Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
@Mylovanov
Jan 6 • 9 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
A must read: Politico’s list of 2025 black swans: Russia or Ukraine collapse, China-Taiwan clash, AI backlash, nuclear Iran, US debt crisis, space attacks, health system crisis. 1/ Image
1. On Russia-Ukraine: the war might freeze but won’t end; Putin would start losing power in Russia.

I would add: a spectacular collapse of either Russia or Ukraine, a use of nukes, or other powerful new weapons by either side, mass migration. 2/
2. China-Taiwan clash: Beijing ramps up military drills near Taiwan. Markets dive. Global supply chains shatter. Tensions ripple across Asia.

3. AI backlash: Strikes over job losses. Disinfo explodes. Rogue AI systems cause real-world harm. Governments scramble to catch up. 3/
4. Iran goes nuclear: A bomb test shakes the region. Israel, Saudi Arabia react sharply. The Gulf becomes a powder keg.

5. The dollar under fire: BRICS nations push hard to ditch the dollar. Global trade fractures. U.S. influence erodes. 4/
6. Tech collapse: Overhyped stocks crash. Big layoffs hit Silicon Valley. Innovation slows, investors pull back.

7. Oil shocks: Instability in the Gulf spikes oil prices. Energy markets reel. Inflation returns with a vengeance. 5/
8. U.S. debt crisis: Partisan standoffs over spending. Shutdowns hit. Markets lose faith in U.S. financial stability.

9. Israel unrest: Far-right policies spark backlash. Protests turn violent. Political stability crumbles. 6/
10. Climate chaos: Droughts devastate crops. Superstorms hit cities. Global food prices skyrocket. Political tensions grow.

11. Space attacks: Satellites are hacked or destroyed. GPS, internet, and comms disrupted. Modern life grinds to a halt. 7/
12. European migration crisis: Refugees from conflict and climate strain EU borders. Political infighting paralyzes response.

13. Health system collapse: A new pandemic or systemic burnout overwhelms hospitals. Governments struggle to cope. 8/
2025 is a powder keg. Any one of these could ignite. What’s your biggest worry for 2025? 9X

Source:

politico.com/news/magazine/…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Tymofiy Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jan 8
Today Trump spoke about tariffs on Mexico to stop drugs, Greenland’s 45,000 people wanting to join the U.S., how he defeated ISIS, Ukraine being the EU’s problem, taking Canada by economic force, and using the military to take the Panama Canal from China.

His best quotes: 1/
On US hostages in Israel: If those hostages aren't back - I don't want to hurt your negotiation - if they're not back by the time I get into office, all hell will break out in the Middle East. And it will not be good for Hamas. 2/
On Mexico: Something's going to have to be done. Same thing with Mexico. We have a massive deficit with Mexico, and we help Mexico a lot. They're essentially run by the cartels, and we can't let that happen. 3/
Read 27 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jan 7
“Why are you not convinced by trillions of dollars? What has happened to your business instinct? Are you stupid? And that’s what I say to pension funds as well. Are you stupid?” said Bauer

FT: Bauer calls on banks etc to change outdated policies in face of rising threats 1/ Image
The problem is larger than it seems. As Bauer notes, regional wars are the reality of the near future. Yet, anyone supporting defense - whether through investment, consumption, or other means - risks triggering compliance flags, account closures, or being denied services 2/
I can’t personally invest in defense startups because my lawyers warn it would trigger extended checks at financial institutions and border crossings, create legal risks and compliance burdens, and jeopardize donations to KSE’s 501(c)(3), where I serve as president 3/
Read 5 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jan 6
Zelensky told Fridman that Ukraine is ready to spend $300B of frozen Russian assets on U.S. weapons, has Europe’s best anti-corruption system, and proves Western security promises are worthless. 1/
1. On corruption: Ukraine’s anti-corruption system is the most advanced in the EU. Nearly all reforms are complete, and anti-corruption bodies now operate independently.

Claiming there’s no corruption would be dishonest, but we address it openly and fight it genuinely. 2/
2. On oligarchs: Kolomoyskyi, Ukraine’s most influential oligarch since independence, is now in Ukrainian prison - something the US and EU couldn’t achieve despite seeking him for money laundering. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jan 1
A sweet, perhaps, bittersweet piece from The Guardian on Ukrainians replanting war-burned forests 10 miles away from the frontlines 1/ Image
G: Yuriy Bengus leads volunteers planting English oaks in Kharkiv's war-damaged Zhuravli forest, despite active combat 12 miles away 2/
Volunteers planted 40,000 acorns. Project received widespread community support, including 50kg acorn collection by local school 3/
Read 5 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jan 1
Neutral Ukraine is a delusion of those who don’t understand history.

Over the last 350 years, Russia fought Ukraine in 24 wars (h/t Victor Yushchenko)

For centuries, Ukrainians have fought and died for freedom from Russia. Neutrality cannot be forced on Ukraine 1/
I remember the 2013 peace agreement between then pro Russian president Yanukovych protestors, who fought against his pivot to Russia

It was brokered by three European foreign ministers was structurally sound and detailed, including provisions for early elections and observers 2/
However, it collapsed within 24 hours. Protest leaders presented the agreement as a solution to end the bloodshed, yet it was rejected outright by the protesters 3/
Read 10 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Dec 31, 2024
FT: Russia trained officers for attacks on Japan and South Korea

I don’t know, but Russia is the biggest force that pulls the world backwards - towards global wars and away from human technological development and prosperity 1/ Image
Details from FT: Leaked military files show detailed plans for strikes on civilian infrastructure in event of war 2/
Russia has plans targeting 160 sites in Japan and South Korea, including nuclear plants and civilian infrastructure. 3/
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

Send Email!

:(