As America and the West comes to grips over the fact that Russia has launched an ICBM-capable missile in combat for the first time in history, we all might want to take some time contemplating how we got to this point, and we might find a path that leads us away from the inevitability of nuclear war with Russia.
1/5 Fortunately, there is a book that does just that: Disarmament in the Time of Perestroika.
This is a history/memoir that details the story of the implementation of the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty, and the role I played in setting up and operating a monitoring site outside the Soviet missile factory in Votkinsk.
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Israel claims that a senior Hamas leader was in the Jabalia Refugee Camp when it was struck by Israeli bombs. Israel claims that the deaths of Palestinian refugees in the camp are collateral damage permitted under the law of war.

Israel is wrong. Any discussion of collateral damage, however, must answer a threshold legal question whether or not the commander in question was actually inside the camp at the time of the strike.

1) For all those armchair generals who snipe at Russian military performance, reflect on what the US and NATO have and haven’t been doing for the past 20 years. Neither could survive long in the kind of war Ukraine and Russia are fighting today—it is beyond their imagination. 2) The use of massed fires is something NATO is incapable of doing—they lack the equipment and doctrine. The use of precision guided munitions is no substitute—the delivery systems will be rapidly attrited by Russian counter fires. Russian artillery supremacy is a game changer.

1/8 People are having trouble accessing this article given Twitter’s internal censorship. I’ve broken the article down into 8 images, which I will link in sequence.

1/ Big Arrow War—a primer. For all those scratching their heads in confusion, or dusting off their dress uniforms for the Ukrainian victory parade in Kiev, over the news about Russia’s “strategic shift”, you might want to re-familiarize yourself with basic military concepts. 2/ Maneuver warfare is a good place to start. Understand Russia started its “special military operation” with a severe manpower deficit—200,000 attackers to some 600,000 defenders (or more). Classic attritional conflict was never an option. Russian victory required maneuver.