It starts. We'll get BAML soon. That could fire up a lot of long only buying and add significant credibility. Cantor notes that the #Spacemob is healthy and an asset. True. MNOs are free to use us. We love you. A waffle party went a long way toward getting our allegiance.
Investor interest is surging in the space. Most are trying to figure out fixed broadband b/c there is so much to trade there when it comes to cable etc. But as they learn, I promise you will learn about mobile. The demand and interest is there. Investors are hearing about Starlink competing with terrestrial telecom. This is the trojan horse. It'll lead to multiple compression for MNOs. This is why $ASTS is the ideal partner - they aren't competing with MNOS.
Remember, we didn't domesticate the cat…they domesticated us. FUDsters are just getting murdered. To think Spacemob (rough guess) owns around 10MM shares. This means Spacemob has made around $250MM of PnL since the lows against the will of Tim Farrar. Pretty crazy. $250MM. Think about that.
First FUD was about FCC particulars. We've been here before. The laws of man will not bend the will of nature (TM, theKOOKReport 2025).
They literally say FirstNet is coming. I'm sure we'll be up huge when it's formally announced, just like the AT&T D&A. We have seen time and time again how much alpha is in the #Spacemob.
It seems unrealistic Europe will be able to create its own solution. The natural path is to partner with ASTS, which has significant operations in Europe. Throw a few launches to Arianne and the local content goes up.
Let's thank Peter Lindmark for negotiating this for us.
#Spacemob does not need to, nor should it publicly beat down on Ben and others. Let them have their echo chamber. The true dirty work will happen on the docket.
Trump's Boy Brendan Carr gives ASTS the go-ahead, convertible bond successfully placed, a cleaned-up balance sheet and more in the Weekly
🏁ASTS Gets a Brendan Carr Approval
The Trump administration approved $ASTS testing on AT&T spectrum on the 3rd full day of its administration. The path for commercial operations starts now.
Blue Origin makes orbit on the first try, Starship faces on its seventh. ASTS has a flurry of FCC paperwork as ISRO seems to be gearing up for more business. That and more on The Weekly...
🤖Getting Up to Speed?
Listen to your favorite Fanboi's or get the real things on our Weekly Spaces
Blue Origin hot fires successfully (despite earlier market rumors), some year in reviews, STA updates, and much more...
AST SpaceMobile’s Transformational Year:
ASTS has undergone a significant evolution over the past year, transforming from a company grappling with technical and financial uncertainty to one with strong partnerships (Google, Verizon, AT&T), validated FCC approvals, government deals, and an emerging satellite technology platform. Block 1 deployment has shown real progress, and ASTS is now positioned as a potential leader in the direct-to-device satellite market. Challenges remain in scaling, securing additional funding, and achieving full regulatory approval.
Competitive Landscape: ASTS vs. Starlink:
Expert interviews highlight AST SpaceMobile’s unique approach with high-capacity satellites and large antennas, enabling superior speeds (20–100 Mbps). In contrast, Starlink leverages its rapid satellite deployment and spectrum agreements with T-Mobile to offer near-term services but with limited capacity and slower speeds (1–2 Mbps). Both companies face regulatory, technical, and financial hurdles as they race to capture growing demand in satellite-based IoT and connectivity markets.
Market Dynamics and Catalysts:
Key upcoming catalysts include potential BAML analyst coverage, further FCC spectrum decisions, and advancements in ASTS’s satellite deployments. Spectrum reuse and beamforming technologies remain critical to ASTS’s ability to scale and compete effectively. Meanwhile, broader telco market changes, like Verizon selling 6,300 towers and AT&T phasing out copper networks, underscore the push toward capital-efficient infrastructure and advanced wireless technologies.
Regulatory and Legal Developments:
Viasat has filed complaints against Starlink’s spectrum use, emphasizing interference and procedural concerns. This adds complexity to the regulatory landscape as ASTS and others vie for approval. ASTS’s ability to navigate these challenges will be pivotal for its success.
Investor Sentiment and Financial Developments:
Tax-loss selling and prior high trading volumes at levels above $25 suggest a reset in investor expectations, creating opportunities for a fresh start in 2025. ASTS’s recent shareholder decisions and redemptions also provide clarity on its financial position going into the new year.
Industry Highlights:
Telco Evolution: AT&T’s $6B annual maintenance cost for copper networks highlights the operational burdens of legacy infrastructure. Phasing out copper could unlock billions in recoverable resources.
Blue Origin and SpaceX Updates: Excitement continues in the space industry, with milestones such as static fire tests for upcoming launches.
IoT Potential: The adoption of 5G spectrum for satellite communication opens new avenues for integrating satellite connectivity into cars, industrial sensors, and more.
🎇ASTS Had a Year
A year ago we didn’t have Google and Verizon. AT&T wasn't an investor. We had no DA's. We had delayed Block 1 with real prospects the satellites were FUBAR'd (who knew). We had no FCC rules. We had no government deals. We weren't a prime contractor. We weren't selected by the Space Development Authority. We had no cash. We had no launch capacity confirmed beyond Block 1. Our ASIC was a question mark. Scott wasn't President.