Thread by @ChrisO_wiki

1/ Secret negotiations between representatives of Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin reportedly failed in December 2024 due to unacceptable conditions from the American side, with China said to be playing a role as a spoiler to obtain economic advantage for itself. ⬇️

2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel reports that talks took place between Trump and Putin representatives late last year, despite denials from the Russian side when the news was leaked. However, the negotiations proved unsuccessful, according to a source.
bbc.com/news/articles/…

3/ "Back in the early days of the Special Military Operation an informal working group on the situation in the economy and finance was organised under the first person of the country [i.e. Putin] from sensible, but completely loyal and dependent on the existing regime, people…

4/ …(Oreshkin, Siluanov, Nabiullina, Kovalchuk, Kostin and a number of other little-known names). Each member of the group by itself has considerable weight and huge resources in the system and has subgroups of its employees in various profiles.

5/ "The main task is to inform about the real state of affairs in the economy and to look for real solutions, regardless of rigidity and unpopularity.

6/ "Without going into details and solutions to local crises, in fact, until the end of December 2024, the main strategic line was based on the most probable scenario of exhausting the economies of democratic countries,…

7/ …causing discontent among their populations and reaching acceptable agreements.

8/ "All media, public authorities and controlled leaks of economic data not only abroad, but also inside the country, the main goal was to convince first the ruling circle of Biden, and in the last few months of Trump, about the normal state of the Russian economy,…

9/ …its moderate growth, the absence of critical problems, and the ability of the Russian Federation to continue the confrontation as long as necessary.

10/ "For example, our group had all the real indicators of the Russian Federation - a growing decline in GDP by 1-4%, inflation growth of up to 25% over the last year, etc. The main figures for the public space were carefully adjusted, the emerging holes were quietly filled…

11/ …with reserves from the National Wealth Fund. While there was a high probability of reaching an agreement with the US by demonstrating ‘muscles’, it was much more profitable and cheaper to demonstrate them with hidden doping.

12/ "There was a categorical ban not only on discussing serious restrictions and deprivations for the population, but also on actually working out such measures – because of possible leaks and confirmation of the ‘weakness’ of the Russian economy for US analysts.

13/ "The main scenario assumed that the newly elected U.S. president, who had his hands ‘untied’ at the beginning of his term, would be convinced of Russia's ability to continue the conflict throughout his presidency, …

14/ …would want to resolve the crisis quickly, and that this would be the best time for agreements.

15/ "There were tense secret negotiations between Russia and Trump's representatives through almost all of December but the conditions put forward by the Americans were completely unacceptable for the pro-Chinese elite group in Russia, which at this stage has the greatest weight.

16/ "In fact, we warned the country's leadership back in 2023 that such a scenario (rather than the one chosen by the leadership as the main one with an agreement with the US on the basis of our strength) was the most probable: if the Special Military Operation is dragged out…

17/ …for years, China will not allow an agreement with the US (probably, China leaked the real data of the Russian economy to the US, hence such tough conditions from their side), it will not only receive resources below the cost price and supply its products with…

18/ …200-300% markup, but it will also solve its geopolitical task – talking about friendship and partnership of the Russian Federation, Russia's forehead will hit the US and the EU, bargaining for agreements for itself and preventing its open conflict with the US.

19/ "The final result of such a probable option involves reaching an agreement between the US and China and the complete "milking" of the Russian Federation from both sides.

20/ "After the failure of negotiations with representatives of the new US administration, the Russian leadership realises its loss in this ‘poker game' and the gravity of the consequences for the country and its future generations, but reasonably considers it possible to retain…

21/ …power inside the country by tightening internal restrictions for citizens in absolutely all areas, but, above all, in the area of finance and consumption, which, according to calculations, will allow the regime to hold on until at least 2027.

22/ And the general strategy has not fundamentally changed – to wait for changes, random, unpredictable geopolitical events that influence US policy, in order to reach acceptable agreements,…

23/ …showing opponents that Russia can pay the price of the conflict not only with blood, but also with the gold of the elites."

Source:
t.me/vchkogpu/54142