Thread by @RealScottRitter

Trump and May 9

A little more than a week into his presidency, Donald Trump’s optimistic plan to bring an end to the war in Ukraine is floundering, with the fantasy-driven “peace plan” crafted under the guidance of retired LtGen Keith Kellogg running head on into the fact-driven reality of a Russian victory defined by objectives unfettered and unfazed by American posturing and threats.

As the Trump administration prepares for the all-important first phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, it is hampered by the fact that there will be no second chance—either Trump has a viable strategy for bringing the conflict in Ukraine to an end that addresses Russian reality and sensibilities, or Russia will finish the war on its own terms.

Rather than trying to solve the complexities associated with conflict termination in Ukraine, Donald Trump might be better off focusing on the fundamentals of diplomacy, working to build a foundation of trust and goodwill with Russia that could pay dividends later on during whatever peace negotiation process is eventually agreed to.

On May 9 Russia will celebrate Victory Day, perhaps the most solemn and significant holiday on the Russian calendar. This year Russia will celebrate the 80th anniversary of the allied defeat of Nazi Germany.
Russia has always emphasized that this victory was a team effort. In past years, the United States and the other allied nations (the UK and France) would send official delegations to the celebration, and military contingents from the allied nations would march in solidarity with the Russian Army to celebrate this great victory.

But in recent years the United States and its European partners have been overcome by Russophobia, reimagining the history of that time to minimize the important role played by the Red Army in defeating Hitler’s Germany.
May 9 has been likewise reimagined as little more than a propaganda exercise designed to glorify Russian military power.

I had the honor and privilege of attending the May 9 Victory Day celebrations in 2023. I bear personal witness to the seriousness Russians attach to this day. Yes, the Russians are, rightfully, proud of their military. Yes, the Russians support their military in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
But May 9 is about the 27 million Soviet citizens who perished in the Great Patriotic War, and the millions of Red Army soldiers who gave their lives to free the Soviet Union and the world from the yoke of Nazi terror.

Donald Trump has an opportunity to put the US and Russia on the path of repairing a relationship that must be repaired if our two nations are going to find a way to peacefully coexist.
Donal Trump’s first conversation with Vladimir Putin should be to recognize the alliance that once existed to defeat Nazi Germany, and Russia’s important (indeed, leading) role in enabling this success.

And Donald Trump should tell Vladimir Putin that he would like to send a high-level delegation to attend this year’s May 9 Victory Day celebration—headed by the Vice President and Secretary of Defense.
And unlike the Biden administration, which placed obstacles in the way of US WW2 veterans who wanted to attend the Victory Day celebrations in Moscow, Donald Trump should offer to have American soldiers march in the May 9 parade.

If Donald Trump we’re to do this, he would win the respect and admiration of the Russian people, and demonstrate to the Russian government—indeed, the Russian President—that the US was serious about building a relationship with Russia based on mutual respect.
This, more than trying to bring about a peace in Ukraine by bluster and bullying, is how Donald Trump could best serve the legitimate national security interests of the United States.