🇺🇸🇪🇺🌎The transatlantic alliance faces an uncomfortable truth: the instability in U.S. politics isn't just about Trump. It’s about the deeper flaws in American democracy itself—flaws that make the U.S. an unreliable pillar of Western security.
🧵A security thread.
1/10
Trump—a convicted fraudster, rapist, and insurrectionist—isn’t an outlier. The fact that he can win power again is a symptom of systemic weakness.
In any functioning democracy, such a figure would be politically extinct.
In the U.S., he was the GOPs first choice.
2/10
How did we get here? Its complicated but two core flaws make American democracy structurally unstable:
1️⃣ Money in politics—Citizens United allows billionaires to buy elections.
2️⃣ Electoral system design—A few swing states decide everything, making it easy to manipulate outcomes
Unlike in Europe (at least my country), where politicians resign over minor infractions, the U.S. system enables criminals to return to power.
When legal accountability means nothing, when money outweighs votes, when courts are stacked—how democratic is the U.S., really?
4/11
This isn’t just about domestic politics. If the U.S. can’t guarantee stable governance, how can Europe, Canada, Australia, Taiwan, or Japan trust it with their security?
5/11
NATO’s backbone has always been U.S. leadership. But when that leadership can swing between Biden’s internationalism and Trump’s isolationism—on a whim—the alliance itself is on borrowed time.
6/11
Europe must wake up. The old assumption—that the U.S. will always be there as a security guarantor—is dead.
A country that can be hijacked by extremists every four years is no foundation for defense and security.
7/11
The solution? The West must build an independent security framework.
✅ Europe must expand its defense capacity.
✅ Canada, Australia, Taiwan and Japan must coordinate more closely.
✅ NATO must prepare for a world where U.S. support is conditional—or absent.
8/11
This is not an anti-American argument. It’s about recognizing reality. The U.S. remains a vital partner, but the era of blind dependence is over.
The West needs a backup plan—before it’s too late.
9/11
The biggest threat to the Western alliance isn’t just Russia or China.
It’s the fragility of U.S. democracy itself.
If we don’t prepare for a post-American security order now, we may not get a second chance.
10/11
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🇬🇪The Council of Europe just told Georgia, in writing, what most governments only whisper: the state is dismantling the right to protest, and no police officer has been held to account for the violence used to do it. 1/9
Commissioner Michael O'Flaherty's new memorandum (19 June) finds his March 2025 warnings still unaddressed. A year on, the abuses are documented, the perpetrators named in pattern, and the prosecutions run only one way: against protesters. 2/9
Despite credible reports of ill-treatment during protests in 2023, 2024 and 2024-25, not one law enforcement officer has been prosecuted. The Commissioner wants investigations to reach command responsibility, not just the masked men on the street. 3/9
🇬🇪 ATTENTION. Self-proclaimed PM Irakli Kobakhidze called former MP Giorgi Kandelaki "a formula of treason" and signaled state prosecution.
His offense? Co-authoring a Hudson Institute report on Iran's grip on Georgia.
In Georgian Dream's Georgia, this is not rhetoric.
1/10
Kobakhidze's exact words to pro-government media. "[Foreign] agents are directly involved in this, including this particular individual, who is a formula of treason."
He added that "a legal response would not be inappropriate" and named "the relevant state institutions".
2/10
The March Hudson report, co-authored by Kandelaki and Luke Coffey, documents what Tbilisi will not deny.
Kobakhidze traveled to Tehran twice in 2024. He was photographed beside Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh at President Pezeshkian's inauguration.
3/10 hudson.org/foreign-policy…
🇬🇪Georgian Dream is not EU-skeptic. GD runs a calculated campaign to ensure Georgia never qualifies, never progresses, and never joins the EU.
The anti-EU rhetoric is now the strategy itself.
The last three weeks make that very visible. 👇
1/13 📷 Civil.ge
Two facts the regime cannot move. Over 80% of Georgians want EU membership. EU integration is written into the constitution. The pro-Western direction is not a Western imposition. It is the codified preference of Georgian voters, repeated in every credible poll for a decade.
2/13
Shaddow ruler Ivanishvili cannot allow that. The US sanctioned him in Dec 2024 for "undermining the democratic and Euro-Atlantic future of Georgia for the benefit of the Russian Federation."
His, and Putins, political project requires the EU path to fail.
3/13
🇬🇪Open letter, meet open record.
PM Kobakhidze writes to von der Leyen, Costa and Metsola to lecture the EU on police violence in Copenhagen. Peaceful protesters beaten with batons, set on by dogs he claims.
Then read what his own police do, and never answer for.
1/13 👇🧵
The letter casts Georgia as the guardian of European values and Brussels as the backslider, with Denmark as the exhibit.
He picked the one subject on which his own government has the longest and best documented record.
2/13 interpressnews.ge/en/article/147…
The premise is whataboutism, and it collapses on contact.
The question is never whether police use force. Every state's police use force. It is whether anyone is held to account when they do.
3/13
🇬🇪🇺🇸The Trump family recently signed Georgia's tallest building. Their local partner is a former Georgian Dream MP whom US lawmakers flagged as a regime financier. The deal lands while Bidzina Ivanishvili, GD's founder, sits under active US sanctions.
1/6thedailybeast.com/trumps-sign-me…
The partner is Archi Group, founded by Ilia Tsulaia. Former MP for Ivanishvili's party. Named on the sanctions-target list US lawmakers reportedly handed Marco Rubio in January 2025. He has not been sanctioned. That gap is the story. @willneal93
2/6
His firm took an estimated $7.2M from Ivanishvili's state Partnership Fund for a Tbilisi factory (Transparency International, 2019). In the same 2016-2018 window, he and his partners donated hundreds of thousands back to the ruling party.
State money in, party money out.
3/6
🇬🇪🇺🇦Georgian Dream wants one gift from the West: recognition.
GD does not want the gift Kyiv just offered: friendship.
The Yerevan handshake between Zelensky and Georgian PM Kobakhidze was not normalization. It was a strategic trap.
Here's why GD secretly hates this opening.
1/15
This is the third pressure in six weeks.
April 3: Marc Rubio's call to Kobakhidze. The gift GD wanted. Triggered Iranian and Russian counter-signals in 48 hours.
April 12: Hungary's Orbán lost his election. EU firewall gone.
May 4: Zelensky offers the gift GD did not want.
2/15
Sidelines of the 8th European Political Community summit in Yerevan. Ukraine initiated. Kobakhidze "immediately confirmed."
🇺🇦FM Sybiha and 🇬🇪FM Bochorishvili met separately. Return of ambassadors discussed.
Sybiha called it "historical."