eigenrobot Profile picture
Dec 29, 2024 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
this is pretty brutal but im not familiar with the dataset and i imagine i might be missing some context

what i'm most curious about is, something like 10x as many applications are approved as visas can be granted by statute

so do most of these just go unfilled?
or is the limit just ignored (i assume not but who knows) or what
asstd comments from the boys and also response from OP, thanks all 🙏

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natch

i think the actual optimal policy is "reform this" but i also understand the willingness of people to throw out the baby with the bathwater because they dont trust any reform to actually be implemented as intended

im not sure theyre wrong to doubt
this is one reason why you

Don't
Fucking
Lie

for short term political gain

if you fuck people with a policy after lying about it they're not gonna trust you again and you may be unable to get a sensible compromise position during the backlash
further discussion re: h1b and reported entry level jobs shortages

good grief

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More from @eigenrobot

May 19
one thing many anti-marriage men dont understand about marriage is that yes you are giving one woman vast power over your life.

but you are also reducing to ~0 the amount of power that most non-kin women have over you

with a good woman, this is an exceptional trade
"im a beautiful woman" if you are not my wife i cannot be made to care about that
it's like this

the five canonical substitutes for charm are
* wealth
* fame
* power
* physical beauty, and
* sexual availability

for straight men interacting with women, marriage nullifies the fourth lever and actually inverts the value of the last
Read 4 tweets
May 18
AI is not currently good enough to cause me to lose my job but i expect ive got maybe a year to figure out how to move up several abstraction layers some of which may not even exist yet

this is going to get weird because idk how people starting careers will even begin
my intuition is that having a model of how a function--data, engineering, product, whatever--functions is important to capably automating that function

people who have been operating in those functions for years seem as though they'd have an overwhelming advantage in this
but of course to the extent agents hollow out these functions and displace human labor its hard to imagine firm structures remaining as they exist, designed for human operations

so this probably gets me another year or two max, if i'm working in tech proper
Read 6 tweets
Mar 27
this was an insane moment in american politics and i want to revisit it

a hospital in gaza was reported by the entire american press corps as having been destroyed by an israeli airstrike with 500 killed

i was on stimulants monitoring the situation in realtime Image
the biden administration, which i assume had access to people who know at least as much about missiles as i do, equivocated about whether or not they believed the israeli explanation that the strike was a failed hamas rocket
in the wee hours of the morning local time, i and others started to notice that there was no actual video of the damage or the "500 killed"

curious
Read 6 tweets
Mar 10
its fairly crazy to be in a country at war where domestic media are running propaganda operations for the other side

obviously they can print what they like and i sure didnt enjoy the rah-rah of the early GWOT either but nevertheless. sheesh Image
the piece itself, notably, is not just houston chronicle tier writing — its AI generated

the journalists report that economic pain is "multiplying exponentially"

heads up @Phil_Mattingly @ZcohenCNN some asshole slapped your byline on this Image
@Phil_Mattingly @ZcohenCNN ". . . sooner than we can remove the capabilities we want to move"

which is it? moving or removing?

"the latter has the capability the deploy"

its gotten so bad CNN had to lay off their copyeditors and i guess they didnt bother replacing THOSE with LLMs Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 17
a major lesson of the awokening for me was that a significant number of people on the left hate me and would prefer i not exist and a majority of the country is willing to go along with policies operating toward that end

this was probably an infohazard
i call it an infohazard because there's really not anything i can do with this information but it leaves me anxious about the future, and experiencing to varying degrees contempt or outright hatred toward people about whom i had previously felt positively
when i look at the political landscape i see two factions wholly unworthy of the inheritance bequeathed to us by our ancestors

the important difference between them is that one is directed by people who would prefer i be erased
Read 4 tweets

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