Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Mar 12 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Rubio on Ukraine: No public negotiation. Ceasefire means nothing if war returns. Ukraine needs deterrence. Europe’s role in talks is unclear, but sanctions and security commitments matter. U.S. minerals deal isn’t a security guarantee, but it ties U.S. interests to Ukraine. 1/
Rubio: The goal is long-term security. A ceasefire means nothing if war returns in a few years.

Ukraine needs real deterrence. Every country has the right to defend itself, and that must be part of the conversation. 2/
Rubio: European sanctions, frozen assets, and security commitments will be part of any negotiation. Their role - front or back end - remains to be seen. 3/
Rubio: No rockets, no missiles, no bullets, no artillery. The shooting stops, the talking starts. Then we turn that into something concrete. 4/
Rubio: A minerals deal helps both countries. A stronger economy lets Ukraine fund its defense. It’s not a security guarantee, but if the U.S. has an economic stake, it has an interest in protecting it. 5/
Rubio: No contact with Zelensky[while in Saudi Arabia]. He sent his foreign minister and security chief to represent Ukraine, which is standard practice. 6/
Rubio about ceasefire: Modern warfare is hard to hide - satellites and surveillance see everything.

If a ceasefire happens, both sides must agree on who monitors it. Oversight is key. 7/
Rubio: The U.S. isn’t arming Russia - every sanction stays. No point in threats before they respond.

If they refuse, we’ll assess and adjust. The goal is lasting peace. 8/

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More from @Mylovanov

Mar 14
Putin: Trump calls for mercy for Ukrainian troops - but they are terrorists. They will be spared if they surrender, but Ukraine must give the order.

Putin: Ukrainian soldiers have committed terrorist acts in Kursk, but we understand Trump’s call to spare their lives. 1/
Putin: If Ukrainian soldiers lay down their arms and surrender, they will be guaranteed their lives and treated with dignity under international law and Russian legislation. 2/
Putin: For President Trump’s call to be carried out effectively, Ukraine’s military and political leadership must order its troops to lay down their arms and surrender. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Mar 14
Your typical Putin - trying to humiliate Americans when he can.

SkyNews: Witkoff was made to wait 8 hours to meet Putin.

Putin deliberately humiliated Trump's envoy to underscore Russia's dominance and refusal to compromise on Ukraine without substantial concessions.
1/ Image
The timing appears to be a deliberate "power play" by Putin, sending a message that "I'm the boss, I set the schedule."

2/
The meeting finally occurred at night behind closed doors, ending around 1:30am according to Russian media.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Mar 14
RBC: The Kremlin is signaling openness to negotiations but indirectly warns Trump that peace terms must accommodate Russia's key interests, subtly testing Trump's willingness to pressure Ukraine.
1/ Image
Putin met with Trump's special envoy Steve Witkoff late on March 13 in the Kremlin.

Peskov says Witkoff delivered "additional information" to Russia, while Putin sent back "additional signals" for Trump.
2/
Regarding the proposed 30-day ceasefire, Putin indicated Russia is "generally in favor" but cited "nuances" regarding the Kursk region and contact line.

Zelensky called Putin's response "predictable" and claimed he's "actually preparing a refusal."

3x
Read 4 tweets
Mar 13
Trump says things with Russia are "going well," he has leverage, but refuses to tell what it is, because things are going well

Trump: We are hearing that things are going well in Russia 0/
Right now, our representatives in Russia are engaged in very serious negotiations. Ukraine has agreed to a full ceasefire, and we hope Russia will do the same. 1/
Trump: We know where we stand with Ukraine, and we are getting good signals from Russia.

I hope they do the right thing. If not, it will be a very disappointing moment for the world.
2/
Read 8 tweets
Mar 13
Russia’s plan: stall, seize, and destroy Ukraine, says WSJ. A leaked FSB-linked document calls for Ukraine’s “complete dismantling.” No peace before 2026. Trump’s 100-day deal? “Impossible.” Moscow wants war.

[I suspect this is a propaganda leak, but still useful] 1/ Image
Image
Russia demands total control: seized land, a buffer zone in the northeast, a demilitarized zone near Odessa. No peacekeepers. No strong Ukrainian army. This isn’t a deal. It’s surrender. 2/
Moscow wants more than land. The document says Russia should divide the U.S. from China and Europe, then dangle access to minerals in occupied Ukraine. Putin wants Washington on his side. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Mar 13
Putin: Ukraine needs truce, we don’t; I agree to truce, but demand impossible conditions - no mobilization, no military aid or training for Ukraine, but I agree to truce 0/
Putin: How will the 30-day truce be used - so that Ukraine can сontinue to receive weapons? To enforce mobilization? 1/
Putin: For the Ukrainian side, it would very good to reach a truce for at least 30 days. And we are in favor. But there nuances.

What are we going to do with this part of the encampment in the Kursk region? If we stop fighting for 30 days, what does mean?

2/
Read 9 tweets

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