The Kobeissi Letter Profile picture
Feb 9 15 tweets 6 min read Read on X
WOW. This would be historic:

Both Elon Musk and Coinbase's CEO have now proposed putting ALL US spending on blockchain.

This means $6.9 TRILLION of US spending PER YEAR would be placed on a decentralized ledger.

What does this mean? Let us explain.

(a thread) Image
First, it's important to understand how blockchain works.

A blockchain functions as a decentralized digital ledger where data is stored in blocks that are linked together in a chain.

This means that US government spending would be FAR more secure if implemented properly. Image
Why is it more secure?

Because, when data is stored in these "blocks," it becomes a part of an uneditable digital chain.

Ledgers can be permissioned to restrict viewership and fraudulent spending is almost INSTANTLY flagged.

It is also virtually un-hackable if done right. Image
Furthermore, the blockchain could be publicly accessible to increase transparency.

Currently, the US government's spending database is built in an "append-only" way.

This makes searching for specific words in the database virtually impossible.

It is NOT transparent. Image
For example, after weeks of digging through data @DOGE found this:

62 contracts worth $182 million which were entirely for "administrative expenses."

This included a $168,000 contract for an Anthony Fauci exhibit at the NIH Museum.

This is only the tip of the iceberg. Image
Look at this:

The US Pentagon couldn’t account 63% of its $3.8 TRILLION of assets in an audit.

It's hard to believe this 2023 press release is real.

The DoD says they have $3.8 trillion in assets and $4.0 trillion in liabilities.

The balance sheet doesn't even BALANCE. Image
By using blockchain technology, payments would be easily tracked and audits could even be automated.

This is why many large banks are already utilizing blockchain.

56% of cross-border businesses have integrated blockchain technology into their operations as of 2024. Image
The US Pentagon spent $1 billion to audit JUST their 2018 financials, and failed the audit.

Their goal is to pass an audit by 2028.

That's $10+ billion in cost which could be cut from MULTIPLE government agencies if blockchain is utilized.

Blockchain removes inefficiencies. Image
Another benefit would be eliminating "Ghost Beneficiaries."

Blockchain can ensure that aid programs, pensions, and Social Security are received only by eligible individuals, reducing fraud.

In 2022 alone, there were $13.6 BILLION of "improper" Social Security payments. Image
The biggest downside is that the plan will be met with UNPRECEDENTED resistance.

We will see legal barriers and resistance from bureaucracy like never before.

This has already started as federal judges have restricted @ElonMusk and @DOGE's access to payment systems. Image
Resistance will come from the beneficiaries of these inefficiencies.

For example, over $322 BILLION of taxpayer dollars has gone to various 501(c)(3) organizations, per DataRepublican.

Most taxpayers have no idea this money has gone with $724 BILLION of total contributions. Image
If the US government wants to eliminate deficit spending, we need to cut $5 billion of spending PER DAY.

The US is now spending 44% of GDP per year, the same levels as World War 2.

Most will be surprised how many "problems" will be fixed if deficit spending is eliminated. Image
More disruption means more opportunity for investors.

Investors who can adapt to change will find the market to be HIGHLY profitable.

Want to see how we are positioned in the market?

Subscribe below to access our premium analysis and alerts:

thekobeissiletter.com/subscribe
Moving US spending to blockchain helps build efficiency, security, and transparency.

By 2030, Deutsche Bank estimates there will be over 250 MILLION blockchain wallet users.

It's time for more efficiency.

Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. Image
This would have massive implications for crypto as well.

Should we make a thread on the implications for crypto if this happens?

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with The Kobeissi Letter

The Kobeissi Letter Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @KobeissiLetter

Oct 17
Margin debt is SKYROCKETING:

In September 2025, US investors took on another +$67 billion in margin debt bringing the total to a record $1.13 TRILLION.

Meanwhile, 5 TIMES levered ETFs have just been proposed to the SEC.

What does it all mean? Let us explain.

(a thread) Image
Investor leverage has nearly DOUBLED over the last 2 years.

This marks a similar pace to the rise seen following the 2020 pandemic.

As a % of GDP, margin debt now sits just below the 2021 peak.

Needless to say, risk appetite is arguably at its strongest level ever. Image
Everyone wants a piece of the AI Revolution.

US households’ allocation to equities has hit a record 52%.

This now surpasses the 2000 peak of 48% by 4 percentage points.

The percentage is also TWICE as high as at the 2008 low.

Americans are piling into the stock market. Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 13
Absolute insanity:

Gold has now officially added +$10 TRILLION of market cap in 12 months, up a massive +55%.

Over the last 72 hours, gold has rallied on EVERY headline, even as the S&P 500 erased -$2.5 trillion in 5 hours.

What's next? Let us explain.

(a thread) Image
Gold has reached a point where the technicals seem to be irrelevant.

Gold's MONTHLY RSI just hit 91.5, marking its most "overbought" level since 1980.

Yet, gold prices are up another +$110/oz on the day today.

Not even 2001, 2008, or 2020 saw a reading of 90+! Image
For a while, it was all about the declining US Dollar.

But, take a look at this.

Even as the US Dollar has rebounded nearly +2% since October 4th, gold prices are up over +5% over the same period.

Gold is so strong that it's defying its historical relationship with the USD. Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 11
It's official:

Crypto just saw its LARGEST liquidation event in history with 1.6 MILLION traders liquidated.

Over $19 BILLION worth of leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, 9 TIMES the previous record.

Why did this happen? Let us explain.

(a thread) Image
To put this into perspective:

The liquidation event we saw over the last 24 hours was ~$17 BILLION larger than the February 2025 crash.

It was more than 19 TIMES larger than the March 2020 crash and collapse of FTX.

Never in history have we seen anything even close to this. Image
Amid the liquidation, Bitcoin recorded a $20,000 DAILY candlestick.

This marks a $380 BILLION swing in Bitcoin's market cap alone, in a single-day.

That's more than the market cap of all but 25 public companies in the world.

Once again, this has never happened in history. Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 10
What just happened?

At 10:57 AM ET, President Trump canceled his meeting with China and said "massive" tariff increases are coming.

40 minutes later, the S&P 500 erased -$1.2 TRILLION of market cap.

Is this dip a BUYING opportunity? Let us explain.

(a thread) Image
Here is the statement that President Trump posted today.

He accused China of "lying" and imposing export controls on rare earth metals.

Trump cancelled his meeting in 2 weeks with China's President Xi and said "massive" tariff increases are coming.

So, what does it all mean? Image
Rare earths have been very important for Trump.

Between a Ukraine deal and the US-China trade war, Trump has prioritized rare earths.

These metals are CRUCIAL for the production of weapons, chips, AI, and strategic leverage.

The US gets ~70% of its rare earths from China. Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 9
This is BEYOND insane:

AI compute demand is now growing at over 2 TIMES the rate of Moore’s Law, creating a massive shortage.

Just to meet current demand, $500 billion must be invested in data centers PER YEAR until 2030.

What does this mean? Let us explain.

(a thread) Image
For decades, Moore’s Law was the gold standard measure of technological progress.

That is: the number of transistors on an integrated circuit doubles every 2 years.

AI has BROKEN this law.

AI’s compute demand has grown at DOUBLE the rate of Moore's Law over the last 10 years. Image
Compute is quickly becoming the world's most valuable commodity.

By 2028, global data center spend will hit $900 BILLION.

AI servers are growing at a +41% CAGR and the market overall is growing at a +23% CAGR.

This is UNPRECEDENTED growth for the industry. Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 7
Are we in a currency confidence crisis?

Today, gold futures officially hit a RECORD $4,000/oz, now up +100% in 19 months.

The last time gold DOUBLED in under 2 years was in the 1970s after the historic "Nixon Shock."

What's happening? Let us explain.

(a thread) Image
Today, our long-time target of $4,000/oz was crossed by gold futures.

In February 2024, gold hit $2,000/oz in what seemed to be a historic move.

19 months later, gold prices have doubled in their fastest move since the 1970s.

This is a crucial point to understand. Image
The last time this happened was after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in the 1970s.

Bretton Woods was a post-WW2 monetary agreement with 44 countries.

Its central feature was a FIXED exchange rate that PEGGED currencies to the USD.

This was then convertible to gold. Image
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(