Just A Neighsayer Profile picture
Feb 20 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
I’m going to share a cautionary story of what happens when you don’t take the ongoing pandemic seriously. Come trot with me on the journey of a high profile, anti masker who has long C.
In early ‘22 this person was transparent about having memory loss issues after having C19. Image
Image
In an ‘23 interview at SXSW she
✅openly mocked masking
✅shared that she’s been infected multiple times
✅seemed most concerned about having cinema goers return to the theatre over public health
✅and most disturbingly said she would -refuse- to mask on the set of her next film
But, but… now in 2025…
It looks like someone needs to take an early retirement 🥺 for some unknown reason… Image

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More from @justaneighsayer

Jul 24, 2024
I came across a rather chilling discussion amongst a group of actuary & insurance professionals chatting about recent “excess mortality” trends. Take the time to read or watch the full chat (& ignore the Dr. who blames 😷ing for immune problems).
Some take aways…
Life Insurance News A VIDEO RSS © May 7, 2024. I Video @ No comments • Order Prints Video: The 'excess mortality' phenomenon: What does the future hold? IN Excess
Look at these numbers for two years. But luckily in 2022, it declined. But you're still in this 10%, 12%, 11%, 14% in December 2022. These are big numbers, these are very stable. Recently, in 2023, it's been more like 6%. The data's not mature yet for the more recent months, but in January 2024, so far it's 6.2%. Just to complete the story, you look back at 2019, and these numbers were basically zero, somewhere above zero, somewhere below 2018's. : That doesn't mean nobody was dying. Josh Stirling: No. This is a derivative measure. This is the excess above the expected, but what it means is...
The group has trouble understanding that while c19 numbers have come down, excess mortality has not dropped as expected. In fact it’s remained steady in recent yrs. Some describe it as the “new normal”, and shockingly the mortality numbers are seen among younger populations.
The Society of Actuaries has been really on this in doing experience studies for both individual life insurance and group life insurance. Some of it was positing that oh, well, heart disease, maybe because COVID is causing some heart disease problems or they re not going to the doctor. We saw utilization go down quite a bit, health care utilization go down in 2020 and 2021, that people who should have weren't going to the doctor, or even older people who needed help to get to appointments; they lost their ride, perhaps. Those were some of the things they were positing, but now, as we're get...
Steve Cyboran: One thing that I'd just like to add to that is in past pandemics, you see a pull forward of mortality, and then you see a valley for the mortality that was pulled forward. That usually is the next year. We're four years on, and we haven't seen any kind of a valley, and when you see an average of a 6%, a 12% increase, there are some age groups that were still 20% last year, still 20% up. I think Mary Pat could speak to this better, but I think in particular last year that it was the younger ages, 15 to 45. Mary Pat could speak to what the real numbers are.
They also touch upon increased trends of sickness & disability w/in the workforce. Numbers show a ⬆️ level of “suffering & chronic health problems”. The Dr. acknowledges increase in patients w/ blood clots & strokes. And that ↗️ disability is a leading indicator for future deaths
These are only people who are disabled but still are either working or trying to work. Look at the scale of this chart, it's a similar thing. It's a little bit delayed but stable. But this is 139, so 39% higher. That's nuts. Then they give it to us by gender, and I don't really know what to make of this, except that this is what the number is. If you look at it for just women, in the labor force, it's actually 158%. It's 58% higher than it was for the pandemic, from which for about 10 years before was really stable. I don't know exactly what these numbers mean, but I have interpreted them a...
there are a lot of patients who come in and have other conditions — especially blood clots, strokes — that I just didn't see before. Those will take some time to become recorded. Especially with cancer, you won't see a death for maybe four or five years, so that's going to lag behind. You had to take two aspects of this — somebody who's actually looking at the numbers from behind, and people who are looking at trends that are occurring in their day-to-day practice. My personal feeling is I think that we really haven't hit bottom. I think we're going to see another spike. : Seems like we're ...
Read 5 tweets

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