Dan Nystedt Profile picture
Mar 5 8 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Taiwan’s big reaction to TSMC’s US$165 billion investment in the US via the media: a potential real estate bust, losing TSMC technology and the Silicon Shield, more: Thread: 1/7
2/7 Taiwan’s real estate market may be first to feel the impact of TSMC’s big investment in the US, media report, as real estate prices in some local markets soared based on TSMC investment plans which now might not materialize. Examples: the price-per-ping (local measurement) in Hsinchu County’s BaoShan township rose 120%, while Chiayi County’s Puzi City rose 95%. $TSM #semiconductors news.cnyes.com/news/id/5881563
3/7 Former Taiwan President Ying-jeou Ma called for the current administration to protect TSMC due to its great importance in national security and asked, ‘is selling TSMC is enough?’ and ‘what else is left to sell later?’ $TSM #semiconductors ettoday.net/news/20250304/…
4/7 The Taiwan government said TSMC’s most advanced semiconductor manufacturing technology will always remain at home, despite the US$100 billion TSMC investment in the USA, which includes an R&D center, media report, citing a statement from Taiwan’s presidential office. reuters.com/technology/tai…
5/7 Taiwan officials downplayed concerns TSMC’s investment in the US might compromise Taiwan in terms of industry or defense, saying production of the most advanced semiconductors will remain exclusively in Taiwan for the time being as TSMC’s US operations are still just getting started, media report, and added that it would be impossible for TSMC to begin volume production of 1.6nm or 2nm chips in the US next year, while it is highly unlikely the entire semiconductor supply chain will leave Taiwan. $TSM #semiconductors #semiconductor cna.com.tw/news/afe/20250…
6/7 Responding to media queries on fears TSMC may turn into an American chip maker, Taiwan Minister of Economic Affairs J.H. Kuo said the government has some control over what companies do, but in this case TSMC is following its customers, as most of its customers are in the US, just like TSMC’s Japan investment (JASM) is for Japan customers, and Europe investment is for European clients. He said TSMC’s global expansion is an important development for the company. $TSM udn.com/news/story/124…
7/7 Taiwan President Lai said discussions over TSMC’s original US$65 billion investment in Arizona were finalized during President Trump’s first term in office, and the new investment raises hope for more joint investment and trade in the future with the US, a key economic and trade ally. He said Taiwan is eager to work with other democratic nations, including the US, to build a more resilient semiconductor supply chain in the face of the growing threat of authoritarian nations. $TSM #semiconductors president.gov.tw/NEWS/39092

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More from @dnystedt

Feb 2
There’s an old saying, “a hammer is a great tool, but not for a window.”

Tariffs are similar: one of many tools, and very effective when used for the right job. In semiconductors, it’s almost always wrong.
Thread 1/25 $TSM $AAPL $NVDA $AVGO $AMZN $MSFT $GOOGL $META $AMAT $LRCX $KLAC #semiconductors #semiconductor
2/25 The aim of promised 100% tariffs on Taiwan semiconductors is to entice Taiwan semiconductor makers to build more fabs in the US, despite TSMC having already opened one fab as part of a US$65 billion investment that will ultimately make the US host to 3 advanced TSMC fabs, the only ones outside of Taiwan.
3/25 Apple and AI would likely take the biggest hit from any tariffs, while US semiconductor equipment makers like Applied Materials, Lam Research, KLA Corp., and others could also suffer. $AAPL $NVDA $AMAT $LRXC $KLAC
Read 25 tweets
Feb 2
Repeat: TSMC topped all semiconductor manufacturers in annual 2024 revenue. Thread 1/11 Image
2/11
World’s Top Semiconductor Manufacturers
Full Year 2024 Revenue in US$ dollars
TSMC: $90.08 billion, up 30% from 2023
Samsung (chip division): $84.50 billion, up 65.7%
Intel: $53.10 billion, down 2%
SK Hynix: $48.55 billion, up 93.5%
$TSM $INTC #Samsung #SKhynix #semiconductors
3/11 TSMC’s strong 2024 was led by AI-related sales of advanced 5nm and 3nm chip manufacturing, which made up 52% of revenue, versus 39% in 2023 Image
Read 12 tweets
Jan 16
TSMC 4th Quarter Earnings
Revenue NT$868.46 billion (US$26.88 bln)
Gross Margin 59.0% vs guide 57.0% - 59.0%
Optng Margin 49.0% vs guide 46.5% - 48.5%
Net Profit NT$374.47 billion ($11.59 bln) vs NT$370.64 bln expected
EPS NT$14.45 ($2.24 per ADR unit)
Wafer shipments 3.418 million +15.6% yoy
Thread 1/ $TSM $NVDA $AAPL #semiconductors
2/ TSMC Full Year 2024 Earnings
Revenue +33.9% to NT$2.89 trillion (US$90.08 billion)
US$ amount was up 29.99%, vs guide "close to 30%"
Gross Margin 56.1%
Op Margin 45.7%
Net profit NT$1.17 trillion (US$36.49 bln)
EPS NT$45.25
Wafer shipments 12.91 million
3/ TSMC credited its 4th quarter revenue performance on strong demand for its leading-edge 3nm and 5nm process technologies.
investor.tsmc.com/english/quarte…
Read 22 tweets
Oct 30, 2024
With all due respect to former President Trump, Taiwan did not steal the US semiconductor industry.
-Taiwan created trillions $$$ in value for the US chip industry, helping transform it into the juggernaut it is today.
-Taiwan helped save the US chip industry from Japan.
-Taiwan continued manufacturing chips long after it became passé in the US.
Thread 1/17 #semiconductors #semiconductor $TSM $NVDA $AVGO $QCOM $MRVL $AMD
2/17 The top five US chip designers – which would not exist today without TSMC – are worth over US$4.8 trillion in stock market value:
$NVDA $AVGO $AMD $QCOM $MRVL Image
3/17 The US is No. 1 in the world in chip design, with over 1,000 design firms and a growing number of firms with a design arm, like Apple – who depend on TSMC, or other chip foundries, for manufacturing.

To boot: the most cutting-edge development is done by chip design startups, who only exist because they do not need to raise the US$25 billion for a state-of-the-art fab today.
Read 17 tweets
Oct 1, 2024
The Battle for AI Memory Chip Supremacy

In February, Samsung Electronics claimed in a press release it was first in the latest generation of high-end AI memory chips, called HBM (high bandwidth memory), specifically HBM3e 12H.

But reviewing the situation today, not only is Samsung not first, it’s last.

Thread: 1/18
$MU $SSNLF #Samsung #SKhynix #HBM #semiconductors #semiconductor
2/18 Samsung lags

Samsung appears to be around 6-months behind HBM market leader SK Hynix Inc., and at least 3-months behind Micron Technology, an unfamiliar position for the perennial memory chip leader.

Memory bandwidth is a key bottleneck in AI servers, and the answer is better HBM memory chips, which are technically difficult to make and therefore command higher prices. $MU $SSNLF #Samsung #SKhynix #HBM
3/18 Sold Out

SK Hynix and Micron have both said their HBM memory chips are sold out through the end of 2025.

Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra on Q4 conference call (9/25): “…our volume and pricing for HBM is locked up for…calendar year 2024 and calendar year 2025."

Samsung has said its HBM is sold out for 2024.
Read 18 tweets
Sep 18, 2024
Reuters: Israel's Mossad spy agency planted explosives inside 5,000 Taiwan-made pagers ordered by Lebanese group Hezbollah months before Tuesday's detonations, which killed 9 people and wounded nearly 3,000 others. The pagers were made by Taiwan's Gold Apollo and arrived in the spring. Gold Apollo said it did not make the pagers. reuters.com/world/middle-e…
Gold Apollo’s founder said the pagers were made by a company in Europe that had the right to use the Taiwanese firm's brand, but did not name the firm. "We are a responsible company. This is very embarrassing," he said. reuters.com/world/middle-e…
Read 5 tweets

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