1-4 This is really interesting data and worth a breakdown. This is all fatal injuries by month in the US. I've split it into pre-covid and pandemic. I included provisional data, but it only looks like it's going down because that data is incomplete.
2- Look at the big jump once COVID came into play. That in itself is alarming.
3- The trend lines also paint a worrisome picture. The rates of these types of death is increasing at a faster rate after the pandemic started than before.
4-4 This all suggests that COVID is leading to more accidental injuries, likely due to increases in brain fog and risk-taking behavior.
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I've been suspecting that there is much more COVID circulating than we know. The problem is that the scant data that we had keeps disappearing under this regime.
2- One of the few data sources right now is Google symptom searches. Here's the raw data for the US. I had noticed that these were increasing in many states as I was updating my website last evening.
Same data set, but with linear trend lines. I use one month into the pandemic as a crossover to allow time for social services to normalize and to eliminate skewed data during the start. Dotted - pre, solid - COVID era.
3 - 4
Now some calculus. The dotted line is the six prior month derivative, the solid one is the six month moving average of the derivative. The distance above the black dotted line is proportional to the increasing rate of claims.
This is exactly why I find this administration disgusting besides the fact that it is completely tone deaf. However, there is plenty of evidence that this is nothing new for Americans, even though we are all immigrants.
I read In the Garden of the Beasts in the spring of 2016, before the melon felon even had the Republican nomination. I found the parallels very disturbing.
2- When he got elected, I decided to fly to Munich to study the rise of Nazism right after the Inauguration. I wanted to understand how what was probably a normal population of people allowed it to happen. I could have just stayed here.
3- During the trip, I visited Dachau. I intentionally went on the rainiest, coldest day during my trip. I knew it would be nothing like the misery that was experienced there, but I wanted to feel something.
Back when we had good case data early in the pandemic, I could predict the day cases would climb about 10 days out with nearly 99% accuracy. Unfortunately, that data supply and resolution is long gone.
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Now the earliest warning I can give is based on my observations of surges occurring when a variant becomes about 50% of submitted samples.