Zhao DaShuai 东北进修🇨🇳 Profile picture
Feb 5 17 tweets 6 min read Read on X
The US have promised to ethnically cleanse Gaza of the Palestinian population.

This is for the ultimate goal of the creation of Greater Israel, where Arabs live as 2nd class citizens under the Zionist apartheid.

The Arab world must wake up, here's what they must do.
🧵1/16 Image
First thing first, get rid of all the weapons systems of Western origin.

All of it, even the European ones has backdoors that prevents their usage against Israel.

Might is Right, you don't have any bargaining power unless you have the fire power to back it up.
Then splurge on Chinese weapons.

Currently, China is the only non-Western weapon exporter that can provide full sets of weapon systems on time.

So what kind of weapons do the Arab nations need? Image
For countries with no extensive weapons manufacturing capabilities, the types of war you fight is determined by the weapons you have/buy.

And the types of weapons you buy, is determined by your enemy, your strategic goal and your geography.
West Asia sits at the junction of Afro-Eurasia.

Arab nations can use their strategic location as leverage to threaten the West, as the Houthis have done, but at a much larger scale, controlling sea lines of communication from land. Image
To threaten sea lines of communication, Arab nations need ballistic and cruise missiles. A lot of them.

Due to limitations from international law, we cannot sell missiles with ranges more than 300km. But it does not prevent countries from joint development. Image
More missiles, especially the anti-ship ballistic type is needed, and we have plenty of them.

DF-21, YJ-21, YJ-12, CM-401 we have them all.
In terms of air force, Arab nations needs to have a small, advanced and nimble air fleet.

It's difficult for Arab nations to go head to head against the US and Israel in the air.

So they must buy the right weapons to fight the right kind of wars against a specific enemy.
That Right Weapon, is the J-31 stealth fighter. Some Arab countries have been trying to purchase the American F-35.

Considering recent event, this is obviously a strategic mistake.

Hence the J-31 which is superior to the F-35 in many respects is your only option. Image
A small core of J-31 supplemented by a larger fleet of the multi-role J-10CE will create a formidable air force.

Another important air asset is the AEW&C (airborne radar and command) such as the KJ-500.

So what do I mean by nimble air force to confront Israel and the US? Image
Image
Small, advanced and nimble, means you don't go head to head, plane for plane against Israel and the US.

The goal is to draw the enemy into your territory.

Build enough reserve airports and airstrips to redeploy this nimble air force.

Fight a guerrilla warfare in the air. Image
Attrite not with your air force, but with a guerilla style air defense tactics. Draw them in and grind them down.

Splurge on air defense systems such as the Chinese DK-10, this is a superior version of the NASAMS used by Ukraine to fight their guerilla style air defense. Image
Image
Another important air components are the drones, this along with missiles will be the Arab nations' main strike option against Israel itself.

China has the best and most comprehensive set of drones, from stealthy ones to expendable ones, we have them all.
Image
When it comes to the ground forces, this new army of Arab nations need to be nimble, and be able to operate away from logistic centers for prolonged period of time.

Hence the weapon system used by the Medium Combined Arms Brigade of the PLA is a great template.
Image
Draw them in, let the desert swallow them while you kill them with a thousand cuts.

It may sound melodramatic, but as the US hegemony is increasingly challenged, its ability to exploit the world with its US dollar hegemony diminishes, the US will be increasingly belligerent.
You're either sitting at the table or on the menu.

The Arab world have become too complacent, thinking their leverage in oil can save them, but as the world moves away from oil, your bargaining power diminishes.

Refitting your armies with Chinese weapons is the only way out.
PS:
Some people questions the courage of Arab leaders.

That's a valid point. However, those countries cannot have the courage to stand up to the US when their weapons can be shut down by Pentagon.

With Chinese weapons, they will at least have the option to fight back.

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More from @zhao_dashuai

Mar 23
A thread on why the F-47 might not be considered as true 6th generation fighter due to its canards.

And why canards are fine for 5th gen stealth fighters but not 6th gen fighters.
1/9🧵 Image
The most important qualifiers to be a 6th gen fighter, are All-aspect stealth and muti-band stealth.

All-Aspect Stealth; Means the aircraft is stealth from all angles, 6th gen fighters removes the vertical tail to achieve this.

Such as the J-36 Image
Multi-band stealth means the aircraft must be very low observable VLO in both high and low frequency radars.

The B-2 bomber or the Chinese J-36 are great example of an aircraft with multi-band stealth.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 22
People don't understand "market economy". Yes, It's a fraud, but this fraudulent system runs the world.

Here's how China has enabled the cheat code of capitalism.

I'll use this American style suburbia in Shanghai as an example.
1/10🧵
Restricting housing density to low, will drive up home prices, stabilizing the real estate sector. This is the easy way to generate GDP.

Like it or not, the real estate sector is a sizable portion of the economy in every country.
The current oversupply in Chinese real-estate is in part due to very high density developments. Most post 2010 developments are above 30 stories high.

Lower the density, solves half of the problem in Chinese real estate.

BUT, it'll increase the price, capitalist say it's good Image
Read 10 tweets
Mar 9
The rationale for war with China over Taiwan, by the US Army War College:

The Americans believe China will be the one to initiate the war with the US over Taiwan, by attacking US forces.

Comprehensive thread diving into the mind games played between China and the US
1/10🧵
What does this particular rationale presented by the US Army War College tell us?

Our conclusion is that the US is afraid to initiate the war over Taiwan with China, because they lack good rationales for a such costly conflict.

To the US, war should be a profitable business.
Wars do not start with a snap of the finger.

There are many rungs on the ladder of escalation finishing with open conflict.

Whichever side intends to climb that ladder has the *initiative* to escalate.

The other side then has the *dilemma* to escalate in response or not. Image
Read 10 tweets
Mar 8
The US air force on China's 6th gen fighter:

"We have some choices to make as we observe what China has produced".

China has surpassed the US on 6th gen fighter development. They're reacting to the Chinese development.

Thread on this watershed moment for air superiority
1/9🧵 Image
It's the first time the US is playing catch up in air superiority, since World War 2.

The entire Western war doctrine revolves around gaining air superiority, losing that means losing everything.

For China, winning that means winning everything.
That's what at stake. Image
Currently the most public and advanced 6th gen fighter in the world is the J-36, the competing "J-50" is less known, hence less talked about.

The J-36 is designed to set the rules for 6th gen air warfare.

J-36 is to 6th gen air warfare as F-22 is to 5th gen air warfare. Image
Read 9 tweets
Mar 1
The Trump-Zelensky fight was the unintended consequence of a setup from both sides.

Zelensky wanted to act tough on camera, and Trump got cold feet and wanted to back out of the deal presented by Rubio.

Ultimate fault lies with Rubio and his State Department.
Here's why🧵:
1/8 Image
The details of this mineral for protection deal would've been drafted by the State Department, and sold as a profitable business transaction by Rubio to Trump.
Trump initially liked it, but reality probably set in for him.

Rare Earth minerals are not rare per se. However, because of its low concertation, mining it requires a robust mining industry.

It is only economically viable IF your country has an existing robust mining industry.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 25
Air superiority over Taiwan is crucial for the PLA.

With it, we can obliterate any troop concentrations and land where ever we want, or we could impose crippling blockades.

Without it, nothing can happen.
🧵Thread on why Taiwan has no chance in maintaining air superiority
1/10 Image
First of all lets lay out the ground work.

This thread won't take into account of the fact that the PLA air force is about to be 2 generations ahead of the Taiwanese air force.

Nor the fact that the PLA can launch saturation attacks against their airports, disabling them. Image
To make it interesting, we are giving the PLA air force a handicap, just to give Taiwan at least a glimmer of hope.

Spoiler alert, even with these handicaps, Taiwan still won't stand a chance.

Why? because the island of Taiwan does not have any strategic depth.
Read 10 tweets

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