We're triple checking numbers and adding cases to ensure proper representation of key subregions but results are on pattern with trajectory we first identified in mid January . It's no longer a question of whether LPC can close the gap. It's now a question of whether CPC can recover.
Not only are LPC now in slight lead but they lead in Ontario, PQ and Atlc. Also tied for lead in BC. This without impact of an random experiment on mentioning current leaders and 'if' Mark Carney was leader. This provides a clear boost in what was already majority territory .
Full results tomorrow . Massive and unprecedented gender gap and LPC now lead strongly with U educated, and self defined middle class. CPC do very well with under males and have overkill numbers in Alta /Sask. Also strong lead with larger hhlds.
But overall, CPC in deep trouble . Prompting for Carney boosts LPC prospects ,prompting for Poilievre and Singh worsens their support . What an astonishing turnaround , literally unprecedented outside of a campaign which guessing will be sooner rather than later .
Full results with tables and methodology tomorrow . Finishing field work this evening .
Under 35 males ....
I am leaving comments open for the next 6 hours , which from my experience is when the horde of flying monkey troll brigade descends.
I suspect, but not ready to announce quite yet, that Mr. Poilivere is toast. Done like dinner. Dead man walking. You get the idea. Stay tuned.
And I can find a series of pretty recent claims from my colleagues that he was headed for a majority.
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