that Xi Jinping is having a good time with CEOs from his overlord the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ right now? And all global business leaders are in Hainan including world Bank president ๐Ÿคญ why aren't they in UK meeting this clown instead? Because no one likes broke people that's why..๐Ÿงต ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธ 2. You see before this Boao forum in Hainan, and CEO meetings in Beijing, There was that big summit in ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ with ASEAN attending.
Anwar Ibrahim made a speech, rejecting any attempts to force third countries to take sides in the dispute between ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ and ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ...
Mar 25 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
If anyone knows just a bit about ISIS and Afghanistan, you will realize that is one of the biggest farce propagated by the US. If anybody knew the social and religious ideology of Taliban and even the opponents of Taliban in ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ซ and of Afghans...

theconversation.com/isis-ks-attackโ€ฆ 2. You'd know that it's impossible for ISIS to proliferate, let alone survive, in that country. Afghans and Taliban are Deobandi and Hanafi, while ISIS is Wahhabi and Hanbali. It's literally like water and oil in ideology. If you sit back and think about it, ISIS was a really...
Mar 18 โ€ข 8 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Rather uncharacteristic for ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ to be this direct, however it's certainly possible. We are potentially entering a rapid paradigm shift in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ where
macron is openly and repeatedly talking about sending in French troops directly...๐Ÿงต

msn.com/en-in/news/worโ€ฆ
Image 2. and officially into Ukraine to prevent a total Russian victory. That would be a massive escalation and only a tiny step away from NATO fighting Russia directly in Ukraine. Which would be an absolute red line for China, as the Russians would resort to nuclear weapons...
Mar 15 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
I am sure that Bytedance CEO would love to sell TikTok to appease the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but unfortunately for him &his billionaire buddies CPC is in charge. And for the CPC, no way in hell it would agree to sell TikTok under duress. There are actually two big...๐Ÿงต

cnbc.com/amp/2024/03/14โ€ฆ 2. Issues at play here: first is that there is a non-US propaganda controlled social media platform in the West available to the public. US was half-ok after China fend them off the first time, but after the Israel war, it is now 100% intolerable to the US elites because it...
Mar 8 โ€ข 10 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ military modernization is rapid and staggering in all areas, but one area that I pay especially close attention to is the growth of ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ nuclear forces, on this ๐Ÿงต i will discuss ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ nuclear fuel production capacity, just be cautious this ๐Ÿงต is full of technical jargon...๐Ÿงต 2. China is currently the second largest producer of nuclear fuel in the world. We plan to achieve production levels close to Russia by 2030.
China's SWU capability can achieve 4.41-5.9 tons of weapon grade nuclear enriched raw materials for every 1000 tons of SWU produced...
Feb 16 โ€ข 10 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Many people seems to think that ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ is too passive and timid in the face of ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ provocations, and this passivity will make ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ less respected by both enemies and allies, it maybe so, but if you have studied the flow of history and events since cold war, like I do, and out of all๐Ÿงต.. 2. the actions and events that have played out over the past 4 decades only ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ responses and developments have ever matched and often exceeded my own expectations (especially when compared to their erstwhile opponents such as the Anglosphere nations, ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต, ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท etc) that is why...
Feb 7 โ€ข 8 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
So how would ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ react to this provocation? Most likely ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ will react to this asymetrically, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ can retaliate in other advantageous place. Some discount steel pipes and "chemical fertilizers" ๐Ÿคญ to Hamas and hezbollah will hurt ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ruling class more than a few green berets...๐Ÿงต 2. In kinmen Island, this provocation is obviously a bait for ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ to react in a similar manner, and increasing tension in ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ periphery, why should we take the bait? ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธ our response is aimed to sap ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ strength and stamina in other theaters on conflict, why lit fire in our own...
Feb 6 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
It's obvious that ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ is the world sole manufacturing superpower, but what industries that the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ still have advantages over ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ? Its semiconductor and aircraft engine industries, therefore we see ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ sanctions on ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ are focusing on those 2 sectors...๐Ÿงต

cepr.org/voxeu/columns/โ€ฆ 2. However there is one aspect that most people usually ignore or they don't know.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ is the biggest net importer of capital goods excluding aircrafts. this percentage is on rapid rise, therefore ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ advantages over ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ in these 2 sectors are only apparent if you includes... Image
Jan 26 โ€ข 10 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Interesting development, but however, you spin this news, this is a lose-lose situation to the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Abandoning Syria and Iraq = losing geopolitical influence abroad especially in ME.
However, no matter what they do, they have little chance to win the hot war against ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ...๐Ÿงต 2. The ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Empire is in a perma-loss state.
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ probably has more industrial capacity than the entire world combined (manufacturing, mining, refining, construction, utilities), and more manufacturing in real terms than the entire West combined. More than double the electricity...
Jan 22 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Boeing used to be the benchmark of ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ industrial excellence, no longer, its quality issues is part of larger symptoms of ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ industrial rot that has been going on for decades, The ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ switched from the best form of capitalism; industrial capitalism...๐Ÿงต

businessinsider.com/ryanair-ceo-coโ€ฆ 2. actually producing tangible things like ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ is doing for example, to financial capitalism, in general in the last few decades, so of course companies still have to do anything with physical manufacturing like Boeing will have worse and worse conditions to operate in as the...
Jan 5 โ€ข 25 tweets โ€ข 5 min read
There are s**t tons of reasons why the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ will lose a war against ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ so numerous that if I write them all in details I could write a book ๐Ÿคญ from ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ own escalatory dominance in ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ strait and SCS to
How easy it is to distract the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ due to its commitments worldwide, a long ๐Ÿงต... 2. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ dependence on ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ industrial products, critical minerals, chemicals, to machinery spare parts, and electronics, but those are obvious for those in the know, but what not many people know is that the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ has a terrifyingly bad shortage of millwrights, what is a millwright?...
Dec 31, 2023 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Let's end this year with another ๐Ÿงต about ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ ๐Ÿคญ like I mentioned yesterday, We're dancing to the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ tune when we restrict ourselves to a Taiwan scenario that is both limited in scope, geography, timing and methods There's no indication China's planning any such contingency...๐Ÿงต 2. certainly not a war over ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ waged to the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ liking, such as zerg rush ww2 Beach landing ๐Ÿคฃ The ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ media hyping such a war is just a symptom of the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ complex of delusions and its attempt to negate reality's intrusion into those delusions. The fundamental dynamic to consider...