Matt Glassman Profile picture
Jan 28 18 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Ok. Impoundment. Some links to relevant authorities and commentary, and then thoughts of my own. What Trump is proposing potentially amounts to an upending of the separation of powers, and while that's not *inherently* bad, in this case it's bad. Very bad. 1/ 🧵
1. The facts: last night, the Trump administration, via OMB, put out a memo directing a agencies to temporarily pause all obligation or disbursement of federal financial assistance. 2/ Image
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2. The memo is couched in terms like "consistent with law" but under current law and court precedent, the only way POTUS can temporarily pause spending of appropriated funds is via the Impoundment Control Act, which requires specific notice to Congress, which isn't mentioned. 3/
3. Under current law---namely the Impoundment Control Act (ICA)---the executive is required to spend funds appropriated by Congress, with very narrow exceptions. The Act also has a process for the executive to pause funds and request Congress consider rescinding them. 4/
Here's the link to the best CRS report on the appropriations power, and a long discussion of the Impoundment Control Act. 5/

crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/…
None of this appears to be what is happening here. The Trump Administration appears to be getting ready to challenge the ICA and claim an inherent constitutional authority to not spend appropriated funds. The Courts, GAO, and even DOJ OLC have consistently rejected that idea. 6/
Here's a very nice @steve_vladeck write up that goes through all of this. 7/

substack-proxy.glitch.me/articles/www-s…
What I'd like to discuss is the consequences. As I wrote last month, accepting inherent presidential authority to impound is akin to shifting the balance of power between legislature and executive to something that resembles 16th century England. 8/
mattglassman.substack.com/p/energy-in-th…Image
If Congress is reduced to only being able to negatively appropriate (that is, refuse to provide funds), you completely upend the balance of power. How can Congress build the military it wants if a POTUS could unilaterally cut funding by 50%? Or 80%? 9/ Image
Even worse, such a POTUS power would make bargaining over spending impossible, because the executive could unilaterally reneg on any deal. Or use the threat of a reneg to force Members to his side on future laws. Want the funds spent for your favorite program? Vote with me. 10/
A Congress in this position wouldn't be helpless---they'd still have the negative power to condition use of money or to not appropriate it at all---but that's very weak, inconsistent with the vision of Framers, and totally contrary to American separation of powers theory. 11/
All of this is a long-time coming. I have consistently complained about lawless spending from Obama (Medicaid) and Biden (student loans). But Trump is taking it to 11 here. Impoundment makes unauthorized spending---which is awful---look like child's play. 12/
My gut reaction is that all of this will get laughed out of the Courts---that the ICA will be upheld, inherent impoundment authority will be DOA, and Trump will be put in his place---but maybe that's just optimism. 13/
But there's no other reasonable decision here. Pro-impoundment people love to pretend it was normal in American history right up until the Nixon disputes, but they are wrong, usually conflating *saving* money with impounding funds. 14/ Image
All this said, Congress should not rely on the courts; the courts are not Congress's friend. Instead, they have plenty of power to retaliate. If push comes to shove, they should use the negative appropriations power: threaten to zero out all funds for OMB, or the whole EOP. 15/
POTUS has no constitutional right to the 2K EOP staffers that help him, or to a mansion on Penn Ave, or to a plane, or even security protection. That may sound ridiculous--and it is!---but it's no less ridiculous than POTUS unilaterally refusing to spend appropriations. 16/
Does Congress have the spine to do that? I doubt it. But a full-frontal assault on the appropriations power is game, set, match for Congress if it is upheld. Faced with that existential crisis, perhaps they could dust off the tools of power/ /end
One thing I forgot to note---the ICA doesn't even apply to funds Congress directly mandates to be spent by law, so it's not even possible for POTUS to pause/defer those things under the ICA. Doing so is 100% claiming inherent impoundment authority.

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More from @MattGlassman312

Jan 2
Remember that the viva voce voting in the House for the Speakership is done in alphabetical order; you can wait and vote at the end (or change your vote), but the order of the roll has several implications. 1/
First and most important, if you are early in the alphabet you can credibly to a dissenting vote, in a way you can't from the back of alphabet. Biggs can credibly signal better than Roy. 2/
The reverse if also true; if you talk tough from early in the alphabet in the days leading up to a revolt, your have to back it up. If someone with a B name is talking revolt and then gets cold feet and either votes Johnson or waits, it can cascade and end a revolt. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Nov 21, 2024
Ok, Gaetz's House seat. Things I am certain about:

1. Gaetz may not come back to the 118th Congress. He has resigned his seat, and there are no backsies for Members who resign their seat. (h/t @ringwiss on precedent.) 1/ Image
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2. A Member-elect may resign their seat prior to being sworn-in to office. 2/ Image
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Things I'm not sure about:

1. Did Gaetz actual resign from the 119th Congress? He said in his resignation from the 118th that he "did not intend to take the oath of office" for the 119th. I can read that both ways as to whether he actually resigned. 3/ Image
Read 6 tweets
Nov 20, 2024
For all the talk about this & that & whatever with Trump, this is the real game/set/match for executive power: a SCOTUS ruling that the Impoundment Act is unconstitutional and that POTUS can refuse to spend appropriations. 1/
The power of the purse is the last strong power of Congress, and to reduce it to a negative power--the ability to refuse to appropriate, but not the power to positively appropriate--would upend the separation powers as we know it. 2/
It doesn't mean you wouldn't have any separation of powers; the negative power not appropriate what the executive wants is still pretty powerful. But that's the 16th-17th century English model--a powerful King barely constrained by a parliament--not the 1787 American model. 3/3
Read 5 tweets
Sep 20, 2024
One other important thing to remember about parties that lose their House majority: they become more extreme, and often learn the wrong lesson. This is because it's the *moderates* who lose and cost them the majority; the remaining membership is far more ideologically pure. 1/
I always think about the Dems in 2010. They got crushed in the election, but the result was that the balance of power in the party swung in the progressive direction; the seats they lost were the Blue Dog seats. 2/
So while you might expect a House party to moderate after losing majority, often that's not where the membership is. And in case of 2010 Dems, I think, they made a conscious effort *not* to go after reclaiming the Blue Dog seats, but instead to build a progressive majority. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Sep 10, 2024
The strangest thing about progressives getting angry at @NateSilver538 is that he’s legitimately doing some of his best work ever right now at his core competency/contribution: trying to quantifying marginal election effects that previously were mostly just expert intuition. 1/
I just see a lot of otherwise smart people who disagree with Nate’s view of the election and decide he’s either a partisan hack. Or a paid operative. Or in a conspiracy to move the @Polymarket prices (!). Politics makes people lose their dang minds. 2/
But the most bizarre critiques, honestly, are the ones that suggest Silver’s very approach to the problem of accurate election forecasting is somehow unethical or wrong. That the idea of quantitative modeling is per se an endeavor that reveals an amoral character. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Jul 17, 2024
I’m very uncomfortable with anyone as old as Biden or Trump being POTUS. I’m also pretty uncomfortable with someone as inexperienced as Vance being in national office. Which raises a good question: what the hell am I looking for in a presidential candidate? 1/
Now, great leaders can come from many different places, and an 80-something a 40 year old with little government experience could turn out to be a powerful statesman, an invaluable leader in crisis, and a dexterous operator of the bureaucracy.

But I wouldn’t bet on it. 2/
Like Neustadt said, the presidency is no place for amateurs. Skill and experience matter greatly. 3/
Read 14 tweets

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