Lakshya Jain Profile picture
Dec 31, 2024 16 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Okay. So I've wanted to articulate this for a while, but never really knew how.

But I'm personally absolutely, completely disgusted with the Democratic Party — *my* party, in many ways — and not because of the party moving "too far left/right". Let me explain.🧵
Everything I write here is in my personal capacity. And this is not a giant thread on "why I left the Democratic Party". I'm not doing that, because I agree with Democrats significantly more than I do with the GOP, and I vote for the side I agree with more.

But I'm still angry.
I'm tired of the incessant deference to unions *at the cost of progress* (see: the Jones Act and Puerto Rico). And I'm tired of programs we forget are a means to an end, rather than the end itself (CA HSR is a great example. Give us results, don't point to "jobs created"!).
It's the "process over results" attitude that I'm just sick and tired of. So many programs are created with immense goodwill and money to be put into good things. But when the time comes to build, *we just can't*, because paperwork and process is like crack cocaine to Democrats.
And we're told "it's fine". But it's really not. Government should exist to work for people, not work for itself. If you have a program that has poured $40M into rural broadband with no results, you can rationalize it in any way you want, but it's a massive failure at the end.
Mostly, I'm tired of being promised things that the party has no intention of living up to. It goes beyond policies — we were promised that Biden was fine, and we'd see it at the debate.

Really? What the fuck was that?

"Oh, it was a bad night."

The next 3 weeks were bad too!
What about Donald Trump and January 6th? Well, Biden's own Justice Department slow-walked so much of the prosecution out of a deference to norms to a guy they say tried to overthrow the govt.

They got no help from the legal system. But their own actions did them no favors either
It's this constant prioritization of process over policy, of process over results, and of "defending our institutions" that I'm sick and tired of. If these are our institutions, can you blame voters for asking: what the fuck is the point?
I don't want our institutions to just hold, I want them to *work*.

It's not okay for CVS and Target to lock everything up in SF. It's not okay for people to be afraid of taking the BART at 11 PM. It's okay for people to want institutions to play a role in *actually fixing them*.
I continue to vote for Democrats, and I think I'll do that for the foreseeable future — at the end, I don't believe in withholding votes because one side is going to win, and I'd rather the side I agree with more win. So that's the Democrats.

But I still criticize them a lot.
Why? The Affordable Care Act, while imperfect, is massive. Social Security is a boon to seniors and helps them live decently. Medicaid/Medicare is an immensely valuable program. Trump and J6 cross a line for me. And I just don't think tearing down institutions fixes things.
But I'm also tired. I'm tired of treating institutions like some incredible holy grail that must be championed and above criticism. This isn't about a left/right axis for me — I'm just tired of being told that things are all fine when they're obviously not.
I'm not open to overtures about "why I left the Left" or whatever. I'm a Democrat.

"Sheep", "NPC", whatever — save it. The right isn't going to have me, and I don't want them (I was born here but 90% of online MAGA still wants to deport me, lol).

I just want things to work.
@the_transit_guy And look, here's the thing: highways may suck for urban planning, but highways *work* and so the average American isn't going to complain about more funding for something they use (and have to use) every day. It is what it is.
@the_transit_guy @flaminhottweets If your choice is to fund it into irrelevance, that's ok, but there are real political and policy costs associated with keeping it — costs that arguably significantly outweigh the ones associated with letting it go.
This ended up getting more attention than I imagined. This isn't really electoral advice for Democrats. It's just my own frustrations.

It's not a diagnosis of why they lost, and they don't technically *need* to change much to win 2026, but that doesn't mean I like what exists.

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More from @lxeagle17

Mar 29
We have not and will not model Florida's 6th (FL-06). Split Ticket will not make any prediction here. But the race is close, as both sides acknowledge, and though a Democratic win would still be a HUGE upset, it is a possibility the GOP has braced for.

🧵on some things to note:
Firstly: this seat is Trump +30. Randy Fine is a terrible candidate and is probably costing the GOP quite a bit across the board in both turnout and persuasion.

But again: it was Trump +30. So keep that in mind for everything. An upset here would be monumental and unprecedented. Image
Secondly: the ELECTORATE that shows up on Tuesday will obviously not be Trump +30 (or the R+26 by registration that it was in 2024). Right now, we have an electorate that is a tick under R+8 in early voting, with two days to go, and it's ticking up at a pace of ~R+1 per day.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 13
I'm teaching databases this semester at Berkeley. My students all seem unusually brilliant. Not many go to office hours, and not too many folks post on the course forum asking project questions.

Weirdly, the exam had the lowest recorded average in my 10 semesters teaching it.
Put another way, I'm pretty sure a lot of Computer Science students are using ChatGPT to complete their coding assignments instead of actually doing the assignments themselves.

If true, it's a huge problem. The process of learning debugging is critical to growing as an engineer.
IMO the effect of this may be that courses will have to give even *less* scaffolding, so that students can't GPT the entire assignment. The design aspect of projects may also become even more critical.

Theory is going to become an even more important filter for competency too.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 7
The most common reply I get to this point on progressive underperformance is "the media is rigged against progressives so that's why we do worse" and this is just not a convincing explanation.

So again: if progressives are more electable, why do they keep underperforming?
What I think is worth pointing out is that you keep seeing this underperformance. I'm not talking as much about New Democrats vs Progressives, which are still very close together — I'm really talking more about people like the Squad vs Blue Dogs. Image
Image
So the natural followup to this is: if progressives *are* just as electable as the moderates in ideology, then the progressives have done a really bad job of identifying leaders and taking positions (to be fair, a few left-wing writers like @ettingermentum have said this).
Read 6 tweets
Feb 28
Reminder: Trump won 2024 because he gained 20 points of ground with voters who don't pay attention — they voted for him based on a pre-COVID economy and hated Biden's. He's sold new voters on a vision, while alienating a lot of his old ones. If he can't deliver, there's trouble.
People are not internalizing how dangerous this situation can get for the Trump administration. These new voters do not have any special allegiance to him. You just cannot sell these people on their bank accounts being drained and wages stagnating. No one is immune to that.
The allegiance voters have to Trump is a lot weaker than anyone wants to believe on here, and it simply doesn't extend to his downballot candidates, where "Trumpism without Trump" loses very badly. (And he's not on the ballot in 2026 either.)
Read 4 tweets
Jan 18
Approaching Trump's inauguration, this is *probably* the zenith of conservative influence in pop culture and society over the last 30 years, despite Trump's relatively slim victory of 1.5%.

The movement may last. But I *suspect* people are overconfident here. 🧵
To begin with, it is unquestionably true that public opinion has shifted *sharply* to the right on a host of issues over the last four years — transgender rights, immigration, and even "coolness" (zoomers are way less Dem than millennials were, and tech is lining up behind Trump) Image
The thing is, though, that I can recall so many good examples of majorities being rebuked because they either misread the moment, the mandate, or the public's true desire.

When people find out what policies would entail, for example, support craters.
Read 11 tweets
Nov 11, 2024
Here's where we stand in the House (11/10, 23:59 EST).

- Democrats at 213 seats with the latest #CA27 drop, but have lost #CO08. Rs at 217.
- Dems must sweep #CA13, #CA45, #AKAL, #AZ06, #CA41.
- #CA13 is tilt D. #CA45 a tossup/tilt R. #AKAL leans R. #AZ06, #CA41 very likely R.
#CA13: the two counties that are the most complete already have Duarte underrunning his 2022 margins by ~2, when he won by only half a point.
- Merced (Gray's home county) has yet to report a ton of blue-leaning mail. Would narrowly rather be Gray, but it will be *very* close.
#CA45: Dropbox ballots are way bluer and Tran has been crushing it in the LA County drops. If he gets anything like that from Orange (most of the seat), he'd win easily. But he won't — Orange is way redder. Would narrowly rather be Steel, but could really tip either way.
Read 4 tweets

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