eigenrobot Profile picture
Dec 29, 2024 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
this is pretty brutal but im not familiar with the dataset and i imagine i might be missing some context

what i'm most curious about is, something like 10x as many applications are approved as visas can be granted by statute

so do most of these just go unfilled?
or is the limit just ignored (i assume not but who knows) or what
asstd comments from the boys and also response from OP, thanks all 🙏

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natch

i think the actual optimal policy is "reform this" but i also understand the willingness of people to throw out the baby with the bathwater because they dont trust any reform to actually be implemented as intended

im not sure theyre wrong to doubt
this is one reason why you

Don't
Fucking
Lie

for short term political gain

if you fuck people with a policy after lying about it they're not gonna trust you again and you may be unable to get a sensible compromise position during the backlash
further discussion re: h1b and reported entry level jobs shortages

good grief

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More from @eigenrobot

Mar 10
i think its reasonable to call this a revolution in the sense that trump doesnt adhere to elite norms nor even middle class norms. and its not clodius pretending to be a plebe, its a pleb not even pretending to be a patrician

throw the mandate of heaven in the trash etc
until the first trump term a surprising amount of the president's ability to influence the country was derived less from his potestas--that is, his formal powers--than from his auctoritas, which was closely tied to his dignitas

I'll pause and wait for you to read the screencaps Image
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im not sure we actually have anyone, anymore, with sufficient dignitas to actually possess or wield the historical presidential auctoritas. we are all lesser men now and all our high institutions have debased themselves
Read 7 tweets
Mar 6
how do "realists" explain Churchill
specifically it seems like yeah you could probably come up with a strategic _rationalization_ for his behavior after the battle of france but the guy was clearly not working on that plane and had just been that way for decades at least

and this was not uncommon in that era. eg Image
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my basic model of realism is that its retarded in the same way eg freudianism is retarded.

practically any policy can be rationalized as strategically "realist" under the right set of unfalsifiable assumptions about the game space and the beliefs of principals involved
Read 5 tweets
Mar 5
i think this is probably right and i think something large and bad will happen. everyone is just waiting for it, even.

because we can't keep going like this.

every election cycle is just another circle around the drain
i suppose everyone's just going to be pillaging the fisc as the end gets nearer at an increasingly rapid pace

what asset allocation solves this do you think
i mean, solves for you, the investor

obviously im not suggesting any solution exists for the united states' problems.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 24
turnabout is fair play and the old regime has richly earned it. but i wish we (america) hadn't become like this

what's the path to redemption where left and right aren't just basically competing to destroy one another rather than fulfill our manifest 1KYAE destiny?
i think this is probably the most obvious solution (one side needs an unambiguous and durable victory) but i haven't seen a coherent platform from the right about what that looks like in a positive sense
obviously there was nothing from the left on this front, the entire platform was "iterate on current insane nonsense forever until we're zimbabwe"

but i'd hope that the right could conjure a better vision for the country
Read 5 tweets
Feb 18
the kind of journalism where you speculate wildly about others' internal psychology has it seems wholly displaced the journalism where you just ask people why they think things

i guess its easier, and safer, to speculate. and who could disprove your claims, really?
since we're speculating my guess is that one could explain a lot of young men's shift to the right by observing that they were forced into suffocating and politically anti-male spaces run by leftists for their entire childhoods and they probably resent that to some degree
it was very easy for me to type that out but i haven't demonstrated anything and i dont believe its worthy of oh i dont know an entire article in what was once a venerable pillar of american print media Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 18
consider the following types of law
1. Constitutional provisions
2. Congressional acts
3. Common Law
4. Administrative law
5. Normative "law" (guidelines)

the US has all of these. arguably more but we'll ignore those.

today it is helpful to understand these separately
these bodies of law, the manner in which they interact, and the process by which they are changed and enforced comprise america's small-c constitution

the trump administration's actions seem to me (caveat emptor) to be comprehensible as an attempt at constitutional resettlement
bad high school civics courses will teach students that congress passes laws, the president carries them out, and that the justice system interprets and enforces them

more or less

this is the theory but really it's an outdated map of our constitution in several ways
Read 20 tweets

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