@DoctorVive This is an excellent article, but I go much further. I say these actuaries are totally underestimating the likelihood of total system collapse, and the economy collapsing to nothing, in the near future. No one is studying the stability of our system.
@DoctorVive I am not trying to be alarmist, but I noted a complete gap in expert thinking, many decades ago. The robustness, and stability of our whole system, is taken for granted. As if at best, it would only slowly decline. There is little understanding it is a process.
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@DoctorVive At the moment, the only glue that holds our societies together, is the common pursuit of economic growth. Even a slight slow down, let alone collapse of it, introduces massive financial, economic, political and societal instability.
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@DoctorVive How in its present form could our system function, if economic growth, stopped, or the economy started to seriously decline? What would hold our societies together, when the only current glue that does that, is economic growth, which cannot be maintained for much longer?
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@DoctorVive For years I have been trying to find research into this. I could find none, and had to assume, that it didn't exist. the paper I link to at the top, seems to confirm my impression. That there is no one looking into this.
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@DoctorVive I must make it clear, that I am not a doomer, and it is my belief, that this collapse can be prevented. If we change the glue that holds our civilization together from economic growth, to the pursuit of the common good, people supporting each other.
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@DoctorVive In my proposed change in focus, in the face of climate and ecological adversity, instead of facing collapse, humanity would work together, to adapt, and stop it getting worse. Humans are an innately cooperative species. Competition is artificially induced.
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There are lots of references to "suggests February will be around two and half times more likely to be milder than average", "December was warmer than average", but not one mention of climate, at all. I did a word search.
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How in an article about the storms impacting the British Isles, not just this year, but in previous years, can the BBC's "Lead BBC weather presenter and meteorologist", @SimonOKing, not mention climate, let alone climate change, once? I'm not blaming him personally.
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THE HUGE problem of our modern society today, is rich and powerful people, can say and do the most deranged and dangerous things, and it'll be ignored, simply because of who they are.
If ordinary people did what the rich and powerful did, they'd be detained for public safety.
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People make excuses for them. The richest man in the world, does a blatant Nazi salute, twice, and people make excuses for him.
They say it wasn't really a Nazi salute, but a Roman salute, which is not an actual thing.
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Donald Trump, becomes a fully deranged megalomaniac, and suggests invading Greenland, Canada, Mexico, and Panama, and no one blinks an eye.
No one says, I think there's an insane man in the White House, he needs to be detained for public safety.
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Trump is back to lying and inventing that Finland clean the forest floors. The last time he came out with this outrageous invented lie, in 2018, the Finnish president said he never had this conversation with Trump, and no such thing takes place.
In other words, this ridiculous fabrication of Donald Trump was comprehensively dealt with 7 years ago, and yet here he is, spouting the same lies again.
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The attitude of @Keir_Starmer and @RachelReevesMP seems to me, to be outright climate crisis denial. They seem to be in total denial of the scientific evidence.
I have repeatedly pleaded for the term climate crisis denier to be used, instead climate change denier.
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By climate crisis denier, I mean anyone who denies there is a climate crisis, an existential threat to our civilization, unless we take urgent and rapid action to start rapidly reducing our carbon emissions, in line with the @IPCC_CH's SR15.
Please note, I am fully aware that the SR15 alone is inadequate, and there is virtually no chance of holding warming below 1.5C. But we must aim to get as close to it as possible.
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The primary thinking error of @Keir_Starmer @RachelReevesMP and all the neoliberals, is that by ignoring the climate crisis, that they will somehow create economic growth in the future. Actually, climate change they're ignoring, will kill future economic growth.
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Don't take my word for it.
"Global economy could face 50% loss in GDP between 2070 and 2090 from climate shocks, say actuaries"
However, these actuaries have totally underestimated the timeframe, and fall in economic growth.
I think most people gather what I am trying to say here, but I will clarify it.
The reelection of the grossly unfit for public office, Trump, has been facilitated, by the behaviour of our other leadership through time, by their own crimes, and their neoliberalism. 1/9
Neoliberalism, treats people in a horrible dehumanized way, as if they are only consuming units, in an economy, not real people. Remember, Trump is also an extreme neoliberal, he just pretends to be different. He is primarily a liar and a conman.
The only difference between Trump and other neoliberals, is his threatening tariffs, protectionism etc. But this might just be bluster, because if Trump tries to protect the US economy with tariffs, it might be the US economy, which suffers most.
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