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Jan 22 11 tweets 2 min read Read on X
actually, this might be good.

it’s a prelude to postabundance: no more resource scarcity.

maksudnya?

it means the old game of status signaling, built on scarcity and competition, is becoming unsustainable. people don't need to prove they've got something others don't anymore.
anik-anik, altoid, etc are ingroup belonging *and* taste signals, a way to show you're part of a certain tribe or aesthetic or that you love them. but in a world of postabundance, those signals lose their weight. when everything is easy to get and mass-produced, the old ways-
-don't work anymore. why do people grift? Because they're naturally like that, yes, but also because there's a huge incentive in getting resources by grifting. or because they feel insecure. or want to be accepted. All of those dynamics are essentially rooted in scarcity.
those ingroup belonging signals function to defend against said grifters, social predators, people who only want the fun and will rot the subculture from inside.

but postabundance means that everyone has everything, thus less threats to communities and subcultures.
nowadays, signaling has shifted a bit from "look at what i have" to "look at what i do with what i have" or maybe even "look at how i connect with others, or how i am valued by others"

but those are still rooted in scarcity. in this "prelude to abundance" era,
mass production capability *and* horizontal custom markets increasingly force people to actually value what could not be faked: love of the subject. In literature circles, it might be that you've written a good book. In tech, you've got a lot of those green blocks.
but is that truly the end? No, because talented, hard-working, and "productive" people can poison the well of communities as well. Good shit being produced doesn't necessarily mean civilizational alignment or transformation. The scarcity curse is still a background incentive.
even if people produce good shit, reputation acts as a form of social capital, and social capital determines access to opportunities, leading to more social capital and actual capital etc—this creates inequilibria. Scarcity is still here b/c reputation is materially hackable.
to put it avtistically: reputation itself is a compression mechanism for trust and capability signaling in complex networks. And compression inherently creates information loss and exploitable patterns (and exploitable actors suffering from information asymmetry)
so for communities, even if we optimize for good shit/output/contribution, we might get social equilibriums that are fundamentally misaligned with what we actually want. But that's the crux of the question: in a post-abundance world, how would that look like?
Post-scarcity beda btw

Post-abundance = "We've internalized that we can make enough of everything and have changed our systems, including our meaning-making, virtues, and social dynamics, accordingly. But what does *that* looks like? Our terminal goals? Our creation? etc."

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More from @samsarigged

Jan 18
borrowing self-worth from some future path or trajectory like career or education always comes at non-linear costs. it's way better to just sit with what we "have" now and appreciate as it is, because "as it is" can be so much more expansive when we sit with, well, it.
right now is the only place where anything substantial happens, where actual life is unfolding. it’s not about "sitting with" life as some zen exercise—it's about confronting how much more there is to it when one stops running toward the promise of some future self-version.
there is only one thing at any given time, and "any given time" berbentuk lentur seperti karet, dependent on the quality of attendment (attending to something)
Read 7 tweets
Nov 11, 2024
Update, ada working paper baru dari Seitz dan Imam. Ngeri:

- Lebih dari SETENGAH dari semua rumah Indo itu catnya tercemar timbal. Terutama dinding,
- 77% (!) merek cat Indo itu tercemar timbal,
- Belom ada peraturan pemerintah ttg ini.

Padahal ngaruh ke tumbuh kembang anak- Image
-misalnya jadi agresif (kontrol perilaku berkurang), risiko penyakit ginjal dan jantung bertambah, terus jg ada pengaruhnya ke memori, terus jg IQ berkurang (IQ is imperfect, tapi utk policy/population-level ya berguna)

Paper dan versi PDF-nya:

documents.worldbank.org/en/publication…Image
Anak2 itu nyerap timbal 4 sampai dengan 5 kali lipat lebih banyak dari orang dewasa, terutama kalo cat timbalnya berkualitas rendah.

Tebak rumah tangga dengan tingkat ekonomi mana yang beli cat berkualitas rendah?

Figur dari UNICEF report in 2022: unicef.org/indonesia/medi…Image
Read 23 tweets
Nov 9, 2024
Salah, lebih ke ordoliberalism dgn flavor policy g > r (markets do not come into existence by themselves and are not value-free, thus can be designed to be directionally right)

Bukti:
1. Hadits "jangan halangi jalan ke pasar"
2. Hadits2 "jgn curang"
3. No riba, judi, dll.
Kenapa flavor policy-nya g > r (Piketty reference)? Karena kontrak harus jelas barangnya, peruntukan dan tanggung jawab jg, risks biasanya harus dibagi rata as per investment jadinya skin in the game (ini musyarakah), atau mudarabah yg menghargai labor value lebih banyak.
Thus the most hated upon instrumen2 finansial kek CBOs, CDSs, dll itu ga bisa ada kecuali udh beneran diitung kepantasannya gmn, sesuai dgn kaidah2 risk distribution yg berdasar fiqh.

All of which, theoritically, prioritizes the so-called "real sectors" vis-a-vis finance
Read 20 tweets
Sep 6, 2024
Ini menarik guys, karena 52% Anggaran Pendidikan disalurkan ke daerah ada hubungannya dengan:

1. Kenapa guru honorer dibudakin 😱
2. Kenapa Anies (dan Nadiem) ruang geraknya sempit
3. Kenapa banyak k*rupsi Pendidikan di daerah

Coba kita bedah bareng yahh, a thread (1/🧵)
Pertama, bahwa 52% anggaran pendidikan itu ditransfer LANGSUNG ke daerah itu benar:

Asal-usulnya dari UU 23/2014 yg memecah wewenang Pendidikan yaitu SMA diurus Pemprov, SD/SMP diurus Pemkab, dan PAUD diurus Desa.

Dikti, Dikmen, Dikdas.

Konsekuensinya? Kemendikbud jadi nggak-
punya kontrol langsung terhadap penyaluran.

...ini punya konsekuensi yang BESAR. Gimana cara ngawasin? Pusat punya tuas-tuas institusional apa aja supaya bisa mentungin daerah2 nakal?

Let's see dari kasus Papua Barat. Melihat angka dan beritanya, Pendidikan di sana itu miris. Image
Read 34 tweets
Sep 1, 2024
Barusan dibisikin mutual, PHD (pemulih harga diri) Jepang ini asal-usulnya apa: Jadi, PHD berasal dari "joker mode" pekerja muda Indo.

Parafrase sbb: "Bullying di pabrik Jepang parah, jam kerja ada ga sesuai SOP, bahkan sampe dipukulin. Dulu sempet banyak up tiktok."

(1/🧵)
Kalo cabang PHD di indo itu isunya lebih "ya motif ekonomi aja, umr kecil, nyari kerja susah, dsb."

Terus asal organisasi PHD dari mana? Well, ada persatuan silat tertentu yang didirikan sebagai upaya agar silat bisa diajarin ke non-bangsawan, nah terus,

(image random aja 😉) Image
nah terus persatuan silat ini nilai-nilainya kurleb ttg jadi "kesatria", bisa dibaca di bawah. This will be relevant later on.

Katanya: "di Jatim ormas pe pe [oren] ga begitu kuat pengaruhnya. Instead, persatuan inilah yang hampir di tiap desa/dusun sampai ada gapura logo" Image
Read 16 tweets
Feb 14, 2024
Cuma mo bilang: HATI-HATI sama narasi "KPU curang" atau "kecurangan masif" kalo alasannya itu Sirekap 😅 kenapa?

1. Sirekap tidak pengaruh ke hitungan akhir. Tupoksinya adalah untuk mencegah kecurangan (gambar 1)

2. Thread ini akan menjelaskan ttg asal-usul dan jeroan Sirekap: Image
Sirekap dibuat tahun 2020. Kerjasama dengan ITB.

JANGAN salahin mereka dulu, karena nilai proyeknya—at least dari available public data—hanya Rp 3,5 milyar. Buat scale 800rb TPS.

Pengadaan website kabupaten juga bisa lebih mahal dari ini.

See: MOU gambar terakhir.

Image
Image
Image
Sirekap berevolusi dari Situng (2009) dan pertama kali deploy pas tahun 2020.

Cara kerjanya sama: OCR (optical character recognition) otomatis ke formulir C1 plano = gambar yg kiri.

Bandingin gambar yg kanan: Google scr otomatis mengidentifikasi ada tulisan. Kurleb itulah OCR.
Image
Image
Read 25 tweets

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