New: The CIA has been covertly flying MQ-9 Reaper drones over Mexico to spy on drug cartels, current and former officials familiar with the matter told CNN, part of Trump’s shift to treat cartels like terror orgs. From @NatashaBertrand @ZcohenCNN and me: cnn.com/2025/02/18/pol…
The drones are not armed. And the CIA has flown surveillance drones to hunt cartels inside Mexico before, according to a former and a current US official, under at least one small program that partnered with Mexican authorities.
But the more recent flights were communicated to Congress using a particular notification reserved for new or updated covert programs that CIA intends either to conceal or deny, a source familiar with the matter said—suggesting that the flights represent a distinct escalation.
CIA declined to comment specifically about the drones. A spokesperson said that broadly “countering drug cartels in Mexico and regionally is a priority for CIA,” and that “Director Ratcliffe is determined to put CIA’s unique expertise to work against this multifaceted challenge.”
A transition doc, “2025 Agency Action Plan,” reviewed by CNN, said the admin should to “treat counter-drug cartel work as a form of counter-terrorism and use those authorities and unique resources appropriately, including by moving resources from other regions if necessary.”
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Some numbers that illustrate how quickly Russia has scaled up its defense production for Ukraine versus the West:
The most important: Russia is producing ~250K artillery munitions per month—or ~3M a year, per NATO assessments. West is at 1.2M per year. cnn.com/2024/03/10/pol…
Officials say Russia is currently firing around 10,000 shells a day, compared to just 2,000 a day from the Ukrainian side. The ratio is worse in some places along the 600-mile front, according to a European intelligence official.
Russia is running artillery factories “24/7” on rotating 12-hour shifts, a senior NATO official said. About 3.5 million Russians now work in the defense sector, up from somewhere between 2 and 2.5 million before the war.
Just in from the powerhouse team of @ZcohenCNN@evanperez@jamiegangel (and me): IC agencies have been working with the FBI since mid-May to examine some of the classified documents taken from Mar-a-Lago in order to determine their level of classification, sources say.
This document-by-document review has also allowed the agencies to determine whether any immediate efforts needed to be made to protect sources and methods as a result of the documents being held at former President Donald Trump’s Florida residence and resort, the sources said.
This is distinct from the so-called damage assessment ODNI has announced looking at potential harm. That kind of review is designed to offer a more wide-ranging analytical picture of both short and long-term risks to US national security *if* such information were to be exposed.
The US intelligence community assesses that it will take “years” for the Russian military to recover from the damage it has sustained in carrying out its war in Ukraine, director for national intelligence Avril Haines said today.
Haines: “And during this period, we anticipate that they're going to be more reliant on asymmetric tools that they have—tools such as cyberattacks, their efforts to try to control energy, even nuclear weapons—in order to try to manage and project power and influence globally."
Haines said that Russia is beginning to turn its focus to Donetsk but will struggle to overtake it. But Putin likely believes time is on Russia’s side because he believes the west will eventually tire of supporting Ukraine. "None of this bodes well for a peaceful resolution."
New w/ @NatashaBertrand: Biden is under increasing pressure from key Middle East allies to come up with a viable plan to constrain Iran, with hopes for reviving JCPOA fading as he prepares for his first trip as POTUS to Israel and Saudi Arabia next month. cnn.com/2022/06/21/pol…
The trip comes as Israel appears increasingly willing to take matters into its own hands, ramping up covert attacks on Iranian targets and leaving the US largely in the dark about it, multiple current and former officials familiar with the intelligence told CNN.
Israel "(doesn't) seem to have a strategic plan right now to end Iranian nuclear weapons development," said Jonathan Panikoff, a former deputy NIO for the Near East. "It's hoping that through a series of tactical actions it can keep the pressure on and delay Iranian progress."
Bill Burns is giving his first public speech as CIA director at Georgia Tech — at a "moment of profound change on the international landscape," he says. Live now:
Burns emphasizes CIA's focus on human intelligence, its foreign-facing posture and its apolitical mission.
The US faces an "international landscape vastly different from the world of Harry Truman," Burns says, "more complicated and contested." Cites the "rise of an increasingly adversarial China and a pugnacious and revisionist Russia."
JUST IN: Confirming Newsweek that the U.S. has issued a new warning to the Ukrainian government that the latest intelligence points to a full scale attack imminently, per Ukrainian and US officials.
At particular risk, the warning said, is the northeastern city of Kharkiv.
Less than 30km across the border from Kharkiv in Russia, there has been a big build-up of Russian armor & support vehicles.
Ukraine says no plans to evacuate Kharkiv but the Ukrainian pres has called for a state of emergency across the country starting at midnight.
Worth noting: A senior Ukrainian official points out to CNN the US has issued similar warnings before for assaults that did not materialize.