1/ Russian sources are reporting a mass deactivation of Starlink terminals along the length of the front line in Ukraine. They speculate that it has been ordered by Elon Musk and/or Donald Trump. It's not clear whether the Ukrainians are also affected. ⬇️
2/ Russian warblogger Roman Saponikov writes: "By the way, an interesting fact. Considering that today about 10% of all Starlink terminals were blocked across the entire front (that's a lot)."
3/ Tatiana Kruglova reports:
"There was a mass blocking of Starlinks.
Those who could, activated new dishes today.
Those who couldn't, delivered new terminals for tomorrow.
And now fuck you Elon Musk with such jokes.
I feel like tomorrow will be a 'fun' day."
4/ 'Designer's Dead End' says:
"Our boy Donald Trump has requested our boy Ilya Maskov [sic] to block Starlinks in the combat zone.
We are investigating the situation, as many dishes have been blocked at once, but not all."
5/ Starlink is used widely by the Ukrainian military, which acquired it with funding provided by the Biden administration (it's not clear whether Trump will continue this). The Russians have also acquired Starlink terminals on the black market through third countries.
6/ As Saponkov points out, the Russian site Panorama posted a story (labelled as satire) two weeks ago which claimed:
"US President Donald Trump signed an executive order banning the use of American communications systems in areas where active hostilities are underway.
7/ "In practice, this means the cessation of operation of all Starlink systems on both the Ukrainian and Russian sides.
Elon Musk, in turn, wrote on the X social network that everything had been prepared in advance and the systems would be turned off within 24 hours.
8/ "Such a decision, according to him, will contribute to the rapid onset of peace.
9/ “The lack of Starlink communications will significantly weaken the ability of both sides to conduct military operations and push them towards peace negotiations - this is what we are achieving together with President Trump and the sensible part of humanity,” he announced."
10/ There's no evidence that Trump has signed such an order and Musk hasn't posted anything like that, but the Russians speculate that an attempt to degrade both sides' communications has in fact happened. However, there are no reports yet that Ukraine's access has been degraded.
11/ A possible alternative scenario is that Starlink has been able to identify the black market terminals acquired by the Russians and has been able to deactivate a significant number of them remotely, without affecting the Ukrainian side. /end
1/ Over a thousand Russian soldiers who are sick, injured, or refusing to fight are being held prisoner in a concentration camp. They are chained to their bunks and denied medical treatment or hearings before they are sent to Ukraine to die en masse in 'meat wave' assaults. ⬇️
2/ The 'Novokuznetsk capital' Telegram channel has posted a video reportedly of men from the 74th Kuzbass Motorised Rifle Brigade, showing multiple men lying in bunks inside a tented structure. They are clearly chained to the bunks with wrist manacles.
3/ Relatives of the men have released the video and say that, according to the men, a 'penal regiment' – similar to the Stalin-era shtrafbats – has been created in a camp in Yurga, in Russia's Kemerovo region in Siberia.
1/ Russian soldiers fighting near Pokrovsk complain that they have to rely on OSINT bloggers to get battlefield information, due to a lack of reconnaisance from their own side. It likely reflects Ukrainian successes in suppressing Russian ISR drones. ⬇️
2/ The 'Philologist in ambush' Telegram channel reports the comments of a fellow warblogger who is communicating with members of the 114th Motorised Rifle Brigade fighting at Shevchenko, just south of Pokrovsk in the Donetsk region:
3/ "About Shevchenko in the Pokrovsk direction, the guys from the [inaudible] regiment asked me before they came to see what was really going on there. Because they were also sent that way [and told] 'go there, there's no one there'."
1/ An ongoing Russian bid to capture the hamlet of Novoiehorivka appears to have caused such an acute shortage of personnel, due to heavy casualties, that scarce UAV and electronic warfare operators are being expended as assault troops. ⬇️
2/ Novoiehorivka has become the subject of a scandal among Russian warbloggers over the last two weeks, since the Russian MOD falsely announced it had been captured before it had even been assaulted.
3/ This was reportedly due to false reports by Russian commanders on the ground. They have since been throwing 'meat waves' against the entrenched Ukrainians holding Novoiehorivka, which Russian warbloggers say has resulted in huge Russian casualties.
1/ Russian forces fighting in Ukraine are facing a "catastrophic" shortage of reliable modern armoured vehicles, and instead have to rely on antiquated Soviet "shit that burns and kills our soldiers". ⬇️
2/ The Russian Voenkor Kotenok Telegram channel highlights the problems that Russian troops are having due to their reliance on old Soviet armoured vehicles, which cannot withstand landmines or drones. The blogger blames the greed and inaction of Russian manufacturers.
3/ "We have a huge problem with the delivery of infantry and the movement of infantry in the frontline area and its direct defeats there even by small arms.
1/ Russian warbloggers say that Russian soldiers are taking huge casualties trying to capture the strategically unimportant Ukrainian village of Novoiehorivka, because commanders have prematurely and falsely claimed that they have already captured it. ⬇️
2/ Novoiehorivka in the Luhansk region is a tiny front-line hamlet with a handful of houses strung along a dead-end road. It has no apparent strategic importance. On 20 January, the Russian Ministry of Defence claimed to have 'liberated' it.
3/ This, it turns out, was false. Commanders had ordered their men to film a video report showing the village's capture, presumably so that they could send it to their superiors to keep in good favour. However, it was premature, as the village is still in Ukrainian hands.
1/ A Russian medic who has deserted from the Russian army and is seeking asylum in France has given a vivid account of the grim conditions on the Russian front line in Ukraine, the brutality of the Russian commanders, and the threats faced by Russian troops. ⬇️
2/ 40-year-old Alexey Zhilyaev from Murino near St Petersburg deserted from the Russian army in August 2024 after nine months of service as a medic. He fled Russia with the aid of a dissident group and is now in France, where he is seeking political asylum.
3/ Interviewed by Radio Free Europe, Zhilyaev says that he had trained as a medic as a student. He was inspired to join the army by seeing "crowds of people without arms and legs, on crutches and in wheelchairs, getting off the train" in St Petersburg.