Why is everyone from Trump to China obsessed with Greenland and the Arctic? It’s not just ice and polar bears. It’s about power, money, and the future of the world. Here’s why the Arctic is the new battleground 🧵👇 1/20
1/The Arctic was once dismissed as a frozen wasteland. But today, it’s a geopolitical hotspot melting ice has unlocked new shipping routes, resources, and strategic opportunities. And with that comes competition sometimes cooperation, but mostly conflict.
2/The Arctic is warming 4x faster than the rest of the planet, making it one of the most vulnerable regions to climate change. This is melting ice that’s been there for centuries, opening access to places and resources once impossible to reach.
3/The melting ice has uncovered game-changing trade routes like the Northern Sea Route (above Russia) and the Northwest Passage (through Canada), Why does this matter? These routes cut weeks off shipping times between Asia, Europe, and North America.
4/Beneath the Arctic lie some of the world’s most valuable resources:
30% of untapped natural gas.
13% of the world's undiscovered oil.
Rare earths, essential for tech like electric vehicles, smartphones, and military systems.
5/Greenland isn’t just a chunk of ice. It’s a strategic goldmine for resources and military positioning though it’s autonomous, it’s still tied to Denmark making it a key player in Arctic politics
6/In 2019, Trump suggested buying Greenland. Crazy? Maybe. But the logic was sound:
It’s rich in resources.
It’s positioned perfectly near the Arctic Circle.
It could counter Russia and China.
Denmark called it “absurd,”
7/The Arctic isn’t a free-for-all. It’s governed by the Arctic Council, an 8-nation group:
🇺🇸 U.S.
🇷🇺 Russia
🇨🇦 Canada
🇩🇰 Denmark
🇳🇴 Norway
🇮🇸 Iceland
🇸🇪 Sweden
🇫🇮 Finland
8/Russia is dominating the Arctic game:
It has the largest Arctic coastline.
It owns 50+ icebreakers (compared to 6 for the U.S.).
It’s building military bases, expanding oil/gas projects, and increasing Arctic patrols.
9/The U.S. is stepping up its Arctic presence, especially as Russia grows bolder.
In 2020, it reopened its consulate in Greenland (after 67 years).
It’s increasing military spending in Alaska and Greenland to counter Russian and Chinese activity.
10/China has no Arctic borders, yet it calls itself a "near-Arctic state." Why?
It wants access to Arctic resources.
It’s investing heavily in Arctic infrastructure and research.
It sees the Arctic as part of its long-term economic and military strategy.
11/NATO allies like 🇺🇸 U.S. 🇨🇦 Canada, 🇳🇴 Norway, and 🇩🇰 Denmark are ramping up their Arctic presence to counteract Russia. Greenland plays a key role, hosting NATO’s radar and surveillance systems to monitor Arctic activity.
12/Canada controls the Northwest Passage another major Arctic shipping route but the U.S. disputes Canada claim calling the passage an "international strait.
Canada is also expanding its Arctic military presence with new patrol ships and investments in northern infrastructure
13/Who owns the Arctic? Under international law (UNCLOS), countries can claim parts of the seabed if they prove it’s part of their continental shelf.
Here’s the conflict:
Denmark, Russia, and Canada all claim the North Pole.
14/ The U.S. hasn’t ratified UNCLOS but is staking claims anyway, this legal battle is far from over.
15/Beyond resources, the Arctic creates new industries:
Greenland’s mining projects could dominate rare earth production.
Arctic tourism is growing as the region becomes more accessible.
Fisheries are expanding into previously frozen waters.
Arctic drilling increases the risk of oil spills and pollution.
Fragile ecosystems and Indigenous communities face displacement.
17/The Arctic is increasingly a stage for a new Cold War:
🇷🇺 Russia, 🇨🇳 China, and 🇺🇸 NATO allies are racing for dominance.
Military activity, territorial disputes, and resource competition are rising.
The stakes couldn’t be higher.
18/The Arctic affects us all:
Shipping routes impact global trade (and your delivery times).
Resource control affects prices for energy and tech.
Climate change in the Arctic affects weather patterns globally.
19/The Arctic is where the next big power plays are happening, and Greenland is right at the center. When Trump floated buying Greenland, when he comes back into power, we’ll see what he does about it.
This isn’t just politics; it’s the future of trade, energy, and power.
20/ I tried to make this thread as simple and clear as possible so everyone can understand why the Arctic and especially Greenland is so important. It’s a key place that a lot of global powers are fighting over.
Hope this helped break it down for you.
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The world is fixated on Taiwan, but the South China Sea (SCS) is where China is playing its long game. If you care about global trade, security, and geopolitics, this is the crisis you can't ignore. Let me break it down 👇 1/22
1/First, why does the South China Sea matter?
🔹 30% of global trade ($3.4T annually) flows through its waters.
🔹 It holds 11 billion barrels of oil & 190 trillion cubic feet of gas.
🔹 Fisheries here feed millions across Southeast Asia.
2/Controlling the South China Sea = controlling the arteries of global commerce. That's why China is all-in with its "Nine-Dash Line," claiming nearly the entire sea.
Thread: Russia's Satellite Challenges in Ukraine Conflict
Russia relies on satellite intelligence in Ukraine, but its limited, aging fleet and tech challenges make it tough to track Ukrainian defenses accurately. 🧵⬇️ 1/22
1/Russia has around 100 military or dual-use satellites, but only 19 are for Earth observation. Many others are for communications or navigation, limiting their impact on battlefield intelligence collection. This creates challenges in tracking Ukraine’s mobile defenses.
2/High-resolution imaging is vital for accurate tracking. Russia’s Persona satellites offer a resolution of around 50 cm, while U.S. Keyhole satellites achieve up to 5 cm. That means U.S. satellites can detect much finer details, which are often missed by Russia’s older systems.
A simulation by the Center on New Generation Warfare predicts a possible Russian attack on NATO's eastern flank in 2027, focusing on Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. The scenario shows critical vulnerabilities in NATO’s defense. Here's what it reveals and what needs to change. 🧵
2/According to the simulation, NATO could take up to ten days to invoke Article 5 and respond, leaving the Baltic states vulnerable to a Russian offensive from Kaliningrad and Belarus.
3/Currently, NATO’s presence in the region consists of 800 troops and several Leopard 2 tanks in Lithuania. This number is expected to grow by 2027 to 4,800 soldiers and 44 tanks, but the simulation highlights this may still not be enough.
There’s talk about the potential U.S. deployment of the THAAD missile defense system in Israel. But what is THAAD, and why does it matter? Here’s a detailed breakdown of the system and what it means for defense
1/THAAD stands for Terminal High Altitude Area Defense. It’s a system designed to intercept and destroy ballistic missiles during their final stage of flight, right before they hit their target.
2/The U.S. developed THAAD in the 1990s to defend against ballistic missile threats. With the growing concern over missile attacks from adversaries, especially in the Middle East and East Asia, the U.S. needed a high-altitude interception system
How Russia, through Wagner Group, increased its influence in Africa, challenging France’s historical dominance. 1/21 🧵
1/For decades, France maintained a stronghold in West and Central Africa, leveraging colonial ties and a network of military bases, economic agreements, and political alliances to exert influence
2/Over the past two decades, France's influence has waned due to rising anti-colonial sentiments, criticisms of neo-colonialism, and failures in counter-terrorism operations, particularly in the Sahel region.
🧵Thread: Iran’s Military and Nuclear Capabilities: A Detailed Assessment of the Threat to Israel.
1/25
1/ Iran’s military and nuclear capabilities have become a focal point of concern for Israel and the broader Middle East. With the development of increasingly sophisticated missile technology and the advancement of its nuclear program, Iran poses a direct and growing threat to Israel's security. As tensions continue to escalate, understanding the specifics of Iran's military potential is crucial to assessing the risks of a potential conflict.
2/ Ballistic Missile Arsenal: The Core of Iran’s Strike Capability
Iran’s missile program is one of the most advanced in the region, and it serves as the backbone of Tehran’s ability to project power across the Middle East. The Iranian missile arsenal includes a range of short, medium, and long-range ballistic missiles, many of which are capable of reaching Israeli territory.