Oleh Ivashchenko, Chief of Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service, assesses the course of the war:
Russia needs ceasefire. They require a break to restore their economy, accumulate new supplies, prepare their army, regroup forces, and resume aggression against Ukraine. 1/8⬇️
Russia needs ceasefire. They require a break to restore their economy, accumulate new supplies, prepare their army, regroup forces, and resume aggression against Ukraine. 1/8⬇️
Russia, without Ukraine and Belarus, which it has nearly occupied, is no longer an empire. We are aware of the future plans, and we know about them at least until 2030. 2/8
Does the Russian Federation, Putin, want to end the war? No, they do not. The tasks set so far remain unfulfilled. 3/8
Today, Russia needs all of Ukraine, all of its territories, all of its lands. Tomorrow, they will need other countries from Eastern Europe, and then Central Asia. 4/8
The economy is currently weak and has tendencies toward worsening. I can say that everything accumulated during Putin’s rule has already been spent. 5/8
By the end of the year, Russia’s economy would show difficult and irreversible trends. For instance, at the Leningrad Nuclear Power Plant, there have been seven technical malfunctions recently, which could lead to major disasters. 6/8
This applies to new energy facilities in Russia as well. The Belarusian Nuclear Power Plant, for example, faces technical stoppages and malfunctions that could have consequences not just for Ukraine, but for the entire region. 6/8
Russia plans to produce over 7 million large-caliber artillery shells and mines this year. In this area, Russia is clearly outproducing all European countries combined. The production of ammunition and long-range missiles. 7/8
This year, they expect to produce about 3,000 of these strike weapons, which are used almost every day to destroy our infrastructure. 8/8
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