Giorgi Revishvili Profile picture
Mar 4 16 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi shares interesting details about the dynamics of the war:

Discussions about potential negotiations impact the military, as they do everyone. However, our task is to stay focused and not succumb to weakness. 1/14 ⬇️ Image
We are conducting active defense, particularly in sectors where the enemy has a numerical advantage, such as the Pokrovsk area, where Russian forces have outnumbered us 4.5 to 1. Notably, Russia expended more resources in 2024 than the previous two years (2022-2023) combined. 2/
Initially, Russian tactics were predictable. However, in 2024, they replaced their entire command structure, and unfortunately, this led to more creative and adaptive operations. 3/14
At times, they managed to catch us off guard by rapidly deploying reserves and exploiting both our successes and setbacks on the battlefield. 4/14
Operational efficiency—they executed their plans precisely, regardless of the conditions or circumstances. If a senior officer made a decision, that plan was strictly followed. 5/14
They now employ small assault groups, a tactic first used by the Wagner Group. This was uncommon for us initially, as in 2022, they advanced with entire battalions or battalion echelons. 6/14
This is a defining characteristic of modern warfare, especially in the context of widespread drone deployment of various types. We are now in an era of new-generation warfare, with a key feature being the use of small assault groups. 7/14
So, what should we do? First and foremost, we must effectively counter enemy drones. Currently, drones—particularly those with fiber-optic control—pose the greatest threat. We are implementing the necessary measures and developing counterstrategies. 8/14
We are developing intercepting drones with various types of weapons, including so-called "net shooters" and drones with 12mm calibers that physically destroy enemy drones. 9/14
These drones use artificial intelligence to automatically lock onto or destroy targets either through direct collision or detonation. So, there are already solutions to this problem. 10/14
Throughout the war, the armed forces have reached a point where they are undergoing reorganization—not a reform, but a structural transition. The shift to a corps-based system will streamline command structures while establishing permanent corps-level units and leadership bodies.
This transformation will enable corps commanders to conduct independent operations, ensuring self-sufficiency in specific frontline or defensive sectors. This is a positive and necessary step—something long worked toward. 12/14
Temporary command structures and ad hoc leadership teams often result in frequent personnel changes, bringing in officers with varying experiences and skill sets. This creates a disconnect between commanders and their forces, weakening their understanding of unit dynamics. 13/14
As a result, some decisions may lack a solid foundation due to unfamiliarity with the unique strengths, limitations, and operational nuances of the units under their command. 14/14
Read full text on my Substack - Russia Analyzed.

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More from @revishvilig

Mar 6
General Zaluzhnyi's very interesting remarks

The failure to qualify the actions of Russia as aggression is a huge challenge for the entire world and Europe in particular. Not just the axis of evil are trying to revise the world order, but ultimately U.S. is destroying it. 1/13⬇️ Image
Formal conditions for the revision of the world order are clear, and the reference point for this is the potential end of the war in Ukraine. The world order is now ruined; Look at the U.S., the White House has questioned the unity of the Western world. 2/13
Now Washington is trying to delegate security issues to Europe without the participation of the U.S., so we can say that in the near future, NATO can stop existing. 3/13
Read 13 tweets
Mar 5
Very significant statements by President Macron:

We cannot forget that Russia began to invade Ukraine in 2014 and we then negotiated a ceasefire in Minsk. And the same Russia did not respect this ceasefire.

Today, we can no longer take Russia's word for it. 1/5⬇️ Image
Ukraine has the right to peace and security for itself, and it is in our interest and in the interest of the security of the European continent. It is in this sense that we are working with our British, German and several other European friends. 2/5
Russia continues to rearm, and by 2030, it plans to further increase its army, adding 300,000 soldiers, 3,000 tanks, and 300 more fighter planes. Who can believe, in this context, that today's Russia will stop at Ukraine? Russia has become, a threat to France and to Europe. 3/5
Read 6 tweets
Mar 3
Vadym Skibitsky, Deputy Chief of Ukraine's Defense Intelligence, shares invaluable insights on the war:

Russia's strategic plans remain unchanged - seeking full occupation or control of Ukraine. Their goal is to ensure Ukraine becomes either neutral or pro-Russian. 1/17⬇️ Image
The key shift after the full-scale invasion was Russia's initial belief that they could quickly seize all of Ukraine's territory. However, once fighting began and they encountered resistance, their plans began to adjust. Russia’s objectives are constantly being modified. 2/17
As of now, their primary goal for 2025 is to capture Donetsk and Luhansk, complete the "special military operation," and maintain control over occupied territories like Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Crimea. 3/17
Read 17 tweets
Mar 3
Colonel Pavlo Palytsa, a seasoned officer and Deputy Head of the Ukrainian Presidential Office, discusses war, reforms, and mobilization.

I believe that to fully analyze the Battle of Bakhmut, we need more time, and it should be done thoroughly. 1/14⬇️ Image
Honestly, I sometimes reflect on how the battle would have unfolded if we had then the technologies, forces, and resources that we have now. 2/14
There was a massive limitation in artillery—not just in ammunition but in the number of guns. Across the entire defensive sector, which at times covered 70% of Bakhmut itself, the brigade commander had only two 155mm guns. 3/14
Read 14 tweets
Feb 27
Oleh Ivashchenko, Chief of Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service, assesses the course of the war:

Russia needs ceasefire. They require a break to restore their economy, accumulate new supplies, prepare their army, regroup forces, and resume aggression against Ukraine. 1/8⬇️ Image
Russia, without Ukraine and Belarus, which it has nearly occupied, is no longer an empire. We are aware of the future plans, and we know about them at least until 2030. 2/8
Does the Russian Federation, Putin, want to end the war? No, they do not. The tasks set so far remain unfulfilled. 3/8
Read 12 tweets
Feb 26
Kyrylo Budanov, Ukraine’s Chief of Defense Intelligence, on the current state of the war and its future trajectory:

Russia has not managed to achieve their goal yet. Has Russia's strategic goal changed? Unfortunately, the answer is still "No". 1/17⬇️ Image
I think, this objective will never change.

The Russian Federation does not see itself as a federation, it sees itself as an empire.
An empire needs at least three states to exist: Russia, which is there, Belarus, which is partially there, and what’s missing is Ukraine. 2/17
Without it the existence of the Russian empire is impossible. Any expert on Russia will confirm this. That is why it will not stop and will do everything to take over Ukraine by military, political, non-political, and some internal social means. 3/17
Read 19 tweets

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