Very interesting points made by Valerii Zaluzhnyi, ex CinC and now Ambassador to the UK:
We are somewhat behind, particularly in the development of technology for deploying unmanned systems on fiber optics, which provide a significant advantage to Russia at the moment. 1/8 ⬇️
We also cannot achieve widespread use of weapons like guided air bombs, nor can we effectively defend against them, giving Russia another advantage. 2/8
Lastly, we are unable to match the scale of human resources that Russia can mobilize, nor can we afford to pay the high price for the relatively minor victories they have achieved, all due to the combination of these three factors. 3/8
My answer is no (Ukraine's partners are not ready for modern warfare) I believe that, as of today, our partners are still stuck in the mindset of February 24, 2022. 4/8
Despite the fact that by the summer of 2023, the situation on the battlefield had dramatically changed, and, by the way, the rules of warfare had evolved completely. But as of now, I would say — no. 5/8
I was absolutely certain that if we inflicted as many losses as possible on the Russian army and Russia, those losses would eventually force [Moscow] to abandon further actions. 6/8
But that was completely my mistake. As of today, we see that, most likely, human resources are among the cheapest for Russia. 7/8
I am absolutely convinced that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been, are, and will remain the most reliable guarantor of Ukraine’s security. They will always be the foundation, whether they are part of NATO or not — it is the Ukrainian Armed Forces. 8/8
——
Please don’t forget to support and subscribe to my Substack - Russia Analyzed - for the latest insights and analysis on Russian foreign and security policy and the war against Ukraine. cutt.ly/pw9h2qju
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The Battle of Avdiivka: firsthand accounts from Ukrainian soldiers
Vladimir Kalibri, former deputy commander of the 110th Brigade (Apr 2022 – Feb 2023) said Russian forces dropped up to 100 guided bombs daily, while Ukrainian troops faced severe weapon and ammo shortages. 1/19⬇️
Of course, one of the key factors was our lack of ammunition, weapons, and aviation support. I personally experienced guided aerial bombs (KABs). They are highly demoralizing and played a significant role. The enemy could drop up to 100 KABs on Avdiivka in a single day. 2/19
But the most crucial factor was the human element—there were not enough well-trained and motivated personnel. Our brigade had been there since the beginning of the war, holding the position for nearly two years. 3/19
Ukraine's Chief of Defense Intelligence, Kyrylo Budanov about ceasefire, potential peacekeepers in Ukraine and new Russian attempts of destabilization:
"While the Ukrainian and Russian sides currently hold diametrically opposed positions, a ceasefire is likely achievable" 1/6 ⬇️
How long it will last and how effective it will be is another matter. But I believe something will happen, as most of the necessary conditions are in place. 2/6
Budanov questioned whether deploying peacekeeping forces could guarantee Ukraine's security.
"Show me a single country where peacekeepers have truly been effective. Maybe such a case exists, but I don't recall one. I've studied many examples—nowhere." 3/6
Kyrylo Budanov, Chief of Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence (HUR) shares insightful details about Russia-DPRK cooperation and the war against Ukraine.
Despite heavy casualties, North Korean forces remain actively engaged in joint operations with Russian troops. 1/12 ⬇️
Budanov estimated that about 4,000 troops had been killed or seriously wounded.
North Korean troops are embedded within Russian units, conducting joint operations in small groups rather than maintaining their own front-line positions. 2/12
“They move as part of larger Russian formations, executing combined operations.”
Regarding the possibility of further North Korean deployments, Budanov said there was no concrete evidence of additional special forces or infantry reinforcements. 3/12
Interesting points from the Commander of the anti-tank battalion of the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade, Oleh "Romakha" Romanov "I believe that Izium is a certain key to Donbas." 1/16⬇️
Izium is the last supply artery for our entire agglomeration, including Druzhkivka and Kostiantynivka, which are currently defending Toretsk and Chasiv Yar. That’s why the situation in the Kharkiv sector is far from straightforward. 2/16
Our front isn’t collapsing—we have unity, and it prevents us from failing. We carry a responsibility, knowing that behind us are peaceful towns and our families. I don’t believe that will happen here. 3/16
Interesting points from the Commander of the anti-tank battalion of the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade, Oleh "Romakha" Romanov
"I believe that Izium is a certain key to Donbas." 1/16 ⬇️
Izium is the last supply artery for our entire agglomeration, including Druzhkivka and Kostiantynivka, which are currently defending Toretsk and Chasiv Yar. That’s why the situation in the Kharkiv sector is far from straightforward. 2/16
Our front isn’t collapsing—we have unity, and it prevents us from failing. We carry a responsibility, knowing that behind us are peaceful towns and our families. I don’t believe that will happen here. 3/16
Russian attacks in the Pokrovsk area have slowed over the past two months. Instead of engaging in direct urban combat for Pokrovsk, Russian forces are attempting to bypass the city and cut off its supply lines. 1/11⬇️
Their primary objective is to gain full control of key logistical routes to and from Pokrovsk, particularly the T0504 highway to the west and east of the city. 2/11
In contrast, Ukrainian counterattacks aim to stall and wear down the Russian advance, depleting their resources while securing the Pavlohrad–Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka–Pokrovsk sections of the T0504 road. 3/11