Blake Allen Profile picture
Feb 16 17 tweets 3 min read Read on X
🧵 Trump is firing major parts of the workforce, there are bound to be electoral ramifications across the country. Political & economic problems may arise in congressional districts that rely the most on federal jobs, so let’s examine who they are (tag your local journalists):
Here are the highlights:

- 57 CDs whose workforce is over 4% federal employees (another 36 has between 3-3.99%)
- Partisan breakdown: 30R - 27 Dem
- 18 are in Trump-won states. 8 are in Harris-won states
To not go every CD, we will just be examining those that generate at least 4% of their workforce from the federal government (all numbers are civilian, so non-military):

1. Alabama-02 (5.17%): Democrat Shomari Figures

2. Alabama-07 (7.12%): Republican Dale Strong
3. Alaska At-Large (6.31%): Republican Nick Begich

4. Arizona-02 (5.00%): Republican Eli Crane

5. Arizona-06 (4.25%): Republican Juan Ciscomani

6. California-48 (4.26%): Republican Darrel Issa

7. California-52 (5.28%): Democrat Juan Vargas
8. Colorado-05 (6.00%): Republican Jeff Crank

9. D.C. At-Large (18.49%): Democrat Eleanor Holmes Norton

10. Florida-01 (5.60%): Vacant but an R+19 district

11. Florida-04 (4.80%): Republican Aaron Bean

12. Georgia-01 (4.70%): Republican Buddy Carter
13. Georgia-02 (4.62%): Democrat Sanford Bishop

14. Georgia-04 (4.00%): Democrat Hank Johnson

15. Georgia-08 (5.36%): Republican Austin Scott

16. Georgia-12 (4.58%): Republican Rick Allen

17. Hawaii-01 (8.05%) Democrat Ed Case

18. Hawaii-02 (4.51%): Democrat Jill Tokuda
19. Kansas-02 (4.46%): Republican Derek Schmidt

20. Louisiana-04 (4.13%): Republican Speaker of the House Mike Johnson

21. Maryland-01 (6.02%): Republican Andy Harris

22. Maryland-02 (5.58%): Democrat Johnny Olszewski

23. Maryland-03 (10.72%): Democrat Sarah Elfreth
24. Maryland-04 (12.29%): Democrat Glenn Ivey

25. Maryland-05 (18.18%): Democrat Steny Hoyer

26. Maryland-06 (8.38%): Democrat April McClain Delaney

26. Maryland-07 (5.18%): Democrat
Kweisi Mfume

27. Maryland-08 (14.48%): Democrat Jaime Raskin
28. Mississippi-04 (5.17%): Republican Mike Ezell

29. Missouri-05 (4.02%): Democrat Emanuel Cleaver

30. Montana-02 (4.58%): Republican Troy Downing

31. New Mexico-01 (6.79%): Democrat Melanie Stansbury

32. New Mexico-02 (6.24%): Democrat Gabe Vasquez
33. New Mexico-03 (7.28%): Democrat Teresa Leger Fernandez

34. North Carolina-03 (6.51%): Republican Greg Murphy

35. North Carolina-09 (4.60%): Republican Richard Hudson

36. Ohio-10 (5.92%): Republican Mike Turner

37. Oklahoma-02 (5.15%): Republican Josh Brecheen
38. Oklahoma-04 (7.65%): Republican Tom Cole

39. Oklahoma-05 (4.86%): Republican Stephanie Bice

40. South Carolina-01 (4.10%): Republican Nancy Mace

41. South Carolina-02 (4.67%): Republican Joe Wilson

42. Texas-11 (4.07%): Republican August Pfluger
43. Texas-16 (5.88%): Democrat Veronica Escobar

44. Texas-23 (6.44%): Republican Tony Gonzalez

45. Texas-28 (4.28%): Democrat Henry Cuellar

46. Utah-01 (5.92%): Republican Blake Moore

47. Virginia-01 (4.79%): Republican Rob Wittman
48. Virginia-02 (8.05%): Republican Jen Kiggans

49. Virginia-03 (8.37%): Democrat Bobby Scott

50. Virginia-04 (4.71%): Democrat Jennifer McClellan

51. Virginia-07 (13.59%): Democrat Eugene Vindman

52. Virginia-08 (16.67%): Democrat Don Beyer
53. Virginia-10 (7.89%): Democrat Suhas Subramanyam

54. Virginia-11 (12.06%): Democrat Gerry Connolly

55. Washington-06 (7.73%): Democrat Emily Randall

56. West Virginia-02 (5.53%): Republican Riley Moore

57. Wyoming At-Large (4.13%): Republican Harriet Hageman
Sources:

Federal workforce - crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/…

Congressional Reps.: congress.gov/members
Btw if you are ever wanting to research *anything* there’s a good chance the Congressional Research Service has already made an excellent and well-cited report! It’s great to know the federal government makes stuff like this easily searchable and freely available
*AL-05 not AL-07

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Blake Allen

Blake Allen Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Blake_Allen13

Nov 6, 2024
I think we - including me - are going to be tearing down Democratic policy, trends, comms, etc. for months to figure out what happened but after sleeping on it here are ten thoughts (that might not be true):

1) Democratic failures in urban governance coming to roost
2) Democratic rejection of media spaces to occupy/have a presence in (Fox for decades now & podcasting spaces popular with “normie” men)
3) Staffer class (and NGO/activist class) being dominated by elite liberal college ed+ pushing the party
4) Continued over-belief/reliance on field ops in campaign infrastructure (it’s great to have but clearly of lower importance than other mediums/over-indexing Obama 2012)
5) Voter rejection of picking employment over inflation (🤷🏻‍♂️)
Read 10 tweets
Aug 17, 2024
Mark my words: sometime in the next decade, Democrats are going to kick the tires on lifting the ban on direct-from-manufacturers sale of automobiles. It is going to create one of the bloodiest political fights in a long time
But if they think they can get past the cycle of hell downballot that it’ll create, they’re going to be extremely tempted to do it. Not just for market efficiency reasons or for theoretically bringing down car prices, but to kneecap a major GOP funding source (auto dealers)
And btw this would be an excellent issue to try and bring onboard libertarians & cross-pressure Tesla fans on as well
Read 7 tweets
Aug 2, 2024
🧵 Are you a Democrat who just wants to be positive no matter who Kamala picks as her running mate? Do I have a guide for you to share positive things to your family, friends, enemies and coworkers!
1) Josh Shapiro - Governor of important swing state, strong electoral track record, famously cut government red tape, sounds like Obama, works well in the Great Lakes, family man, moderate vibes
2) Tim Walz - Governor of a Midwestern state, passed a lot of big legislation, he fights (!), good interviewer, progressive w/ moderate vibes, doesn’t upset the party, former football coach, regional accent sure makes him sound relatable
Read 7 tweets
May 7, 2023
If Russia actually mobilized 25M men that would represent:

- 17% of its total population
- Roughly 50% of its male population between ages 15-64
- 40% of its entire working age population

It’d entirely tank Russia’s economy and cause a massive recession
Russia is at this point openly considering wrecking its country (even more) while pursuing a failed invasion of a country 1/28th its size and with 1/3rd its population
And for everyone saying: equip and train them with what? Yes. You’re correct. I think (?) Russia could still afford to equip them as light infantry - because this would be over many successive waves of conscription - but obviously as Motorized/Armored formations? Not a chance
Read 4 tweets
May 3, 2023
I think what’s being said here - that there is a lane for explicit discussion on personal faith in the Democratic Party - is true and oft ignored. I don’t necessarily think it’ll lead to some breakthrough w/ evangelicals but it is a way of approaching them esp. on policy
And beyond just the purely strategic, being a party of free speech is directly tied into allowing ourselves to voice our religious convictions and harkens back to the earliest days of our Republic. This somewhat dovetails with another issue I’ve harped on post-2016:
The Democratic Party needs to become the party of consistent and vocal patriotism. It was an arena that we ceded far too often, and with constant attacks on our nation’s institutions is somewhere Republicans have in-turn given us a space to step into. Be a party of the positive
Read 4 tweets
May 1, 2023
Ukraine trying to join the CPTPP and we aren’t even considering trying to get back in
Fwiw - I understand the political realities of why we aren’t. And that’s partly incumbent on previous administrations (both Dem and Rep) for not fully engaging on the benefits of trade nor assisting communities legitimately hurt by swings in fortune due to trade
The reality is though, the US abandoning trade has left us comparatively weak to our competitors everywhere but especially in the Indo-Pacific/sub-Saharan Africa. A major thing those regions want - FDI and trade liberalization - are things we quite simply aren’t able to do rn
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(