UPDATE: The key part of this UNSC fight is not Russia or China. It is France. Moscow and Beijing blocking force language on Hormuz is expected. Paris doing it too tells you there is still no real Western consensus for giving this crisis a UN-backed military path. 🧵(1/6) 2/ Bahrain’s draft was never just about shipping. It was about building legal cover for a harder response in Hormuz. Even after the text was softened to “all defensive means necessary,” France still joined Russia and China in pushing back.

The Strait of Hormuz is closed.
Now the Houthis are threatening Bab el-Mandeb too.
Until recently one chokepoint. Now we risk two simultaneously.
🔹 What each strait controls
🔹 What rerouting costs
🔹 Who bleeds most
🔹 What you're already feeling at home
1/24 🧵👇 1/For years the Red Sea was the problem. Ships rerouting. Costs rising. Egypt's Suez Canal bleeding revenue.
That was one chokepoint Bab el-Mandeb threatened by a non-state actor, now Hormuz is closed. The world hasn't faced both at once before.

TAKE: There’s a lot of talk about “peace talks”, but the real question is simpler: what can each side actually accept? Not in theory, but in reality. That’s where deals are made and it’s also where most of them fall apart. 🧵(1/8) 2/ The U.S. position still looks tough on paper: stop Iran’s nuclear ambitions, limit missiles, cut support to proxies, and reopen Hormuz. But taken literally, that is very close to asking Iran to dismantle most of its strategic posture.

TAKE: My sense is that Trump is looking at this war like a negotiator first. The 48-hour ultimatum on Hormuz fits that logic. Reopen it, or we hit your energy system. That doesn’t sound like someone planning a long war. It sounds like someone trying to force a deal fast. 🧵(1/6) 2/ If bringing down the regime outright looks too hard, then the goal shifts. Not total victory, but a stronger position. Get leverage, then go to the table from a place where the other side has fewer options.

UPDATE: What the U.S. has been hitting in Iran over the last hours says a lot about the real priority right now. The pattern doesn’t look random: coastal missile sites, naval-linked assets and hardened facilities all point in the same direction. 🧵(1/3) 2/ A lot of the focus seems to be on targets tied to Hormuz: anti-ship systems, radar, storage and coastal infrastructure. This suggests Washington is less interested in symbolic damage and more in reducing Iran’s ability to threaten shipping and energy flows.

BREAKING: Moldova declares emergency after Russian attack contaminates Nistru River. Residents in the Naslavcea region are on yellow alert as laboratory tests show pollutant levels far above safety limits, forcing authorities to warn that water supply to northern towns, including Bălți, may be temporarily cut.

The Ministry of Environment, led by Gheorghe Hajder, confirmed that petroleum substances continue to flow into the river, prompting urgent intervention. Teams from Moldova and Ukraine are on-site installing filters, barriers, and conducting water tests every six hours using mobile labs. Officials stressed that straw bales are the most effective method to contain the pollutants.

The contamination stems from oil spills caused by a Russian strike on the Novodnistrovsk Hydropower Plant, according to local sources. On March 11, Bălți’s residents were left without potable water, as authorities deployed containment barriers downstream to prevent further spread.

In response, Moldova has mobilized its army and requested activation of the EU Civil Protection Mechanism, seeking specialist teams, oil containment equipment, and mobile water testing stations.

Authorities warn that this is an ongoing emergency, with thousands of residents at risk, and cross-border coordination with Ukraine continues to mitigate the impact and monitor water quality. Moldova now faces one of its most serious environmental emergencies in decades, triggered directly by a Russian military attack.


Romanian teams are already on the ground too. Working along the Nistru River to install additional filters and containment barriers to prevent the pollution from spreading downstream.

BREAKING: Germany arrested two suspects this morning over an attempted sabotage of German Navy vessels in Hamburg. Investigators say they damaged a corvette by pouring abrasive material into engines and tampering with fuel and safety systems. The suspects, a Romanian and a Greek national, are accused of sabotaging German naval vessels in Hamburg, damaging engines, water lines and safety systems. Raids were carried out in multiple countries with Eurojust support, pointing to a coordinated and serious investigation into possible organized or state-linked sabotage.

NEW: Canada’s Armed Forces have modelled a hypothetical U.S. invasion scenario for the first time in over a century, senior officials say. The exercise explores how Canada might respond if conventional defence collapses including insurgency-style tactics. 1/Officials stress this is not an operational war plan but a theoretical model. A U.S. attack is considered highly unlikely, and military cooperation with Washington, including NORAD, remains intact. Still, the modelling reflects a shift in threat perception not seen in decades.

Leaked internal documents from Russia’s Alabuga Special Economic Zone, analyzed by the Molfar Intelligence Institute, indicate that Moscow has been testing and upgrading Shahed drones outside Russia, including in Kazakhstan and potentially Turkey.

The documents show the use of European and tourist SIM cards, 4G modems, and trackers to improve navigation, telemetry, resistance to electronic warfare, and post-strike data collection. According to Molfar, this testing may help explain the unexplained drone overflights reported across multiple European countries in recent months, particularly near strategic and military sites.

The findings suggest Russia is adapting its drones to operate across foreign telecom networks, not only for use in Ukraine but potentially for broader operational environments.
According to the investigation, Russian engineers tested Shahed drones using SIM cards from European mobile operators to study signal stability, flight correction, data transmission, and how drones behave inside foreign telecom environments. This allows Russia to map air-defense reactions, EW interference zones, and network vulnerabilities beyond Ukraine.

BREAKING: For the first time, Maj Gen Paul Tedman, head of UK Space Command, revealed that Russia is targeting and jamming UK military satellites on a weekly basis. China has also tested anti-satellite weapons, but Russia shows greater willingness to use counter-space systems. 1/UK military satellites are fitted with counter-jamming technologies, but Gen Tedman says the interference is persistent and deliberate, increasing since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

Thread: Over Denmark and Poland: NATO’s Drone Defense Reality 1/NATO is often assumed ready to counter any air threat. But small, low-flying drones expose a critical vulnerability across European airspace. Here’s why. 🧵👇

BREAKING: Germany’s armed forces are planning for up to 1,000 wounded troops per day in a potential NATO-Russia conflict, with hospital trains, frontline stabilization, and expanded medical services. This comes after France revealed hospitals are preparing for 10,000–50,000 casualties by 2026 1/Flexible transport options are being explored, including hospital trains, buses, and expanded air evacuation, ensuring wounded troops can reach German hospitals efficiently under crisis conditions.

China’s Trade at Risk: Poland–Belarus Border Closure & the Arctic Opportunity 🧵👇 1/Poland closed its border with Belarus after Russian drone incursion and joint military exercises (Zapad 2025). This blocks China’s main rail link to Europe, stranding trains and forcing companies to consider slower or more expensive alternatives.

BREAKING: Romania has finally published findings on the 2024 elections, revealing a coordinated Russian hybrid war. The State Prosecutor reported 85,000 cyberattacks, sabotage attempts (some not yet published), disinformation campaigns, and confirmed that Horațiu Potra, a mercenary who backed Călin Georgescu’s presidential bid, is seeking asylum in Russia. 1/The hybrid campaign exploited social media and psychological tactics to polarize society, mislead the population, and destabilize government decision-making during the presidential elections.

Exposed: Kremlin’s Digital Army in Moldova & Romania – Coordinated Social Media Propaganda, Anti-EU Narratives, Trump & Musk Endorsements, USAID Attacks, and Electoral Manipulation 🧵👇 1/24. 1/Investigators uncovered a Kremlin-linked digital army in Moldova, spreading pro-Russian propaganda via TikTok, Facebook, and Telegram, carefully coordinated to sway public opinion and prepare for the 2025 parliamentary elections, with influence reaching Romania and beyond.

BREAKING: Portugal’s President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa accuses U.S. President Donald Trump of acting as a Soviet/Russian asset in the Ukraine war, claiming the current U.S. leadership has strategically favored Russia while sidelining Ukraine and Europe in recent negotiations. Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa criticized Trump’s leadership as emotional and direct, saying the U.S. acts as an arbiter favoring Russia, while Ukraine and Europe are sidelined, reflecting a shift in global power dynamics.

JUST IN: A large-scale search is underway in the Norwegian Sea after reports that a Russian submarine may have threatened the American aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford. Norwegian, British, and American P-8 Poseidon aircraft have been conducting surveillance missions. -Dagladabet. Norwegian Armed Forces confirm that monitoring by Russian forces is routine when NATO aircraft carrier groups operate in the region. Lieutenant Colonel Brynjar Stordal emphasized that both aircraft, surface vessels, and submarines are regularly used for surveillance.

Venezuela, Maduro & drugs
Why is the US offering $50M for info on a sitting president?

This thread explains what’s happening, how we got here, and why it matters.👇🧵 1/Venezuela has been in deep crisis for years runaway inflation, millions fleeing, democracy hollowed out. Amid all this, it became a perfect corridor for cocaine flows leaving South America.

BREAKING: Romania suspects Russia of deliberately sabotaging Azerbaijani crude with chlorine en route to the Petrobrazi refinery, risking severe damage and a fuel crisis. Seen as possible hybrid warfare sabotage, the incident led the government to declare an energy emergency. The contaminated crude posed a serious threat by corroding refinery equipment, which could have caused prolonged shutdowns and disrupted fuel supplies nationwide. Romania’s quick detection and response helped prevent a major energy crisis.

BREAKING: Romania is in an undeclared war with Russia, says Interior Minister Cătălin Predoiu. He cites ongoing cyberattacks and disinformation campaigns, warning: We are no longer living in times of peace. Predoiu says Russia’s hybrid war fuels disinformation and social division in Romania. He urges a smart, organized response to foreign propaganda: “We must adapt to this new historical phase and counter hostile narratives that exploit public frustration.

Beneath the Ice: The Quiet Geopolitical Storm Brewing in Antarctica

Today we’re going to explore it.
🔹 Who claims what
🔹 What lies beneath the surface
🔹 Who’s making moves
🔹 Why 2048 changes everything
🔹 What could go wrong

👇🧵. 1/First: What is Antarctica?

🔹 5th largest continent
🔹 ~98% covered in ice
🔹 No permanent population
🔹 Not owned by any country
🔹 Crucial to sea levels + climate stability