eigenrobot Profile picture
Dec 29, 2024 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
this is pretty brutal but im not familiar with the dataset and i imagine i might be missing some context

what i'm most curious about is, something like 10x as many applications are approved as visas can be granted by statute

so do most of these just go unfilled?
or is the limit just ignored (i assume not but who knows) or what
asstd comments from the boys and also response from OP, thanks all 🙏

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natch

i think the actual optimal policy is "reform this" but i also understand the willingness of people to throw out the baby with the bathwater because they dont trust any reform to actually be implemented as intended

im not sure theyre wrong to doubt
this is one reason why you

Don't
Fucking
Lie

for short term political gain

if you fuck people with a policy after lying about it they're not gonna trust you again and you may be unable to get a sensible compromise position during the backlash
further discussion re: h1b and reported entry level jobs shortages

good grief

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More from @eigenrobot

Sep 16
somewhere along the way i think maybe what happened was, eliezer started believing everything he thought

easy pitfall as you age, probably. IME when you spend enough time thinking, certain things crystalize and you get less patient about the process

happens to everyone prolly
the vital urge to say "ok, how is this wrong" starts to fade as you get older, because you've played that game so many times that it gets tiresome and you start to think you know what that room holds

usually you're right, but it's an easy way to get stuck
second issue is the cost of doing this sort of inquiry gets higher as you accumulate more committed beliefs or expectations

once more, you're usually more likely to be "correct" at any given moment, but updating gets very costly as your world model is built out and solidified
Read 5 tweets
Sep 13
its been a long week so tonight please relax as i relate to you the tale of a great episode in american autism Image
our third president, thomas jefferson, was immensely autistic

he spent much of his time inventing questionably useful devices, getting hung up on and beefing over irrelevant abstractions, pursuing unwise relationships w subordinates, and recording data for no particular reason Image
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he combined several of these hobbies in an extended incident in the court of france where he was serving as america's ambassador ("minister plenipotentiary") in the mid 1780s, succeeding a real scientist and charmer, benjamin franklin

big shoes to fill! and he tried. awkwardly Image
Read 23 tweets
Aug 30
pulled the entire 10 volume set of a 1964 children's reading collection from a used bookstore for $18

i regard this as a colossal win

the introduction is worth reading as a contrast to contemporary pedagogical philosophy. implicit here is a colossal cultural loss Image
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i went to the bookstore to kill time between helping out with a medical emergency but found myself moved to buy these after recalling a trip to the library yesterday with my 4yo, when i noticed the entire children's section was Feelings slop

meanwhile, in 1964: Image
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after my first find i wandered to my favorite bookstore in Minneapolis and found another children's anthology, this one first published in the 1920s (unfortunately incomplete)

~$15, BOGO

as with the other collection, the prefaces contain much ancient wisdom lost to our time Image
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Read 4 tweets
Aug 29
this explains a lot about what's going on, for those of you paying attention
additional context

america probably has the most productive agricultural land on earth not regularly subjected to wars of extermination Image
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"why are these soils good" because theyre basically steppes but with rain Image
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Read 4 tweets
Aug 26
fyi trump ppl

the reason that nerds are unhappy about trump firing federal reserve people isnt because they particularly like those specific people

issue is that it makes the fed look beholden to the executive and this is a very bad outcome for economic stability
the fed hasnt covered itself in glory lately for sure but the counterfactual where its progressively and openly politicized is pretty much just a world of hyperinflation and impoverishment because thats a side effect of how unstable governments use politicized central banks
i think a steelman for "end the fed" is that we've left this absurdly powerful yet nigh defenseless institution sitting in plain sight like a loaded gun during a period of immensely high trust and as that period comes to a close someone is gonna make a first grab at the pistol
Read 5 tweets
Aug 24
ok finally discovered a kind of lore i want to know about in a non clickbait way:

what one-shotted you?

eg for me it was 90s movies about how having a career and a house in the burbs is the worst thing that can ever happen to someone

i didn't realize i'd been Had until my 30s
everyone will give boomers and millennials shit about the social justice and narcissism, and rightly so. but the motherfuckers who tricked me into nearly ruining my life are genx
for those of you not familiar getting one shotted is getting wrecked on first contact with something. classic deployment attached Image
Read 4 tweets

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