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Dec 29 25 tweets 11 min read Read on X
1/ Time for the last thread on individual updates of Central Tank Reserve Bases: this time the 2544th🧵 Image
2/ First, let's look at the evolution of stored equipment here over the last years: Image
3/ As you can see, this base has an interesting mix of equipment, from T-62s to BMD-2s. Image
4/ It has changed a lot over the years. As with almost every other base, the trend has been downwards, tho there was a sudden spike in summer 2022, probably as this base was on the way from Far Eastern bases to the frontline in Ukraine. Image
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5/ Among the tanks, there are even some T-34s, as @HighMarsed discovered: Image
6/ Almost 50% of the prewar tank stockpile is gone from here, and most of the remaining stuff looks pretty rough. As usual everywhere by now, to be fair. Image
7/ And on top of that, the ones within the yellow circle are ARVs, probably BTS-4s. They've been at the 2544th since before the war, tho moved around the base since 2022. Image
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8/ So it's mostly old T-62s and T-72As/Urals by now, and most of them probably cannibalized inside. Image
9/ Regarding other AFVs, it's most intereting to look at the BTR-70s. You can see that for the past year they suddenly started pulling them out en masse. Image
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10/ Fits with everything we've seen so far. They'll probably be entirely gone in a year at most. Image
11/ And something similar happens with BMDs. The 2544th was the only major BMD storage base, and we've seen them steadily pull out BMD-1/2/3s and BTR-Ds either to make up losses or to refurbish them and then replenish losses. Image
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12/ Once again, they'll probably be gone by 2025, and specially with the recent huge BMD-2 losses in Kursk after VDV formations were sent to assault Ukrainian positions there.
13/ There were also what I think are 10 BTR-50s here, of which just 6 are left by now. However, they might just be BMD-3s. Who knows. Image
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14/ Finally, BMPs. As with tanks, a steady rate of removal with a temporal spike in stored equipment in summer 2022 due to the dynamics of replenishing frontline units. Image
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15/ There's still more than half of the prewar inventory left, and I think that's because msot BMPs left here are thoroughly cannibalized on the inside. Like these, which haven't been moved for years past the initial examination when the war started. Image
16/ So I think next year we'll probably see this base depleted of T-62s, BTRs and BMDs, but the rest will probably remain here except the small quantities removed once in a while. Image
17/ Everything else looks in bad condition, even if the hulls are mostly intact. Total lack of movement and rusty paint are good indicators. Image
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18/ A few more interesting points in line with every other base I have covered. First: the scrapyard. Again, picked up almost entirely clean. Image
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19/ Even these old scrapped tank hulls were mostly removed by 2023, and completely by 2024. Image
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20/ And the only remaining shed in the base is half ruined and let us see the inside. Possibly some tanks stored within, tho hard to tell. Image
21/ The rest of buildings are administrative offices and repair workshops, so no equipment should be expected to be stored inside those. Image
22/ Do check @CovertCabal's video on the total tank count. Also note that I'm not an expert on tank IDs, so his and @HighMarsed's numbers will be added to the sheet ASAP.
23/ And with this we have officially concluded the review of individual storage bases! Next big thread will be BTRZs, then another thread with summary, conclusions and predicitions for 2025 and finally one small thread reviewing the state of Russian active units bases. Image
24/ You probably noticed that I recounted equipment year by year for this base. I'm planning to do the same for absolutely every base so that we can have a year by year basis of how much stored equipment Russia demothballed for their war needs, tho that's a 2025 project. Image
25/ Finally, big thanks to Covert and HighMarsed and to everyone else like @waffentraeger, @Ath3neN0ctu4, @AS_22im, @hizzo_jay, @UAControlMap and many more!

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More from @Jonpy99

Dec 30
1/ One last thread to end 2024! Let's take a quick look at Russia's towed AA guns in storage: S-60s and KS-19s 🧵 Image
2/ So it's no mystery that this war is full of stark contrats: Leopard 2s and self-propelled MT-LBs, Ladas and BMP-3s... And also old towed AA guns repurposed for ground targets. The main Soviet systems in this regard were S-60s and KS-19s. Image
3/ Both Ukraine and Russia have been using them extensively since 2022. But while Ukraine at times modernizes them with targeting systems (not always tho)...
Read 28 tweets
Dec 27
1/ Future abandoned Russian storage bases, consolidation of facilities and obsolete equipment to be scrapped 🧵 Image
2/ Before continuing, this a follow up to my most recent thread:
3/ So, in the previous thread I talked about how many stored armored vehicles that might look decent-ish were probably total write offs. This time I wanna delve a bit more into related stuff. Image
Read 26 tweets
Dec 24
A little look into how Omsktransmash has changed. Back in 2021, the only T-80s you could spot were these 52 ones, parked there for years and clearly cannibalized. Nothing would change during 2022, either. Image
Image
And in 2023, suddenly, T-80s everywhere, in massive numbers, waiting to be refurbished or modernized to BVM standard. Image
Image
Image
Image
And even more T-80s in the backlog in 2024. Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
Dec 22
1/ A look into the state of many of the remaining armored vehicles in storage and how useless they are, along with their storage facilities 🧵 Image
2/ I'm well aware that many people look at the spreadsheet at feel demoralized by how much stuff Russia still has in reserve. Alas, that's not entirely the whole picture. Let's take the stored BTRs as an example. Image
3/ If you look at the sheet, it appears they still have a bit under two thirds of the prewar stock. Is it true tho? docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…Image
Read 19 tweets
Dec 15
1/ We got new footage pf the 103rd/2546th Central Tank Reserva Base, and it's time to look into it! When it comes to essy to repair equioment, this base is almost done! 🧵 Image
2/ Before you continue, first check @CovertCabal's video on this with the footage he was able to buy:
3/ Here you have the remaining numbers, not including their condition: Image
Read 19 tweets
Dec 11
1/ We're finally there! A major Russian storage base is practically empty of any equipment! A thread on the newer footage of the 1295th Central Tank Reserve Base 🧵 Image
2/ Before continuing, check out @CovertCabal's video on the 1295th!
3/ First of all, this thread is almost more an analysis of a pile of junk than a storage base. And before anyone gets picky, I said a MAJOR storage base. You can see that several minor bases are already empty since a while ago. Image
Read 22 tweets

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