Ian Ellis Profile picture
Jan 6 12 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Since the U.S. election, China:

- Hacked the U.S. Treasury Department
- Conducted largest naval drills in decades
- Deployed ships in strength to the South China Sea
- Launched the world’s biggest amphibious warship
- Accused of sabotaging undersea cables in Asia & Europe
- Imposed crippling export controls & sanctions on U.S. firms
- Unveiled new advanced aircraft (J-35, J-36, J-15T/D, KJ-3000)
- Practiced a naval blockade near Japanese islands for the first time
- Continues to execute the “worst telecom hack in U.S. history,” which compromised DJT & JDV devices

Beijing sending a message to the incoming admin. More info & sources below.
cc @marcorubio @michaelgwaltz @PeteHegseth @ElbridgeColby
1. “Major incident” attributed to Chinese state-sponsored threat actors announced last week by the U.S. Treasury Department
2. China conducted a massive military exercise across the Western Pacific in December, which Taiwanese officials called the largest naval deployment and drills since 1996.
3. Chinese air and naval forces staged “combat readiness patrols” around Scarborough Shoal last Sunday, marking Beijing’s final major show of strength against Manila over the disputed South China Sea maritime feature in 2024: @Aaron_MatthewIL
4. In late December, on Mao’s birthday, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy launched a new generation of amphibious assault ship.
5. FT reports that Taiwan asked South Korea to help investigate a Chinese-owned ship suspected of cutting a subsea cable off its northern coast on Friday.

“Taiwan telecoms operator Chunghwa Telecom and the Taiwan Coast Guard said on Saturday that the cargo vessel Shunxing39 was believed to have caused damage to a communications cable — close to the port of Keelung on Taiwan’s north coast — on the morning of January 3.

It follows incidents where Chinese ships came under scrutiny when fibre optic cables in the Baltic Sea were severed last November and a gas pipeline and cable were damaged there in October 2023.”
6. China banned rare earth mineral exports of gallium, germanium, antimony, and superhard materials to the U.S., escalating “supply chain warfare,” and imposed sanctions and export control measures on another 30+ U.S. companies.
7. The PLA debuted several new advanced aircraft at the Zhuhai Airshow in November, including the J-35A, J-15T, J-15D, and more. Other next-gen aircraft, which some have dubbed the J-36, J-50, and KJ-3000, were spotted but not officially confirmed or unveiled.
8. The PLA Navy and China Coast Guard (CCG) jointly carried out activities similar to a naval blockade in the Miyako Strait during December. A heavily armed CCG fleet was also dispatched to areas near Japan’s Senkaku Islands.

“This is the first confirmation of activities of either kind, according to multiple sources close to the government. The government is reportedly exercising increased caution, believing that China may be considering an expanded naval blockade area in the event of a Taiwan contingency. ‘This is an unusual move that indicates China’s intention to impose a naval blockade.’”
9. In recent months, a series of revelations have shown how a sophisticated Chinese intelligence group linked to the Ministry of State Security (MSS), called "Salt Typhoon," hacked into at least 9 U.S. telecommunications firms.

Investigators said that among the targets were the commercial, unencrypted phone lines used by President-elect Trump, VP-elect Vance, and top national security officials.

The hackers also obtained a nearly complete list of phone numbers the Justice Department has wiretapped to monitor people suspected of crimes or espionage, giving the Chinese insight into which Chinese spies the U.S. has identified — and which it has missed.

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More from @ianellisjones

Dec 27, 2024
🚨 China launches world’s largest amphibious assault warship

The first Type 076 landing helicopter dock (LHD), CNS Sichuan (51), made its debut in Shanghai on Friday and features “significant technological upgrades that place it in a class above its peers.”

Here’s what we know:
Official announcement less than an hour ago: Image
Via Chinese media:

- The Sichuan is a new generation of amphibious assault ship of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy. It is a key equipment to promote the transformation and development of the PLA Navy and enhance its far seas combat capability.

- The first of its kind in the world equipped with electromagnetic catapult and arresting technology, allowing it to launch manned and unmanned combat aircraft in addition to helicopters similar to an aircraft carrier.

- It has a full load displacement of more than 40,000 tons, is equipped with a double island superstructure and a full longitudinal flight deck, and innovatively applies electromagnetic catapult and arresting technology.

- The Type 076 amphibious assault ship is characterized by its large displacement, which is among the top in the world. This means the vessel can carry more weapons and equipment, has longer range and stronger combat capabilities.

- It is the world’s first amphibious assault ship equipped with electromagnetic launching technology. This means it can not only carry helicopters, but also fighter aircraft like the J-15, Zhang said. Electromagnetic launching technology leads to higher launch efficiency and faster launch speed, so the Type 076 has outstanding capabilities in air superiority and land assault missions.

- The vessel also has excellent amphibious assault capabilities, as it can carry an amphibious combat battalion to quickly reach the target area for landing operations. It has strong comprehensive combat capability, capable of conducting horizontal landing as well as airborne operations.

- The Type 076 amphibious assault ship is a culmination of all the elements, including the radars of destroyers and frigates, the electromagnetic catapult of the aircraft carrier Fujian, and the concept of the Type 075 amphibious assault ship.Image
Read 9 tweets
Dec 12, 2024
🚨 China quietly carried out a sweeping military operation this week in the Western Pacific — its largest naval deployment in decades.

Taiwan defense officials called the unannounced exercise staggering, unprecedented, and extremely rare.

Here’s everything you need to know 🧵 Image
Earlier this week, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) conducted a massive joint military exercise around the Taiwan Strait and Western Pacific, targeting the entire first island chain.

Taiwan’s military spokesperson said the scale of the naval deployment was the largest since the 1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis. In a notable first, Eastern, Northern, and Southern Theater Commands participated together in coordination.
The PLA designated 7 reserved airspace zones east of Fujian and Zhejiang provinces, spanning more than 800 miles along the first island chain (which extends south from Japan and through Taiwan to the Philippines).
Read 11 tweets
Dec 9, 2024
Admiral Paparo: “I remain confident that we’d prevail in a conflict with the PRC over Taiwan...

And, in fact, the PRC also doubts their own ability to prevail in such a conflict...

That doesn’t negate that if they decided there would have to be a war of necessity, they’re going at tremendous risk to themselves...

Our concern is that the margin — expressed in risk of succeeding, lost lives, lost capability, lost money, and lost time — is eroding.”
Adm. Paparo, Commander of @INDOPACOM, speaking at the Reagan National Defense Forum, says the U.S. needs to double down on:
Response when asked about stationing U.S. troops on Taiwan:

“U.S. troops on Taiwan has the tremendous risk of tripping China’s 2005 Anti-Secession Law...

However, defensive services is an element of the Taiwan Relations Act...

So, I don’t discuss U.S. presence on Taiwan...”
Read 5 tweets
Dec 2, 2024
A lot going on in the Indo-Pacific — a few things you may have missed last week 🧵

- Chinese balloons are back around Taiwan
- China + Russia conduct 9th joint strategic aerial patrol
- Largest swarm of Chinese ships ever near Philippines’ Thitu island
- Taiwan intercepts China Coast Guard ships in Kinmen’s restricted waters
- Three PRC research vessels enter the Philippines’ EEZ
- CCG carries out intrusive patrols in Malaysia’s EEZ
- Taiwan’s President lands in Hawaii, irking Beijing
- U.S. approves $320 million arms sale to Taiwan

China could launch military drills, or exercise “Joint Sword C,” in response. More info + sources below.Image
Chinese balloons are back—

After a 7+ month hiatus, Taiwan detected at least 6 Chinese balloons entering its air defense ID zone (ADIZ) over the last week.

From December 2023 to April 2024, China sent an unprecedented 102 balloons over and around the island. Image
Image
Image
Image
China debuts H-6N bomber & conducts strategic aerial patrol with Russia in the Sea of Japan, East China Sea, and WESTPAC—

For the first time, China employed the H-6N strategic bomber in the patrol. The H-6N is “emblematic of the strategic transformation of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force” and capable of long-range operations, aerial refueling, and carrying nuclear weapons.

It is the 9th patrol organized by the two militaries since 2019 and the 2nd this year.Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
Nov 12, 2024
New details from DOD — U.S. Navy repels multiple Iranian-backed Houthi attacks:

- Destroyers USS Stockdale (DDG 106) & USS Spruance (DDG 111), part of the Lincoln CSG, were attacked while transiting the BAM on 11 Nov
- Included at least 8x one-way attack drones, 5x anti-ship ballistic missiles, & 3x anti-ship cruise missiles
- Despite reports, aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) (recently in the Gulf of Aden) was not targeted
- Successfully engaged & defeated with no injuries or damage

“CENTCOM forces retain the inherent right of self-defense & will take appropriate steps to protect our personnel.” —Pentagon Press Sec
“On November 11th, U.S. Central Command forces successfully repelled multiple Iranian-backed Houthi attacks during a transit of the Bab el Mandeb Strait. During the transit, the Arleigh Burke-class guided missile destroyers USS Stockdale and USS Spruance were attacked by at least eight one-way attack uncrewed aerial systems, five anti-ship ballistic missiles, and three anti-ship cruise missiles, which were successfully engaged and defeated.

The vessels were not damaged. No personnel were hurt. Again, CENTCOM forces retain the inherent right of self-defense, and as I highlighted earlier, will take appropriate steps to protect our personnel.”
“This is the second time the two independently-deployed destroyers have come under Houthi fire. The Houthis also launched an attack in late September against the two destroyers, as well as USS Indianapolis (LCS-17), USNI News previously reported.”
Read 6 tweets
Nov 11, 2024
Updated chart visualizing Chinese PLA incursions into Taiwan’s air defense ID zone (ADIZ) this year.

The record-breaking surge began in May following President Lai’s inauguration. By August, ADIZ incursions had already surpassed 2023 totals — with the tally now 1,000+ higher. Image
“This is not a slide that comes out of @PACAF, but I do like it and I use it for this purpose.

You know we see this bullying taking place in the air domain: two lines on the chart. The one that’s in orange shows the air defense identification zone or ADIZ — incursions that the PLA has conducted against Taiwan in 2023. And while that slope is fairly constant, it just shows a persistent presence and pressure being put on the Taiwans. The blue line, or the green, depending on how this shows up for you, is 2024. And you notice in May, when President Lai was inaugurated, the slope on that line took about a 3x rise.

And again, just indications of how the bullying and threatening behaviors continue to be exhibited.” —Gen. Kevin Schneider
Read 6 tweets

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