Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Mar 8 8 tweets 1 min read Read on X
I think the U.S. risks losing the EU. The leaders of the movement are France, Germany, and UK.

NYT provides a summary: Macron proposed massive shared financing for EU armies and extend France nuclear umbrella on EU allies. 1/ Image
Merz is discussing $200 bln for defence spending. Starmer appears to join French-German military cooperation. 2/
Trump actions are seen as decoupling America from Europe, accomplishing what the Soviet Union failed to do during the Cold War. 3/
Merz is working toward independence from the U.S., reversing longstanding German policy. 4/
Macron has called for massive shared financing for European military reinforcement and offers to extend France nuclear umbrella to EU allies. 5/
UK PM Starmer is likely to complement French-German military cooperation with British involvement, states that Europe should move beyond its reputation as an economic giant and strategic pygmy. 6/
Despite the crisis, US-EU economic ties remain substantial, with trade in goods and services reaching $1.7 trillion in 2023 (approximately $4.8 billion crossing the Atlantic daily). 7X
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More from @Mylovanov

Mar 10
Trump: No recession, tariffs are working, we’re about to lift the intel-sharing block on Ukraine. Putin isn’t disrespecting me, China isn’t escalating, Elon and the cabinet get along fabulously. We are stronger than China, Russia, and Iran combined. The Saudi meeting is key 0/
Trump: We have a meeting in Saudi Arabia. Including Russia and Ukraine.

A lot of people died this week. Not only Ukrainians, but Russians.I think everybody wants to see it get done.

1/
Is Putin disrespecting you by attacking Ukraine when you're trying to make peace there?

Trump: What did he do? Is he disrespecting me? Yeah. Who are you with?

Reporter: Michael Bernthal from the Washington Post.

Trump: You've lost a lot of credibility.
2/
Read 12 tweets
Mar 9
AN interesting point in Foreign Policy: Europeans are better at manufacturing, while the U.S. at digital. Which is more important in the new Trump’s world? 0/ Image
FP: Europe produces 50% more steel than the U.S. and dominates in vehicles, ships, and civil aircraft. In 2024, Airbus built twice as many planes as Boeing. 1/
Manufacturing employs 30 million Europeans, more than twice the 13 million in the U.S. It drives 16.4% of the EU’s economy versus 11% in the U.S. 2/
Read 7 tweets
Mar 9
In my view, this will be Trump's foreign policy toward Ukraine for the next four years.

1. Ukraine is a problem for his relationship with Russia, which should’ve reset, but Russia is an enemy too
1/
2. A reset should improve the U.S. Russia relationship in order to pull Russia away from China.

3. China is the main enemy. All efforts must be directed toward it.
2/
4. Europe should handle Russia and protect Ukraine on its own if it wants to. Together - Ukraine and Europe - are capable.
3/
Read 5 tweets
Mar 9
Trump: [Zelensky] was taking candy from a baby [Biden]; I’ve checked - there is titanium, lithium in Ukraine;

Ukraine might not survive anyway; I’ve been tougher on Russia than Hamas;

no cut of the U.S. defense spending because of China, Russia. 0/
He's [Zelensky] a smart and tough guy. And he took money out of this country under Biden, like candy from a baby. And I don't think he's grateful. 1/
Trump: If I were president, you wouldn't have had Russia going into Ukraine, situation with Hamas, cause Iran was broke, worst evacuation from Afghanistan, and the highest inflation like under Biden. 2/
Read 20 tweets
Mar 8
TIME: US is trying to force Ukraine to accept Russian peace terms by cutting intelligence.

The intel cutoffʼs killed hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers, with the worst losses in Kursk, TIME reports.

Kellogg called it hitting a mule with a two-by-four to get Ukraine’s attention. 1/
Ukrainian forces can no longer detect Russian bombers taking off or prepare for airstrikes.

Without US satellite data, Ukraine cannot effectively use HIMARS against Russian command centers, and their Kursk supply line faces constant attacks. 2/ Image
Kursk, a key bargaining chip for Ukraine in negotiations, has been hit hardest by the intelligence loss.

Russia is quickly advancing to cut off Ukraine’s supply lines, threatening its hold on the region. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Mar 8
In Ukraine, I see that Trump’s withdrawal of support hasn’t rattled Zelensky or undermined resolve of Ukrainians

Bloomberg concurs: despite the shockwaves, Kyiv adapts and fights on. These are details of what people focus on

1/ Image
Bloomberg: Commanders now plan how to fight without US military aid. Shortages are real, but the will to resist is unshaken. “We don’t have other options,” says Mustafa Nayyem. 2/ Image
Air raid sirens still wail. Russian missiles still strike. But the city is alive—stores are full, streets are busy, and recruitment posters cover every wall. 3/ Image
Image
Read 6 tweets

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