A few days ago, Biden commuted the death sentences of almost every federal death row inmate.
Every single person whose sentence Biden commuted was verifiably evil and clearly earned the death penalty.
Let's go through all 37🧵
Shannon Agofsky drowned a bank manager alive, received life in prison, and in prison, kept talking about how he was itching to beat up other prisoners.
Then he killed a fellow prisoner by stomping his neck in and causing him to drown in his own blood.
On camera. Guilty.
Billie Allen killed a bank guard during a bank robbery, using a semi-automatic weapon.
Allen and his accomplice also stole two vans to use as getaway vehicles the night before.
He was inspired by the movies "Set It Off" and "Heat" and he was caught red-handed. Guilty.
Aquila Marcvicci Barnette got dumped by his girlfriend and tried to firebomb her house to kill her
He was charged with murder and arson, but fled. In his attempt to escape the law, he carjacked a man, whom he killed, and proceeded to try to kill his ex-girlfriend again.
Guilty.
Brandon Basham and Chadrick Fulks kidnapped and murdered Alice Donovan after they escaped from prison.
The remains weren't discovered for seven years. They also admitted they killed another woman, Samantha Burns.
They are guilty.
Anthony Battle raped and killed his (marine) wife and received life in prison. He then killed a prison guard and was sentenced to death.
He told the jurors that the guard "died like a dog".
Guilty.
Meier Brown went to a post office, picked up his mail, and decided to come back to rob it.
He claims he tripped on his victim, Sally Gaglia, and accidentally cut her, so he decided to stab her to death because he knew her.
Admitted to his crimes. Guilty.
Carlos Caro was a drug smuggler serving out his sentence in prison.
One day, he decided to murder his cellmate, and for that, he turned his 30 years into the death penalty.
They were alone in a cell and the evidence was all over him. No one else did the crime.
Guilty.
Wesley Coonce and Charles Hall were serving sentences for, respectively, a carjacking that ended in sexual assault, and threatening a judge.
One day, they witnessed some other inmates attacking a guard. Victor Rodriguez ran to help the guard, so these men killed him.
Guilty.
Brandon Council walked into a bank to rob it.
Right after walking in the door, he shot Donna Major three times. He then proceeded to shoot Kathryn Skeen as well. They were just bank employees.
Caught on camera. Very guilty, and Donna Major's family is appalled at Biden.
Christopher Cramer, Ricky Fackrell, and Leo Johns were all prisoners and members of the gang Soldiers Of The Aryan Culture.
For some reason, Leo Johns fell out of favor with the gang, and Cramer and Fackrell murdered him.
It was obvious who did it. Guilty.
Len Davis was a rotten cop. He dealt crack, he arrested innocents, he stole cars, and the Feds were onto him, so he had a wiretap going.
One day, he killed a witness to him assaulting someone, and the feds caught him on tape, gleeful about it.
Terribly guilty of so many crimes.
Joseph Ebron was serving a life sentence for a back-to-back series of murders when he decided to help another inmate kill a different inmate.
The pair stabbed the man 106 times and were caught red-handed.
Guilty.
Edward Fields is a delusional schizophrenic former prison guard who stalked a couple in a national park before ultimately electing to kill them.
He fessed up to all of his crimes.
Guilty.
Marvin Gabrion is another delusional schizophrenic, and his rap sheet is really something. You should just go and read about it.
Short story, he's a serial killer, rapist, arsonist, and he beat up his own lawyer in the court room to top it all off.
So stunningly guilty.
Edgar Garcia and Mark Snarr were being escorted to their cells by a pair of correctional officers.
Then they slipped out of their restraints, pulled out some shivs they made, and stabbed the officers before grabbing their keys and running off to kill another inmate.
Guilty.
Thomas Hager is a former drug dealer who killed several people in the course of his other crimes.
His death sentence was earned for one of those murders in which he killed a single mother in her apartment with two other men, leaving her 13-month-old baby alone there.
Guilty.
Norris Holder was another one on this list who was caught doing a bank robbery in which he killed a guard.
This is such an easy crime to get caught dead-to-rights doing, and yet, his sentence is being commuted.
Guilty.
Richard Jackson kidnapped a woman, raped her, tied her to a tree, and then shot her in the head.
He confessed to all of this, but on appeal, he claimed the court didn't justify the claim that he did a "crime of violence".
Good luck on that, because he's very, very guilty.
Jurijus Kadamovas and Iouri Mikhel were Soviet-born mobsters who kidnapped and killed five people, and demanded ransom, were caught with four other people, and were, simply, stupidly and obviously caught.
Guilty.
Daryl Lawrence... bank robber, killed guard, etc.
This crime leads to people getting caught rapidly, with lots of video evidence, and usually with fresh evidence they shot someone.
Guilty.
Ronald Mikos was a doctor who had defrauded Medicare, and he went out and got egregiously caught killing one of the women set to testify against him as a witness before a grand jury.
Guilty.
James Roane was a drug trafficker who got caught killing his rivals, in addition to his many, many other crimes.
He did this with a gang and they were more than willing to rat on each other, but given all the evidence, that wasn't even needed.
Guilty.
Julius Robinson was a drug dealer who murdered three people, and did drive-bys of cars that were similar to the ones his rivals owned.
Caught red-handed. Very guilty.
David Runyon was a hitman hired by a Navy veteran's wife to kill the vet in a scheme to obtain a life insurance payout.
Caught thanks to being stupid and working with stupid people.
Guilty.
Ricardo Sanchez and Daniel Troya are gangsters who stopped a family of four on the highway in West Palm Beach, killing the mother, father, and their two kids for a drug debt.
Caught very easily.
Guilty.
Thomas Sanders abducted and murdered a twelve-year-old days after he killed the girl's mother.
He showed no remorse, so we shouldn't show any for him.
Guilty.
Kaboni Savage.
This man's story is terrible and his surname fits who he is. He was a drug 'kingpin' of sorts, and he killed a lot of people and was caught very red-handed.
Guilty as sin.
Rejon Taylor: Carjacking, kidnapping, and murdering a restaurant owner.
Guilty.
Richard Tipton is another drug kingpin of sorts, who killed a lot of people in the course of doing his 'job'.
He got caught with James Roane, mentioned above.
Guilty.
Jorge Torrez is a serial killer who killed a female Naval officer... in her barracks.
Stupid. Evil. And Guilty.
Alejandro Umana is a member of MS-13 and he killed two brothers in a public restaurant.
Guilty.
All of these people are horrendously guilty and not one guilty judgment is uncertain. There is no defending commuting their sentences.
These people are a risk to other prisoners, to guards, and an unaddressed evil we could have ended.
But Biden is protecting them.
Biden's stance is not based on a wholesale rejection of the death penalty. He's keeping it in place people who committed hate crimes and were involved in terrorism.
The means he's kept on Dzhokhar Tsarnaev, Dylann Roof, and Robert Bowers.
This is what's so malicious about Biden's actions.
If you reserve the death penalty for a few who did politically sensitive crimes, but not horrible serial killers, you're sending a signal about which victims matter.
To Biden, so many victims and their families don't matter.
On that, we can be certain: Biden is guilty. He is guilty of failing to act in the interests of his constituents and failing to ensure justice is done.
He's letting evil people live.
There's no doubt in my mind that this should be a black mark on his already-contentious legacy.
And for opponents of the death penalty, there's a general lesson here:
If you want to oppose the death penalty, you cannot usually argue against it on the grounds that defendants might be innocent. The typical case is a deeply evil person who leaves no doubt as to their evil.
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The idea is to put large, powerful animals like bulls or lions in the ring with several dogs, and the winner lives.
The sport has existed for thousands of years. One of our first records is of Indians showing it to Alexander the Great.
The first record in England comes from 1610 and features King James I requesting the Master of the Beargarden—a bear training facility—to provide him with three dogs to fight a lion.
Two of the dogs died and the last escaped because the lion did not wish to fight and retreated.
For one, there's no supportive pattern of sanctions. For two, you can develop in near-autarky, and before post-WW2, that was comparatively what the most developed countries were dealing with.
I'm not talking fatalities, but bites, because bites are still a bad outcome and any dog who bites should be put down.
If we take the annual risk a dog bites its owner, scale it for pit bulls and Golden Retrievers, and extrapolate 30 years...
How do you calculate this?
Simple.
First, we need estimates of the portion of the U.S. population bitten by dogs per year. Next, to adjust that, we need the portion of those bites that are to owners. So, for overall dogs, we get about 1.5% and roughly ~25% of that.
Then, to obtain lifetime risk figures, we need to pick a length for a 'lifetime'. I picked thirty years because that's what I picked. Sue me. It's about three dog lifetimes.
P(>=1 bite) = 1-(1-p)^t
It's pure probability math. To rescale for the breed, we need estimates of the relative risk of different dog being the perpetrators of bites. We'll use the NYC DOHMH's 2015-22 figures to get the risk for a Golden Retriever (breed = "Retriever" in the dataset) relative to all other dogs, and Lee et al. 2021's figures to get the risk for a pit bull. The results don't change much just using the NYC figures, they just became significantly higher risk for the pit bulls.
To rescale 'p' for b reed, it's just p_{breed} = p_{baseline} \times RR_{breed}.
Then you plug it back into the probability of a bite within thirty years. If you think, say, pit bulls are undercounted for the denominator for their RR, OK! Then let's take that to the limit and say that every 'Black' neighborhood in New York has one, halve the risk noticed for them, and bam, you still get 1-in-5 to 1-in-2.5 owners getting bit in the time they own pit bulls (30 years).
And mind you, bites are not nips. As Ira Glass had to be informed when he was talking about his notorious pit bull, it did not just "nip" two children, it drew blood, and that makes it a bite.
Final method note: the lower-bound for Golden Retriever risk was calculated out as 0.00131%, but that rounded down to 0. Over a typical pet dog lifespan of 10-13 years, an individual Golden Retriever will almost-certainly not bite its owner even once, whereas a given pit that lives 11.5 years will have an 18-33% chance of biting, and if we use the DOHMH RRs, it's much higher. If we use the DOHMH RR and double their population, that still holds.
The very high risk of a bite associated with a pit bull is highly robust and defies the notion that '99.XXXX% won't ever hurt anyone.' The idea that almost no pit bulls are bad is based on total fatality risk and it is a farcical argument on par with claiming that Great White Sharks shouldn't be avoided because they kill so few people.
Frankly, if we throw in non-owner risk, the typical pit bull *will* hurt some human or some animal over a typical pet dog's lifespan. And because pit bulls live a little bit shorter, you can adjust that down, but the result will still directionally hold because they are just that god-awful of a breed.
Final note:
Any dog that attacks a human or another dog that wasn't actively attacking them first should be put down. That is a big part of why this matters. These attacks indicate that the dogs in question must die.