Crémieux Profile picture
Feb 12 • 10 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
The biggest news of the day should once again be about DOGE.

A new Executive Order was passed a few minutes ago.

It empowers DOGE to spearhead the complete reorganization of the federal governmentđź§µ Image
The first part of this Order is simple:

The OMB will put out a plan to make the federal workforce smaller and more efficient, including a stipulation that agencies must remove four existing employees for each new hire, with some exceptions. Image
The second part is meatier.

New hires have to be approved by newly-installed DOGE Team Leads in each agency. These Team Leads will report what goes on in the agency they're assigned to on a monthly basis.

But that's not even the big part yet. Image
Third, agency heads will prepare for a massive reduction in the federal workforce.

This workforce reduction will apply to employees not performing necessary and statutorily mandated functions, so if Congress isn't protecting your job, you're likely leaving. Image
Fourth, suitability judgments about the excepted service will be expanded.

People who do not meet certain legal obligations, people who do not certify NDA compliance, and people who steal or misuse government resources are deemed no longer suitable for employment in it. Image
Here's the really big part of this order. It's kind of buried down deep, but it's very important:

Agencies are ordered to develop a comprehensive reorganization plan that identifies offices that can be purged because they lack statutory protections, and offices to consolidate. Image
Putting this all together, what the Order entails is a massive reorganization of the federal workforce and the streamlining of the civil service to make its operation line up with the goals of DOGE.

Not only that, but it empowers DOGE by embedding Team Leads for oversight.
Couple this with the February 4 OPM memo on CIOs, and what we have is staggering:

The federal government will be centralized, stripped down, and more intimately controlled by the President and his delegates, with control enhanced via DOGE.

This is the biggest news of the day, and it's hard to overstate just how big it is.

Because the federal government has grown so unwieldy that no one can provide you with a semblance of an outline of it, measures like this may just be needed to tame the beast.

Get ready!
You can read the EO here: whitehouse.gov/presidential-a…

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Nov 4
What do studies say about "freezing the rent"?

Let's have a threadđź§µ

First thing's first: Most studies agree that rent controlled units have lower rents, but also the supply of rentable units goes down and un-controlled units see their rents increase.

Uh-oh! Image
Rent control also means that fewer homes get built, and it means that housing quality drops.

After all, if you can't raise the rent, what incentive do you have to make everything sparkly and neat? Image
Rent control lowers residential mobility, meaning people stay put longer

That's not good because it causes misallocation

Consider an elderly family whose kids left the nest. They should move to a smaller place, but rent control keeps them in place, so new families can't move in Image
Read 8 tweets
Nov 3
I'm not taking a stance on whether inflammation drives cancer, but I will say it's very true that GLP-1 drugs reduce inflammation—a lot!

Tirzepatide at any dose greatly reduced levels of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and interleukin-6, two important inflammation markers: Image
I have actually had people thank me for getting them on this stuff precisely because they had inflammation issues that these drugs *immediately* solved for them.

Here's an example I've posted before: this man's back pain was cured!

Read 4 tweets
Oct 31
The CDC's new Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) didn't put out immunization guidance for 2025-26.

So some researchers got together and did the government's job for them. Here's what they foundđź§µ

First, the RSV vaccine is great for preventing hospitalization! Image
The next thing up is the flu vaccine.

These are still showing a touch lower efficacy than in previous years, but they're still

(1) good
(2) worth it
(3) even more worth it for infants and children Image
Then we have the COVID vaccines, which still seem to be useful enough to save a lot of lives.

These are also still better for the old.

That's good! Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 27
How rich are American workers?

Very!

After accounting for taxes, transfers, cost of living differences and so on, American workers make far more than their counterparts across the OECD. Image
Is this just because Americans work more?

No. That has something to do with it for some comparisons, but it's not everything.

Americans are also more productive and they get to take home more of what they earn. Image
This is an update on the 2021 numbers I previously presented here: x.com/cremieuxrecuei…, x.com/cremieuxrecuei…, x.com/cremieuxrecuei…

When we have 2024 numbers or later numbers, I'll update to those. But we have to wait on the OECD to release that data, so until then, enjoy!

Here's the old style plots if you want those:Image
Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 27
Wow!

Across basically all of Europe, people at higher income levels are now *more likely* to become parents!

This is a stunning shift! Image
Among men, this relationship goes a while back now, and in several places, the income gradient has gotten more extreme. Image
Among women, there are some recent crossover events, where the low-income used to be more likely parents than the rich, but now it's different. Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 26
Wolf packs are remarkably good at respecting each other's established borders. Image
The project this data is from sometimes releases videos of how this plays out.

For example, here's a video of this playing out for a few wolves over a single day in Spring.
Alternatively, about 10-20% of wolf populations lack a pack. They're "lone wolves" and they're more likely to just wander across the territory of different packs

But this isn't permanent! Apparently this one eventually joined a pack and changed his long-distance traveling habit!
Read 6 tweets

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