Building on things @biancoresearch has talked about.
Trump wants to be repaid for the post-WWII defense arrangements with the EU.
One of the possibilities is a cram down on the debt they have. Trump's opening off is to replace all the existing USTs owned by European banks (not clear if it's commercial + central or just central) with 0%, perpetual or 100-year bonds.
Now, I think this is a pretty hilarious offer especially in light of what I've been saying for 3 years about how the EU + UK complex has been gorging on USTs since Powell began raising rates.... to the tune of $1.1 trillion net/net since Sept 2021.
/1
They did this to manage credit spreads between US and UK/German bonds in order to keep their banks solvent.
Look up Lagarde's Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI), she instantiated in July 2021 in response to Powell's 75 bps raises back then.
The speculation then was to help the ECB manage the Italian/German spreads which were blowing out... @zerohedge covered it that way back then.
It wasn't.... the real control lever is US yields, against which all other debt is measured. Control the long-end of the US YC, you control global rates.
/2
Now, that the Euro-zone + UK and subsidiaries (Caymans, Canada, Bermuda, BVI, etc) are the largest holders of US debt, the bulk of which were bought at much lower prices, higher yields, Trump wants to cram them down to 0%
/3
BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.
Especially since now US/UK spreads are screaming higher after the "Coalition of the Willfully Obtuse" met this weekend.
Today this spred is 39.5 bps. When it reached 60bps in the fall of 2022, it caused the fall of the Truss Government... the so-called "Coup Against the Lizzes."
4/
Now let's look at the US/German 2 and 10 year spreads shall we:
So, how much of this bullshit was funded by our own government and these treasonous NGOs?
I screamed about Yellen and her supporting Lagarde.
"Lagarde's 1st Panic coincides with the German 10 year breaching 2.5% b/c the US 10-year was headed towards 5%. Yellen starts Treasury Yield Curve Control
She and Lagarde drive spreads down, and the BoJ gets the opportunity to end QE definitively, by defending the JPY and begin the unwind of the EUR/JPY carry trade.
The response this week to the events of last week are telling you everything you need to know. The Panic is here, it's real, and it's NOT the US that's panicking.....
... It's Europe and the UK.
Whatever these pricks think they are going to do in Ukraine, Trump will make them pay for it through the nose.
/5
The real war is financial.... it always is.
/fin
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July 2022.... mistype.
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Last year when the @PeterZeihan's of the world were calling for a 5 million bbl/day collapse of output I told you about the importance of the ESPO pipeline, which could double it's flows to 1 million bbls/day.
/1 archive.ph/nTTZk
Now look for Russia to double ESPO again after finishing the port upgrades at Kozmino
After this weekend's upside results for @AfD in Hesse and Bavaria I want to remind everyone that this time is different for them as compared to 2018.
They have transformed into the "solutions for Germany" Party, like I said they needed to become then. /1 tomluongo.me/2018/06/18/cro…
Because they didn't rebrand themselves in 2018-19 they were easy pickings during COVID which saw their support drop to a low of 10%. They failed to cross the 16% chasm and fell back.
But, they were on the right side of the issues, German voters needed to catch up to them. /2
They would do so because once Merkel was gone, the rebrand under Alice Weidel could finally take root. They went from the "Anti-Merkel" party on immigration to the "Pro-Germany" party on immigration, war, and the economy.
/3
As ICEs are being legislated out of the market, unsafe EVs will come with higher insurance costs all through their lifecycle.
Your True Cost of Ownership will rise as the depreciation curve steepens and initial cost rises thanks to complexity.
Simple, straightforward trucks are leaving the market.
RIP the Nissan Titan whose footprint is too small to stay in the market, like the Ram 1500 Classic. All full-sized trucks shorter than 146" wheelbase can't be sold at scale without huge CAFE fines. carscoops.com/2023/08/nissan…
So, let's talk Yellen wanting Blackrock to be regulated as a SIFI. Moving Non-banks into this pile, which now gives them access they didn't have before.
BLK doesn't want to be a SIFI. But, now that they are in trouble, thanks to Powell they do? /1
So, what's changed? Clearly that BLK didn't 'use leverage' but invested everyone's pension funds in stocks and Sovereign Debt at insane prices... 10 year German bunds at -0.8%... mmmmm... tasty!