1/ The military commander of the Wagner Group, Anton "Lotus" Elizarov, is reported to have been fired. The move is said to be the result of interpersonal conflicts and Wagner's disastrous defeats in Africa in 2024. A former GRU major is slated to replace him. ⬇️
2/ The Russian warblogger Anastasia Kashevarova writes that Elizarov left the Wagner Group before the New Year at the instigation of Yevgeny Prigozhin's son and heir Pavel, who took over Wagner following his father's death in August 2023.
3/ Kashevarova presents a number of reasons for Elizarov's dismissal:
"1. When the brigade commander was chosen, not all commanders were present at the Council.
4/ "2. While the main staff of the PMC were busy with work and stunned by the death of the leadership, Lotus flew to Russia on board the Ministry of Defence (this is a separate story) to be the first to be near Prigozhin Jr.
5/ "3. After Lotus became the head of the PMC Wagner, the entire main commanding staff left the company along with their fighters.
6/ 4. The attempt of the PMC ‘Wagner’ to join under the banners of the Rosgvardia [Russian National Guard] failed, again because, as they say in ‘Wagner’ and confirmed by sources in the Rosgvardia,…
7/ …that Lotus demanded unrealistic staffing and set impossible conditions for the state. And state agencies did not want to do business with him.
8/ 5. The commanders of "Wagner" – Ratibor, Kep, Cheptsa, Marks, Rusich and others created the "Wagner Legion" – an organization in which are all the old-timers and the main backbone of "Wagner"
8/ 6. The situation in Mali, when due to an incompetent approach, Wagner fighters died. Those who were captured have not yet been rescued.
9/ These are only some of the facts. But this already sufficiently characterises Lotus himself and the attitude of other commanders who immediately left the company because they did not want to work under his leadership for objective reasons."
10/ Lenta reports that command of Wagner may pass to the commander of the group's 5th assault detachment, a man named Dmitry Podolsky (callsign "Salem"). His appointment is said by a source to be "already certain".
11/ Podolsky is reported to be a former GRU special forces officer who was awarded the title Hero of Russia, five Orders of Courage, and two medals "For Bravery". He is said to have fought with Russian forces in Syria, before resigning with the rank of major in 2017.
12/ He fought at Bakhmut as a commander in the Wagner Group in 2023 but was seriously wounded, losing his right arm. After recovering from his injuries, in 2024 he was appointed as security adviser to the President of the Central African Republic, Faustin-Archange Touadera. /end
1/ Russian air defence crews reportedly shot down Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8243 with two missiles fired from a Pantsir launcher near Grozny, after being 'blinded' by a Russian electronic warfare system, according to a detailed account of the incident on 25 December 2024. ⬇️
2/ An account published by the VChK-OGPU Telegram channel, which has often published information that appears to have been leaked from sources in the Russian security forces, describes some of the preliminary findings of the official Russian criminal investigation.
3/ It reports that Grozny was guarded by the following air defence systems: two Pantsirs, an S-300 (recently delivered from Syria) and a Buk air defense system. One of the Pantsirs was installed in the Visaitovsky district north-west of Grozny.
1/ Russian Defence Minister Andrey Belousov recently boasted that 96% of injured Russian soldiers treated in hospitals were able to return to duty. However, Russian milbloggers point out that that is only because badly wounded men are usually left to die on the battlefield. ⬇️
2/ The '5 mg KGV' Telegram channel highlights Belousov's fallacy in claiming a mere 0.5% mortality rate with the (very graphic) illustration of the case of a soldier who went 32 days without evacuation after having his leg blown off by a drone-dropped munition.
3/ "Due to the impossibility of timely evacuation, the soldier ended up on the operating table 32 days later (!). Active growth of granulation and protruding bone fragments in the area of traumatic amputation are visible.
1/ Russian soldiers are having to sue military hospitals to prove that they were injured in combat, so that they can receive the compensation payments they were promised. It highlights how the Russian state's bureaucracy is continuing to harm its own soldiers. ⬇️
2/ Radio Free Europe covers the stories of several Russian soldiers who went to war and were injured, but were refused the certificates they needed to claim compensation.
One of them, Igor, was among the first to be mobilised in late 2022.
3/ He was soon disillusioned by the state of the Russian army:
"The mobilised soldiers had no idea what was going on. There was total lying in the ranks of the armed forces. Humanitarian aid was plundered, stored in warehouses, and nothing was given to the mobilised soldiers."
1/ The two Russian tankers that broke apart yesterday in the Kerch Strait reportedly split along welds created when the ships were modified in a botched attempt to meet safety regulations. Numerous safety rules were being violated when the ships sank. ⬇️
2/ More details have emerged of the specific design flaws that caused the tankers Volgoneft-219 and Volgoneft-239 to disintegrate in a severe storm east of Crimea. As previously reported, both ships were old (55 and 51 years respectively) and didn't meet maritime safety rules.
3/ According to the publication 'Podyom', both ships were shortened by cutting out their central section and welding the stern and bow together in what seems to have been a botched attempt to meet International Maritime Organisation standards. Both vessels split along the weld.
1/ The two oil tankers that have sunk in the Kerch Strait were specialised river-sea vessels that should not have been operating at all, according to Russian sources. They were supposed to have ceased operating at sea in 2008 under Russian and international regulations. ⬇️
2/ The tankers Volgoneft-219 and Volgoneft-239 sank today in a severe storm near the Kerch Bridge, killing at least one person and spilling 4,500 tons of heavy fuel oil (mazut) into the sea. They were operated by the Samara-based company Volgotanker.
3/ This is not the first accident to have befallen the Volgoneft tanker fleet. A very similar disaster happened during a storm on 11 November 2007, when Volgoneft-139 broke apart in the Kerch Strait, spilling at least 1,300 tons of fuel oil into the sea.
1/ Russia's worsening economic problems are causing Russian pharmaceutical manufacturers to abandon production of some medications, due to fixed prices making it unaffordable. The country is now reportedly short of 20 million units of saline solution, a vital medication. ⬇️
2/ The Russian media is reporting shortages of saline solution in Moscow, St Petersburg and many other regions of Russia. It is unavailable in many pharmacies, doctors are rationing rapidly dwindling supplies, and patients reportedly face a two month wait for IV drips.
3/ Production costs have increased sharply, due to shortages of foreign components such as water treatment systems and packaging materials. However, the Russian government fixes retail prices of medications. Saline solution now costs less to buy than ordinary bottled water.