Malcontent News Profile picture
Mar 8, 2025 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
The White House is setting conditions in the information space to justify a land invasion of Canada.

Someone needs to say it. The messaging is undeniable.

Unless the adults reenter the room, it will happen.

1/9
A) Questioning NATO loyalty and if the Alliance would support the US. Wrapped in a tasty sandwich of what if China attacked! That's not the real reason he is questioning the loyalty. Trump wants a coalition of the willing to help isolate Canada.

2/9
B) Calling the US-Canada international border and the treaty that created it "illegitimate." This is straight out of Putin's playbook, and not just in Ukraine.

3/9
C) Attempting to isolate Canada pre-invasion to weaken its economy. Again, this is a tactic Putin used in Georgia, Ukraine, and Moldova. For now, Moldova is off the table.

4/9
D) Referring to Canada as the 51st state, accusing Canada of refusing to hold elections, implying Treadau is a dictator, and calling the Canadian PM a governor.

These aren't jokes. This is the classic "repeat the lie long enough, it becomes the truth" propaganda.

5/9
E) Increasing US intelligence overflights of Canada in the name of "border security." These are intelligence-gathering missions, not a hunt for undocumented migrants.

6/9
F) The ongoing purge at the Pentagon to replace career officers loyal to the Constitution with sycophants loyal to a man. Every authoritarian regime on the planet has made this a first step in establishing control. Pete Hegseth is the least qualified Secretary of Defense in US history.

7/9
Why does Trump want to annex Canada? It's the same reason Russia wants to conquer Ukraine. Lebensraum and pillage its wealth and resources.

That's silly. Why would the US need the second-largest country on the planet? We have everything we need here!

Why does a country that covers 11 time zones need Ukraine? A country with vast untapped potential and wealth that is wasted due to authoritarianism and corruption.

The US wants bauxite (aluminum), cobalt, oil, natural gas, diamonds, gold, timber, and uranium...

That and 34 million people to work under conditions set by oligarch tech bros as they pillage Canada's sovereign wealth.

8/9
The real danger is most Americans who are reading this will think this is insanity. Why would the US invade Canada? We're practically brothers! A joint identity for almost 200 years.

The United States is now what the conspiracy theorists on both fringes said the US was and blathered that Trump would fix. The US is an unreliable power destroying itself at breakneck speed with imperialistic goals.

There is no political opposition. The only people who can stop this are the American people. I don't have much faith that will happen.

9/9

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More from @MalcontentmentT

May 22
🧵Some of the Russian doom coming from their mappers isn't due to real Ukrainian advances. These are areas that Russia never controlled in the first place.

1/5
Earlier in the year, Russian mappers geolocated 2 guys with a flag, and despite other videos showing them being hit by a drone, artillery, an airstrike, run over by an M113 APC, and then eaten by feral pigs, they still mapped the great victory. Big advance!

2/5
As Russian sources publish their latest "see how good we are at war" videos, the reality is being exposed. Some Russian-based maps are, in a word, delusional. They can't go against the Kremlin unless the claims are ridiculous, such as the capture of Borova.

3/5
Read 5 tweets
May 15
🧵Marco Rubio to Fox News: "If you look, the Russians are losing five times as many soldiers a month as the Ukrainians are."

What does the data and research show?

1/20
In our SITREPs, we initially did not publish the casualty figures shared by Kyiv and Moscow.

In December 2024, there were two OPSEC leaks from Russia. One revealed that over 50K Russian soldiers were legally classified as MIA, and the other revealed that 600K former Russian soldiers were permanently disabled.

2/20
That enabled our team to analyze the BBC Russia/Mediazona/Meduza figures against Ukraine's claimed casualty figure, which Kyiv clarified included KIA and WIA.

The math added up. Ukraine's daily casualty figures were very close to the leaked Russian information.

3/20
Read 21 tweets
May 4
🧵 The world has pulled every string, called in every favor, turned every dial, and searched under all the rocks to stabilize the oil supply.

There are no tricks left.

Gas in the US is going to $5 and diesel to $6 and nothing is going to stop it now.

1/12
The US operational pause disguised as a ceasefire was due to an exhausted supply of precision munitions and anti-ballistic air defense.

The operational plan for Operation Epic Fury was fatally flawed because it relied on bad assumptions about Iran's government.

2/12
Claims that the Iranian Navy was wiped out, 89% of SRBM and IRBM TELs were destroyed, and missile and drone production eliminated were all false.

When major hostilities paused on April 8, all combatants needed to reconstitute.

3/12
Read 12 tweets
Jan 6
Russia has lost its ability to project hard power across the world because of its almost 12-year-long war of aggression against Ukraine.

Since September 2022, Russia's power has continued to erode.

A 🧵on Russia's failures.

1/8 Image
September 2022: Armenia makes a CSTO Article IV request for mutual defense after Azerbaijan attacks, which Russia denies. Armenia has ended funding and participation in the CSTO, stabilized relations with Azerbaijan, remains in CSTO in name only, and recently called for the withdrawal of a small contingent of Russian forces still in the country.

2/8Image
November 2024: Uprising in Syria to depose dictator Bashir al-Assad - Assad asks Russia for ammunition, but all he gets is a ride, regime collapses, Russia withdraws forces and equipment, loses access to Khmeimim Air Base, and has military and commercial contracts at the vital Tartus Naval Base suspended. Moscow loses its ability to project power into the Mediterranean.

3/8Image
Read 8 tweets
Nov 7, 2025
To answer question one, does Russia have the funds to restart nuclear warhead testing?

Yes.

And if Moscow decides to do it, it will also mean that Russia will be moving faster toward the collapse of its federal budget.

Testing nukes is very expensive.

1/25 Image
To answer question two, is Russia and/or China carrying out nuclear warhead testing as claimed by the Trump admin?

Possibly.

You can test nuclear weapons in a way that doesn't require setting off an actual multi-kiloton warhead, like North Korea has in the 21st century.

2/25 Image
Some of these tests don't violate the moratorium treaty.

The US conducted three subcritical nuclear weapons tests during the Biden administration from 2021 to 2024.

The tests were conducted at the Principal Underground Lab for Subcritical Experimentation in Nevada by the NNSA.

3/25Image
Read 26 tweets
Oct 2, 2025
Last year, I wrote an analysis of Trump vs. Putin. I concluded there were two absolutes for both men.

1) Both hate hearing "no."

2) Both hate disloyalty.

When I wrote that analysis, I predicted they were on a collision course due to their egos and motivations.

1/16
As spring turned into summer, my hope faded as Trump repeatedly gave Putin "two weeks" despite it being painfully obvious that Witkoff was not the right guy to speak on behalf of the White House, and Putin was stringing Trump along.

2/16
There were flashes of improvement following the disastrous White House meeting on February 28. Trump and Zelenskyy meeting at the Vatican on April 26. The White House seeing through Putin's cynical "ceasefire" offer for Moscow's Victory Day Parade. Anger at the Palm Sunday attack on Sumy.

3/16
Read 16 tweets

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