Good thread, too bad Cedric tweets in French. The mass return of Sunni scholarship to Syria represents Al-Shara's real test as an emerging politician: if he wants to govern Syria, he has to build the biggest tent, fast. This means eg intra-Sunni alliances btwn Salafis and Sufis.
Syria's scholars trend towards sufi/ikhwani backgrounds, inherently at odds with HTS' style of salafism. That doesn't mean they can't coexist or cooperate. It just means they are not the same thing, and that will require concessions, especially by Al-Shara.
If his current track record is anything to go by, Al-Shara is prepared to extend the tent and these scholars, if they are indeed wise, will get what concessions they want without causing a ruckus and then rally the people to supporting the new state.
This will be Al-Shara's most important domestic political achievement over the coming months and years, and arguably, will provide him with the greatest legitimacy and state-unifying power.
To make it clear: an alliance between Al-Shara and Syria's prominent Sunni scholarship means no Sunni faction in the country will try and bear arms against HTS and will fold into HTS-led state-building efforts.
Dr Ratib Al-Nabulsi, one of Syria’s famous scholars in exile who just returned this week to Syria, meeting with Al-Shara today. The big tent building already started.
I’d expect a visit by Usama Al-Rifai soon, who was appointed ‘Grand Mufti’ by the Syrian opposition Islamic council in Istanbul back in 2021 when Assad abolished the position in the state. It will be interesting to see if Al-Shara doesn’t contest that appointment.
Just to be clear: Al-Shara probably sees himself above such issues like the sufi-salafi divide because he is ‘Syria’s statesman.’ The expansion of the tent will massively benefit Al-Shara’s position, as salafi-jihadi hardliners become very marginal.
I have no doubts that the trad Syrian Sunni establishment and Al-Shara will establish a working relationship. The former will also have to compromise on and accept the existence of salafi preachers and participation in the courts, etc, considering the latter did the liberating.
Al-Nabulsi on his return to Damascus went to his mosque which he was forced to abandon when he went into exile and couldn’t speak without crying:
Al-Nabulsi also met the female students of his sharia college in Damascus. The one thing Assad could never do was eliminate the influence of the Sunni ulema even in their exile. A lot of these girls probably weren’t alive when the revolution began.
People don’t seem to understand the sheer political acumen on display in Syria right now. Every mistake made in the past decade is being carefully avoided. There is outreach to everyone. Deals are being made with all sides. The competence is staggering.
Much of this depends on the speed with which the Assad regime collapsed to create the unlikely scenario of a largely unified Syria in the same month. Foreign powers didn’t consider this scenario and haven’t had time enough to plot against this reality now.
It’s a honeymoon period in which the largest gains can be made, and the new government in Syria is steaming ahead to make those gains before things start getting more difficult.
Islamdom suffers from a pervasive lack of creativity. It is not an exaggeration to say that the Muslim world is among the least generative (in terms of idea production + effect on the world) among all 'civilisational groups'.
The reason for why is offensive to the contemporary mind: after WWI, the elite classes of Islam from the Ottoman empire to Hyderabad were largely dismantled, exiled and/or assimilated into the new orders of their respective nation-states.