Nate Hochman Profile picture
Jan 8 15 tweets 9 min read Read on X
It's not just Britain, by the way. This is happening all across the West.

It's tough to measure immigrant crime in the U.S., because very few states track immigration status in their criminal justice system.

But Europe does. And the numbers are genuinely incredible. 🧵 Image
Take Germany, for example—the country with the largest share of refugees in Europe.

Foreigners are just 12% of the German population. But they account for 67% of gang rape suspects.

Afghans alone are 70 TIMES more likely to be involved in gang rapes than Germans. Image
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In Germany, foreigners make up just 13% of the population. But as a share of crime suspects, they are responsible for:

Homicides: 42%
Rapes: 37%
Assaults: 32%
Burglaries: 39%

That's especially true for certain nationalities—and for certain crimes.

(H/T @Marc_Vanguard_i) Image
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In 2022, @RCInvestigates published a study of EU homicide data and migration rates from 2010-2020.

They found that "each one percentage point increase in immigrant population is associated with a 3.6 percent increase in the homicide rate."

Here's what it looks like in Sweden: Image
Immigrants and their children are 33% of Sweden's population. But from 2013-2017, they were 58% of all crime suspects.

For murder/attempted murder and manslaughter, they were a whopping 73%.

They were 2.2X more likely than natives to be suspected of rape. For murder, it was 4X. Image
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In Denmark, non-Western immigrants and their descendants have an approximately 3.5 times higher rate of violent crime than native Danes.

Again, that disparity increases substantially when you break it down by nationality—even when you adjust for age, sex and year. Image
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The same is true in Norway in Finland.

In Norway, immigrants from places like Afghanistan, Somalia and Iraq are over 3X more likely to commit violent crime, relative to the native population.

In Finland, that disparity is even higher. Image
In the Netherlands, non-Western immigrants make up 14% of the population. But as a share of crime suspects, they comprise:

Sexual offenses: ~35%
Assaults: ~40%
Violent thefts: ~60%

The disparity between natives and foreigners holds even after controlling for socioeconomics. Image
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The euphemistically-termed "grooming gangs" issue isn't just in Britain.

A report published last year by the Dutch government found that almost three-quarters of perpetrators of domestic sexual exploitation were either foreign-born or children of foreign-born. Image
In Italy, government figures from 2022 show that nearly *half* of *all* youth crime is committed by the foreign-born—despite the fact that they make up just over 10% of that demographic.

The foreign-born share of crime in Italy jumped nearly 10X from 1990-2009. Image
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In major European cities like Paris—which have been totally transformed by mass migration—the numbers are even more stark.

Paris has one of the largest concentrations of immigrants in Europe. 41% of Parisians under the age of 20 have at least one foreign-born parent. Image
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In Switzerland, the foreign-born make up 26% of the total population. But as a share of crime suspects, they are:

Homicides: 44%
Rapes: 47%
Assaults: 45%

Afghan/Pakistani migrants are 3X more likely than natives to be convicted of a crime. Africans are 5X more likely. Image
In Austria, foreigners are responsible for 40% of all crime. In major cities like Vienna, they commit more than half of all crime.

And again—unsurprisingly—a few specific groups are punching way above their weight class. Image
Finally: In Spain, the foreign-born make up just 12% of the population. But as a share of crime suspects, they are:

Homicides: 32%
Rape: 39%
Armed Robbery: 47%

Foreigners are 3.6X more likely than native-born Spaniards to be accused of homicide, and 4.7X more likely for rape. Image
Watch our documentary on how third world immigration is transforming small-town America here:

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More from @njhochman

Feb 9
These are Trump's best approval numbers ever. But look at the generational breakdown.

Boomers are 50/50. Millennials are +4.

Gen Z is +10.

I'll keep saying it: Zoomers are going to be the most right-wing generation in recent memory.Image
In some ways, this is the U.S. catching up with something that's happening across the West. One of the fascinating things about right-wing nationalism in Europe is that it's often more popular with young voters. It wasn't 60-something pensioners who were singing "Auslander Raus."
It's true. Gen X was a remarkably healthy, patriotic generation, wedged between two highly dysfunctional ones. In 1984, Reagan overperformed with 18-24 year olds—the first batch of Gen X voters.

The last time the GOP carried that age demo was 1988.
Image
Read 6 tweets
Jan 30
Whenever Robert E. Lee comes up, liberals suddenly become foaming-at-the-mouth nationalists—raging about “traitors,” “treason,” etc.

The only other time they ever use this language is when they’re talking about Trump. That should tell you a lot about what this is really about.
tapping the @Antweegonus sign: Image
@Antweegonus I wrote about this on the anniversary of the Appomattox last April:

spectator.org/undoing-the-ap…Image
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Read 5 tweets
Jan 29
The refugee NGOs are a perfect example of a self-licking ice cream cone:

1) The government gives NGOs money to resettle refugees.

2) The NGOs lobby for more money—and more refugees.

3) Rinse, repeat Image
It's not even particularly clandestine or secretive—a lot of these groups are openly boasting about it.

The USCCB, for example, regularly touts their efforts on their website: Image
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Same thing with HIAS—one of the groups whose funding skyrocketed under Biden. (And is actively involved in transporting migrants up from South America into the U.S.)

These guys are in DC, actively advocating for expanding asylum, more refugees, etc:
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Read 6 tweets
Jan 28
This is arguably the single most important aspect of Trump's funding freeze.

The immigration crisis isn't an accident. It's a well-oiled system, facilitated by powerful NGOs—and funded by your tax dollars.

By defunding the NGOs, Trump is crippling the entire system. 🧵 Image
Here's what just happened: Last week, President Trump signed an executive order suspending refugee admissions into the U.S.

Then, the State Department went a step further—they issued a "stop-work" order to their NGO "partners," suspending all funding for refugee resettlement. Image
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The NGOs were beside themselves. And for good reason—very few of these groups are self-sufficient. Most of them are sustained by the federal tax-dollar gravy train. The immigration crisis is being financed by your government—with your money.

Hence, their outraged statements: Image
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Read 19 tweets
Jan 27
For years, we were told that "the internet isn't real life." But in this election, it was. Online influencers, issues and ideas played a major role in the 2024 election—especially on the right.

Today's right is more "online" than the left—and that's part of why it's winning. 🧵 Image
Conservative politics used to take place on the airwaves of Fox and talk radio, in established journals and magazines, think tanks and direct-mail campaigns, etc. Now almost all of that is downstream of the internet. In 2024, the right-wing "lifeworld" is shaped online. Image
It's a trickle-down information economy: Not every Republican voter is active on here. But the people that *they* get their news from are. The talk-show pundits, Fox News scriptwriters, journalists, etc are almost all "very online." This is where the influencers are influenced. Image
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Read 22 tweets
Jan 16
In his farewell speech, Joe Biden raged against the "tech-industrial complex."

That "complex" is real. But it's extremely left-wing.

There's a revolving door between Big Tech and the Democratic Party.

They're not just allies—they're often literally run by the same people. 🧵 Image
There are a number of high-profile renegade tech titans (i.e., Elon Musk) who are "on the right." Obviously, that's who Biden was talking about in his speech.

But they're exceptions to the rule. Writ large, the tech industry is an extension of the institutional Left. Image
In the 2020 campaign, for example, employees of Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple and Facebook were "the five largest sources of money for Mr. Biden’s campaign and joint fundraising committees among those identifying corporate employers," according to the Wall Street Journal: Image
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Read 19 tweets

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