1) There are several forces already aligning against the DemoKKKrats in 2026.
2) The really good news is that they neither see, nor understand, any of them.
3) First, they are on track for a massive fundraising shortage---an area where D congressional & senate candidates . . .
3) contd . . . almost always have not just an edge, but a BIG edge.
4) Why? Their slush money via USAID and NGOs just dried up. Hundreds of millions of slushy dollars will be absent from their coffers.
5) Moreover, their competence in the last campaign has caused donors to . .
5) contd . . . have second thoughts. Currently, the donors are (according to one report) "pulling back funds."
6) We should note that, coincidentally, DemoKKKrat "influencers" suddenly have gotten all agitated about "management of cities," observing that blue cities SUCK.
7) I'm not going to waste time trying to examine why it's stupid to expect fundamentally corrupt people who think ordinary taxpayers are nincompoops to suddenly be frugal and sensible with tax dollars.
They get it, they MUST spend it on all their stupid woke nonsense. They will
8) But the fact that these DemoKKKrat influencers realize this is a problem tells us a lot, because they don't usually figure out something is a problem until about 2 years after the voters have.
9) If money is the first major problem facing the DemoKKKrats in 2026, close on its heels is voter registration.
10) Those of you who follow me know that since the middle of 2022 I have beating the voter registration drum as THE predictor of where races are heading.
11) One reason, for example, I did NOT predict (or strongly expect) Rs to win the senate races in WI and MI was that we had no voter registration #s there--it was all estimates and county data. I don't trust that. It's INDICATIVE, but not predictive.
12) I know, I know, many will say "but fraud!" True, but as always we need to win OUTSIDE THE MARGIN OF FRAUD in DemoKKKrat or RINO controlled states. Just a fact of life.
Trump did it. In the senate races we won, those senators did it too.
13) So back to voter registrations: we're killin' it. The flood of 2024 has not abated. @ScottPresler has gotten the PA DemoKKKrat margin to a shockingly low 89,000.
It was 1.1 million when Trump won the state in 2016 and nearly 150,000 last November.
@ScottPresler 14) PA will be red by the end of this year or very early next at the rate Pressler is registering Republicans.
15) North Carolina has seen a similar GOP surge. Remember Trump won NC 3 times, despite a DemoKKKrat lead of 175,000. Now it's 32,000.
@ScottPresler 16) NC will also be red by early 26 at the latest.
17) AZ continues to slip out of the "battleground" column, registering 38,000 more Rs in Dec. and January to add to the 300,000 lead from last year.
18) New Mexico is edging redder, though slowly.
@ScottPresler 19) Virginia is going to be a real problem for DemoKKKrats, and is unique to the states I've discussed because it will witness a BIG out-migration of fired fed employees. How many?
No one knows but it could be 50,000. @RealSKeshel thinks the DemoKKKrat voter reg lead . . .
@ScottPresler @RealSKeshel 19) contd . . . is about 100,000. Slash that by half. But we're not done. VA, like some other states, will see thousands of DemoKKKrat illegal aliens disappear. Oh, they might still be on rolls, but they won't be voting. And the DOJ just removed the suit against the state . . .
@ScottPresler @RealSKeshel 19) contd . . . from Rutabaga's administration that prohibited VA from culling its voter rolls of illegals. Youngkin will take care of that. VA=TOSSUP for 2026/2028.
20) Money, registration, departure of illegals, and finally, ISSUES are not friendly to DemoKKKrats.
@ScottPresler @RealSKeshel 21) Following my gaggle of libtoid writers, they AT BEST want to "moderate" some of the DemoKKKrats most insane (losing) positions on woke, transoidism, Ukraine, illegals, and so on. At WORST they want to accelerate them.
@ScottPresler @RealSKeshel 22) As of yet, three months after the election, no DemoKKKrat writer/influencer I've read has yet said, "You know what? We are flat WRONG in this "there are 50 genders crap" or "We need policies that speak to the middle/working class, not to illegal aliens."
@ScottPresler @RealSKeshel 23) This is extremely good news because you cannot solve a problem you haven't correctly identified yet. Case in point, Lil Hitler (David Hogg) as their #2 at the DNC. Yeah, he's representative of American Youts.
@ScottPresler @RealSKeshel 24) At the very best for them, they are getting a very, very, VERY late start in trying to fix their crap. At worst, they won't even know it till they get shellacked again.
@ScottPresler @RealSKeshel 25) And finally---because it's too early to really discuss this---Trump's jobs and economic policies should begin kicking in by late summer. Energy production and distribution will be exploding, prices falling, bringing all other prices down.
@ScottPresler @RealSKeshel 26) And I'm going to save this for a substack column, but . . . I think that federal assets are MASSIVELY undervalued, and that combined with the savings from DOGE, we very shortly will be looking at vastly different national debt numbers.
VASTLY different. But that's later.
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1) Tina Smith's announcement that she won't run for reelection in what should be a somewhat favorable DemoKKKrat year speaks volumes.
2) It confirms that what we are seeing in the voter registration wave toward Rs is REAL and WIDESPREAD.
3) It further confirms that DemoKKKrats are skeeered, even though TRUMP WON"T BE ON THE BALLOT.
4) It "seems" to confirm that they believe things will be SUBSTANTIALLY better in 2026, meaning their little minion data workers are telling them they are in trouble.
5) In confirms they know they don't have any chance of regaining the Senate . . . so why toil another six years in the minority?
6) I think . . . wait for it . . . that hidden underneath all this is a nagging fear that their fraud and criminality will come out and that . . .
1) I see a lot of the predictable nervous Nellies warning that "Trump has to do something about inflation." He has been in for one month. NOTHING changes that quickly.
2) Reagan came in with a rate of over 9% from Jesus Carter. By 1983, late, he had it to 4.3%.
3) It continued to fall steadily, hitting a low of 3.5%. During one quarter in 1982, however, Reagan had it at zero, but that was highly unusual.
4) The first thing that will happen is that as the energy sector comes alive, all immediate fuel prices should begin to fall.
5) I'm guessing that will take a month.
6) Then all the other products affected by falling energy prices will begin to drop. Add another month.
7) I'm guessing that non-home prices will begin a steady and slow decline in April.
1) More from Zen Master. Realize he is a student of the courts with respect for the legal system. He is not fond of using "Lawfare" by either side.
2) Trump will for now comply or do workarounds with court orders while appealing.
3) No chance in appeal to 1st & 5th Circuits
4) Those are "leftist bastions," as he calls them.
5) Will go to the Supes.
6) How fast? "Some will get expedited, but others could take longer."
7) "If an appeals court doesn't put a stop to this order preventing the Secretary of the Treasury from accessing Treasury Department records, I think SCOTUS will intervene in short order."
8) As I said in my substack yesterday, the Supes cannot just "come in" and set all right.
1) The death of USAID is the tip of the iceberg. It has major implications throughout the electoral process.
2) Just to even TRY to replace these spigots would take years. And that's only IF the Trump administration allows them to take root again, which I doubt.
3) The instability caused by the DemoKKKrat goatstompers sudden INABILITY to get free money, free publicity via Politico, free obstruction for GOP programs via death of this evil org---all this makes their campaigns much harder.
4) The idiot DemoKKKrats---contrary to the advice of a couple of people in the party who still have a brain cell---chose to go all uppity about USAID, which NO American cares about. Not 1 in 100 can tell you what it is. Of those 1 in 100, not 1 in 1,000 can say why we need it.
1) I've been asked to do a thread on tariffs. Not wussing out, just letting you know it's complicated because of differentials in nations' imports/exports and the nature of products hit with a tariff (some are selective, some "everything Canadian").
2) Obviously--and you'd expect no less--a little history.
3) Tariffs were a part of the original George Washington administration and part of Alexander Hamilton's fiscal policy. I know a lot of libertarian types hate ol Al, but he was a genius.
4) We'd be so much better off with his financial plans today. For example, he insisted Congress set up a "sinking fund," meaning they could not borrow more money til they paid off the previous debt. Imagine where we'd be with that today.
3) This is nothing new. When I visited Steve Bannon in his own little war room in the Exec Office Building in 2017, he had his whiteboard with the same strategy.
4) The difference, of course, was that in 2017 Trump did not have anywhere near the supportive infrastructure.
5) The "GOP" House & Senate were only mildly supportive, often obstructionist. DemoKKKrats at every level had their little "resist" movement going. MAGA only comprised a tiny part of the important gubment agencies and bureau heads.