Donald Trump’s big weakness just came front and center
Trump’s 2024 inauguration saw far fewer viewers than President Biden’s inauguration. It’s fun to see the narcissistically ratings-obsessed Trump get clobbered in humiliating fashion. But it also points to something else...
Even most of the people who just voted for Trump didn’t bother to turn around and watch him get inaugurated. It means they don’t really care. Even most of Trump’s voters are not in any way enthused by the prospect of him returning.
Outside of Trump’s base, which only makes up about 25% of his vote total, no one really likes Trump – not even most of his own voters. So how on earth did this guy win? That’s pretty straightforward.
The media falsely depicted Joe Biden as being senile and forced him out of the race with a hundred days to go, even as the media mostly ignored Trump’s severe cognitive problems and felon status. Trump was dishonestly propped up by the media...
...even as Biden was destroyed by the media’s dishonesty, and Kamala Harris entered the race too late to properly compete.
But none of this means that the persuadable people who voted for Trump actually like him. None of them have high expectations. Trump’s approval rating is already down to nearly 40%, historically low for someone who’s just taking office.
And only about 20% of Americans now say they think Trump will be able to lower consumer prices.
In other words, expectations for the Trump 2.0 era are just about zero.
The people in the middle who voted for him are idiots, but they were also falsely told by the media that Trump was the best of the bad options. They remember that Trump sucked the first time, they just weren’t sure what else to do this time.
The reason this matters is that Donald Trump is incredibly vulnerable. Most of his own voters don’t even like him and don’t have much hope for him. That means it’s going to be really easy to turn most of Trump’s own voters against him. Not his base, of course.
But his base is irrelevant. This is about everyone else who voted for him. If we can turn Trump’s non-base voters against him, his approval rating will be in the 20s, and House and Senate Republicans will be afraid to give him what he wants for fear it’ll cost them their seats.
So let’s keep our head in the game and remember that Donald Trump is a lame duck already. Yes, he’s trying to do all kinds of corrupt and evil things right now, and he’s going to pull off some of them.
But if we can fight back and stop him at as many turns as possible, we can make him powerless for the rest of his term and then we can take back the presidency and undo his damage. Let’s keep fighting. This is a tough battle, but it’s winnable.
The more I look at the numbers, the more I believe the 2024 House majority is going to be mainly decided in California. Yes, California. There are five "toss up" House districts in suburban pockets of California that can go either way. GET INVOLVED in these five races:
CA-45 (California), Democratic candidate Derek Tran
As I warned you would happen, CNN, Daily Beast, and Politico have all now floated “Kamala is doomed” narratives today, all based on nothing at all beyond the media’s desire to shake up the narrative and juice ratings. The media will keep trying to do this next week. Ignore them.
“But how can the media get it so wrong?”
They’re getting it wrong on purpose. That’s the entire point. Major political media outlets exist to drive ratings, not to inform you. If ratings drop a bit, the media decides what to make up in order to boost ratings. Simple as that.
Is this election over? No. Keep fighting and you’ll be glad you did.
But has anything happened or changed of late to justify suddenly the media suddenly claiming that Kamala is in trouble? Literally nothing. They’re just making it up for ratings.
Heads up: the media is spending this weekend trying out a new narrative about how Kamala is supposedly going to lose because polling says most Americans think the country is going in the wrong direction. Your job is to not fall for it, and to focus on doing what’s needed to win.
In reality, it’s obvious why most Americans think the country is going in the wrong direction. Republicans don’t like what’s happening, and Democrats think the country is still being dragged into the muck by Trump and supporters, so everyone agrees were not on track.
But while this number has been this way the whole time, the media has suddenly decided to pull it out of context and use it as proof that Kamala is suddenly “doomed” because election news is getting stagnant and the media needs to juice ratings.
Great news! House Democrat Marcy Kaptur's reelection race has been changed from "Toss up" to Lean Democrat! We've been fundraising for her, and now she's pulled ahead.
Two other races have also been upgraded from "Lean Republican" to "Toss up." What's what that means:
Democratic candidates Tony Vargas (Nebraska 2nd) and Derek Tran (California 45th) were both mild underdogs. But now their races are 50-50 toss ups. We've added them both to our master list of toss-up races, and Charles Gaba has added them to the ActBlue donation page.
While it was mostly good news for Democrats today, one race went the other direction. Our friend Mary Peltola, the House Democrat representing Alaska, is now in a "toss up" race for reelection. So we've also added her to our master list, and Gaba has added her to the ActBlue page
What is Gaba's Endgame? Fundraising Guru Charles Gaba, who helped flip the Michigan state legislature in 2022, has identified the most competitive House and state legislature races in 2024 and assembled them into ActBlue donation pages so we can flip everything. Important thread:
According to the "Gaba's Endgame" strategy, there are just twenty super-competitive House races, and you can donate to all twenty just by making one donation to this ActBlue page. All money goes directly to the Democratic candidates listed: secure.actblue.com/donate/houseto…
Palmer Report is now working with Charles Gaba on fundraising for his ActBlue page, and as you can see, we've managed to raise a stunning $103,000 in the past week for the most competitive Democratic House candidates: secure.actblue.com/donate/houseto…